Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 10, 2007

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $68.6800 (0.82%) ($68.3600 - $68.7800) on Mon. Dec. 10, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $68.6800(0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(92%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-10%)    JNK(5%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $68.3(0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.02(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.61(1.58%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   23.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 1.17% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.15%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.63%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_10_2007	61.99	67.61	68.02	68.3	68.21	68.38	68.68(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	10	22	55	0.11	63%	0.15	29.9	1.4%	0	1.4	61	NAN
2	Dec_7_2007	61.9	67.53	67.74	68.11	67.95	68.38	68.12(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	0	2	29	0.46	61%	0.11	22.5	1.4%	0	0.8	50	NAN
3	Dec_6_2007	61.83	67.54	67.65	68.05	67.9	68.03	68.29(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	10	4	28	1.03	61%	0.11	31.6	1.41%	0	1	56	NAN
4	Dec_5_2007	61.76	67.46	67.5	67.95	68.04	67.88	68.19(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10	5	19	0.87	59%	0.11	22.8	1.42%	0	0.9	51	NAN
5	Dec_4_2007	61.69	67.44	67.45	67.99	67.97	67.77	68.22(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-4	-20	-9	12	0.18	59%	0.13	31	1.44%	0	1	48	NAN

6	Dec_3_2007	61.61	67.38	67.3	67.7	67.98	68.2	67.74(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	40	16	15	1.07	59%	0.11	22.7	1.44%	0	0.5	57	NAN
7	Nov_30_2007	61.54	67.36	67.31	67.31	67.64	68.17	67.83(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	70	26	10	0.14	60%	0.11	14.5	1.45%	0	0.6	53	NAN
8	Nov_29_2007	61.47	67.29	67.23	67.17	67.22	67.76	67.77(-0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	22	60	29	-1	0.17	62%	0.13	20.7	1.45%	0	0.6	48	NAN
9	Nov_28_2007	61.39	67.28	67.22	66.97	67.1	67.11	68.4(2.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	15	10	21	-4	0.15	59%	0.16	34.2	1.47%	0	1.5	55	NAN
10	Nov_27_2007	61.29	67.2	67.2	66.86	66.91	66.68	66.77(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-20	-18	-21	0.16	57%	0.11	46.2	1.48%	0	-0.6	47	NAN

11	Nov_26_2007	61.22	67.21	67.16	66.85	67.15	67.08	65.76(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-17	10	-14	-25	0.17	56%	0.1	66	1.48%	0	-2	47	NAN
12	Nov_23_2007	61.16	67.25	67.31	67.3	67.32	67.13	67.14(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-20	-5	-9	0.08	60%	0.13	107.1	1.47%	0	-0.2	50	NAN
13	Nov_21_2007	61.08	67.14	67.31	67.28	67.43	67.22	66.8(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-20	-15	-3	0.24	61%	0.13	64.7	1.47%	0	-0.3	52	NAN
14	Nov_20_2007	61	67.03	67.43	67.49	67.5	67.5	67.85(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	0	-19	-3	0.36	63%	0.15	64.5	1.46%	0	0.7	51	NAN
15	Nov_19_2007	60.91	66.88	67.44	67.61	68.05	67.65	66.71(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	8	-20	5	18	0.25	62%	0.15	65.3	1.45%	0	-0.1	51	NAN

16	Nov_16_2007	60.82	66.75	67.49	67.51	68.17	67.5	67.99(1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-16	-40	-23	5	0.13	64%	0.16	60.3	1.43%	0	0.9	55	NAN
17	Nov_15_2007	60.72	66.55	67.42	67.33	67.87	68.45	67.04(-1.22%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-19	80	-27	4	0.31	61%	0.15	60.1	1.42%	0	0.3	54	NAN
18	Nov_14_2007	60.63	66.46	67.38	67.61	68.23	68.84	67.87(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	66	90	67	61	0.36	61%	0.18	71.7	1.45%	0	1	63	NAN
19	Nov_13_2007	60.52	66.29	67.35	67.36	67.82	67.29	68.44(3.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	7	-30	-6	44	0.42	61%	0.18	72.7	1.45%	0	1.4	66	NAN
20	Nov_12_2007	60.41	66.03	67.18	67.28	67.65	67.62	66.19(-1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-17	10	-37	43	0.12	58%	0.15	75.9	1.4%	0	0.1	58	NAN

21	Nov_9_2007	60.32	65.9	67.26	67.46	67.96	68.36	67.13(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	47	60	31	94	1.72	56%	0.15	81.6	1.45%	0	0.7	66	NAN
22	Nov_8_2007	60.23	65.71	67.19	67.51	67.56	67.68	68.4(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	40	10	17	107	1.08	60%	0.17	83.3	1.43%	0	1.5	70	NAN
23	Nov_7_2007	60.13	65.42	66.82	67.12	67.34	67.56	66.66(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	30	3	87	0.76	58%	0.13	77.7	1.43%	0	0.7	57	NAN
24	Nov_6_2007	60.05	65.17	66.61	67.32	67.17	67.45	68(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	20	19	104	0.23	62%	0.17	77.4	1.4%	0	1.4	67	NAN
25	Nov_5_2007	59.95	64.84	66.28	67.1	67.05	67.12	67.09(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	10	11	105	0.25	62%		73.9	1.4%	0	1.1	69	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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