Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 15, 2008

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $50.1300 (-0.4%) ($49.8900 - $50.2700) on Fri. Aug. 15, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $50.1300(-0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(92%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $47.31(-5.63%)
Resistance Level   $52.52
5 Day Moving Average   $51.24(-2.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.82(-3.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.52(-4.55%)
To recent high   -23.2%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.32% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.67%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.52%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.87%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -2.85%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 4.43%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.97%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080915

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_15_2008	58.66	52.52	51.82	51.24	50.99	50.25	50.13(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-57	-120	-45	-93	0.3	33%	-0.19	-40.5	1.34%	0	-2	42	0
2	Aug_14_2008	58.77	52.75	52.04	51.61	51.57	50.83	50.33(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-57	-100	-48	-82	0.18	33%	-0.2	-27.8	1.36%	0	-2.2	39	0
3	Aug_13_2008	58.89	52.95	52.35	51.94	51.84	51.73	51.19(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-45	-20	-39	-61	0.13	34%	-0.17	-22.9	1.35%	0	-1.9	42	0
4	Aug_12_2008	58.99	53.03	52.6	52.35	52.1	52.32	52.07(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-6	20	3	-32	0.16	38%	-0.15	-16.6	1.34%	0	-1	38	0
5	Aug_11_2008	59.08	53.01	52.74	52.61	52.27	51.94	52.49(0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-60	2	-22	0.1	38%	-0.12	-21.5	1.36%	0	-0.6	44	0

6	Aug_8_2008	59.15	53.02	52.7	52.49	52.44	51.88	51.99(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-80	-31	-59	0.13	38%	-0.12	-30.6	1.35%	0	-1.1	39	0
7	Aug_7_2008	59.22	53.06	52.8	52.53	52.57	52.6	51.98(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	10	-25	-69	0.41	36%	-0.1	-37.1	1.37%	0	-1.2	37	0
8	Aug_6_2008	59.28	53.16	52.9	52.82	52.64	53.01	53.2(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	40	11	-51	0.07	37%	-0.12	-29.6	1.38%	0	0	46	0
9	Aug_5_2008	59.35	53.18	53	52.9	52.8	52.55	53.41(2.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	-40	8	-36	0.29	37%	-0.08	-27.9	1.38%	0	0.3	55	0
10	Aug_4_2008	59.4	53.21	53.01	52.91	52.89	52.27	51.88(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-37	-80	-36	-39	0.14	33%	-0.12	-27.3	1.33%	0	-1.5	55	0

11	Aug_1_2008	59.47	53.29	53.26	52.94	53.13	53.05	52.19(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	0	-21	-17	0.1	33%	-0.13	-33.1	1.33%	0	-1.3	51	0
12	Jul_31_2008	59.55	53.4	53.52	53.08	53.14	53.51	53.4(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	50	20	21	0.09	35%	-0.08	-28.7	1.31%	0	0	54	0
13	Jul_30_2008	59.6	53.4	53.58	52.97	52.92	53.21	53.62(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	40	12	12	0.15	35%	-0.08	-42.7	1.33%	0	0.2	48	0
14	Jul_29_2008	59.65	53.42	53.48	53.13	52.9	52.77	53.48(2.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-1	-30	-4	7	0.13	35%	-0.05	-50.3	1.33%	0	0.1	50	0
15	Jul_28_2008	59.68	53.45	53.3	53.17	53.27	52.62	52.02(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-31	-80	-34	-23	0.14	30%	-0.07	-60.2	1.28%	0	-1.7	41	0

16	Jul_25_2008	59.72	53.58	53.3	53.63	53.45	53.04	52.86(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-46	-60	-56	-17	0.19	32%	-0.07	-60.8	1.27%	0	-0.9	48	0
17	Jul_24_2008	59.76	53.64	53.37	54.02	53.88	53.91	52.87(-2.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-6	-0	-11	8	0.21	32%	-0.07	-67.5	1.27%	0	-1	44	0
18	Jul_23_2008	59.8	53.78	53.48	54.24	54.14	53.86	54.4(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-40	16	31	0.18	34%	-0.03	-62	1.23%	0	0.7	52	0
19	Jul_22_2008	59.82	53.85	53.39	53.88	53.96	53.85	53.71(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10	-1	5	0.24	32%	-0.07	-76.4	1.21%	0	-0.1	50	0
20	Jul_21_2008	59.86	53.98	53.41	53.43	53.62	54.42	54.33(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	32	120	43	-1	0.08	32%	-0.05	-85.3	1.22%	0	0.3	50	0

21	Jul_18_2008	59.89	54.08	53.31	53.06	52.89	54.08	54.8(1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	51	150	74	-17	0.15	32%	-0.07	-91.3	1.21%	0	0.5	50	0
22	Jul_17_2008	59.93	54.2	53.23	52.66	52.49	52.83	53.97(2.64%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	28	40	52	-46	0.51	29%	-0.08	-87.8	1.21%	0	-0.2	48	0
23	Jul_16_2008	59.98	54.36	53.21	52.65	52.27	51.7	52.58(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-55	-100	-39	-103	0.42	29%	-0.1	-79.8	1.16%	0	-1.1	32	0
24	Jul_15_2008	60.04	54.65	53.33	52.85	52.74	52.16	51.47(-1.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-76	-80	-61	-120	0.49	24%	-0.1	-70	1.19%	0	-1.7	23	0
25	Jul_14_2008	60.1	54.99	53.61	53.38	53.38	52.84	52.48(-0.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-50	-70	-32	-103	0.22	26%		-63.4	1.18%	0	-1.4	24	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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