Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 18, 2008

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $57.6000 (-1.49%) ($57.1100 - $57.7700) on Wed. Jun. 18, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $57.6000(-1.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(92%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $52.15(-9.46%)
Resistance Level   $60.27
5 Day Moving Average   $58.21(-1.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.53(-1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $60.27(-4.43%)
To recent high   -11.8%
To recent low   0.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 3.53% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.55%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.64%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.56%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.03%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 5.4%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.54%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2008	60.32	60.27	58.53	58.21	58.25	58.16	57.6(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-10	-16	-126	0.12	44%	0.02	-73.9	1.26%	0	-1.3	26	0
2	Jun_17_2008	60.31	60.61	58.81	58.16	58.35	58.55	58.47(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	30	17	-129	0.1	46%	0.03	-72.2	1.28%	0	-1	27	0
3	Jun_16_2008	60.29	60.91	59.02	58.06	58.07	58.34	58.44(-0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-33	30	7	-151	0.16	46%	0.05	-70.4	1.28%	0	-1.1	27	0
4	Jun_13_2008	60.26	61.25	59.26	58.14	57.99	58.15	58.63(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-35	10	7	-162	0.2	46%	0.03	-64.6	1.3%	0	-1.1	25	0
5	Jun_12_2008	60.24	61.57	59.62	58.27	58.16	57.79	57.91(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-68	-50	-29	-184	0.17	46%	0.07	-60	1.3%	0	-1.5	17	0

6	Jun_11_2008	60.2	61.89	60.04	58.94	58.61	57.83	57.36(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-91	-110	-61	-182	0.27	54%	0.03	-53.3	1.3%	0	-2	16	0
7	Jun_10_2008	60.18	62.24	60.56	59.55	59.39	58.53	57.97(-1.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-80	-110	-55	-156	0.55	54%	-0.03	-52.7	1.43%	0	-2	16	0
8	Jun_9_2008	60.2	62.58	61.03	60.1	60	59.38	58.81(-0.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-76	-80	-51	-150	0.37	56%	0.02	-50.3	1.42%	0	-2	16	0
9	Jun_6_2008	60.19	62.83	61.46	60.52	60.48	60.26	59.32(-3.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-62	-30	-35	-144	0.42	56%	0.02	-50.8	1.42%	0	-2.1	16	0
10	Jun_5_2008	60.18	63.06	61.93	61.15	60.81	60.63	61.23(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-43	-40	-15	-125	0.4	64%	0.05	-47.4	1.37%	0	-1.3	23	0

11	Jun_4_2008	60.15	63.15	62.16	61.33	61.2	60.69	60.4(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-55	-60	-30	-129	0.25	62%	0.02	-46.1	1.38%	0	-2	26	0
12	Jun_3_2008	60.14	63.36	62.57	61.75	61.59	61	60.75(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-61	-70	-42	-117	0.58	62%	-0.03	-35.7	1.39%	0	-2.1	29	0
13	Jun_2_2008	60.16	63.54	62.96	62.1	61.94	61.72	60.92(-2.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-50	-30	-33	-100	0.4	62%	-0.02	-29.4	1.4%	0	-2.4	28	0
14	May_30_2008	60.17	63.69	63.4	62.52	62.29	61.72	62.43(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-20	-13	-68	0.09	68%	0	-20.7	1.37%	0	-1.4	45	0
15	May_29_2008	60.17	63.75	63.66	62.83	62.54	62.17	62.15(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-60	-26	-54	0.22	63%	0	-8.3	1.38%	0	-1.9	42	0

16	May_28_2008	60.17	63.8	63.88	63.13	63.02	62.42	62.51(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-70	-34	-37	0.2	63%	0.02	-0.8	1.41%	0	-1.6	52	0
17	May_27_2008	60.16	63.81	64.05	63.52	63.41	62.91	62.49(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-41	-60	-45	-30	0.46	63%	-0.02	8	1.42%	0	-1.7	41	0
18	May_23_2008	60.17	63.86	64.27	63.96	63.92	63.62	63.02(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-30	-28	-4	0.29	65%	-0.02	19.7	1.42%	0	-1.1	46	0
19	May_22_2008	60.18	63.87	64.33	64.42	64.29	63.92	63.99(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-11	-50	-20	15	0.1	68%	0.02	31.1	1.42%	0	0.2	53	0
20	May_21_2008	60.17	63.82	64.3	64.62	64.56	64.21	63.66(-1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-12	-40	-23	23	0.18	68%	0.05	36.4	1.42%	0	-0.2	52	0

21	May_20_2008	60.14	63.8	64.24	64.73	64.75	64.67	64.44(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10	-6	35	0.11	68%	0.02	35.5	1.41%	0	0.8	62	0
22	May_19_2008	60.13	63.74	64.23	64.65	64.72	64.91	64.69(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	20	9	50	0.08	68%	0	40.3	1.41%	0	1.2	65	0
23	May_16_2008	60.13	63.71	64.16	64.61	64.51	64.82	65.3(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	30	23	61	0.13	68%	0.03	56	1.4%	0	2.1	62	0
24	May_15_2008	60.11	63.64	63.97	64.23	64.3	64.53	65.03(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	30	26	51	0.85	68%	0	68.6	1.41%	0	2.1	61	0
25	May_14_2008	60.11	63.54	63.82	63.95	63.96	64.19	64.21(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	30	15	41	0.4	68%		72.2	1.41%	0	1.2	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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