Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 5, 2007

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $67.0900 (-0.46%) ($66.7100 - $67.2500) on Mon. Nov. 5, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $67.0900(-0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(92%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $67.1(-0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.28(1.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.84(3.47%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   20.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 3.07% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.86%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.29%(30%) Average negative next three day return: -1.26%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.15%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.79%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2007	59.95	64.84	66.28	67.1	67.05	67.12	67.09(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	10	11	105	0.25	62%	0.13	73.9	1.4%	0	1.1	69	0
2	Nov_2_2007	59.87	64.55	65.96	67.04	66.98	66.89	67.4(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10	5	105	0.93	62%	0.15	73.9	1.41%	0	1.4	70	0
3	Nov_1_2007	59.78	64.27	65.62	66.82	66.82	66.99	66.45(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	20	8	105	1.05	62%	0.15	75.1	1.41%	0	1.1	67	0
4	Oct_31_2007	59.69	64.01	65.49	66.45	66.67	67.07	67.67(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	66	50	46	127	0.19	65%	0.18	71.1	1.39%	0	1.9	77	0
5	Oct_30_2007	59.58	63.68	65.14	65.77	65.92	66.65	66.87(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	58	80	38	118	0.07	66%	0.15	69.9	1.39%	0	1.8	78	0

6	Oct_29_2007	59.49	63.4	64.76	65.34	65.22	66.28	66.81(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	79	110	64	124	0.13	66%	0.15	74.4	1.4%	0	2	77	0
7	Oct_26_2007	59.4	63.12	64.4	64.72	64.69	65.2	66.3(2.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	75	50	61	115	0.7	61%	0.15	74.8	1.39%	0	2	77	0
8	Oct_25_2007	59.31	62.84	64.08	64.26	64.06	64.16	64.61(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	17	0	-4	80	0.84	58%	0.1	76.7	1.45%	0	1.2	66	0
9	Oct_24_2007	59.25	62.64	63.88	64.38	64.07	64.18	64.24(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-0	1	96	1.14	57%	0.07	82.4	1.46%	0	1.1	68	0
10	Oct_23_2007	59.21	62.43	63.62	64.41	64.35	64.18	64.74(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-40	8	103	0.11	57%	0.07	82.2	1.46%	0	1.5	70	0

11	Oct_22_2007	59.17	62.16	63.3	64.09	64.31	63.97	63.7(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-30	-23	82	0.52	55%	0.07	79.8	1.45%	0	1	64	0
12	Oct_19_2007	59.13	61.96	63.06	64	64.27	64.73	64.01(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	60	11	92	0.56	53%	0.07	89.5	1.48%	0	1.3	67	0
13	Oct_18_2007	59.09	61.74	62.85	63.86	64	64.64	65.21(1.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	65	80	49	112	0.13	55%	0.1	96.5	1.46%	0	2.2	79	0
14	Oct_17_2007	59.03	61.43	62.43	63.32	63.56	63.81	64.37(1.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	52	40	38	93	0.14	55%	0.08	103	1.45%	0	2	77	0
15	Oct_16_2007	58.98	61.16	62.1	62.72	63.13	63.35	63.15(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	40	19	73	0.09	53%	0.07	104	1.43%	0	1.4	76	0

16	Oct_15_2007	58.94	60.93	61.93	62.4	62.65	63.3	63.24(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	80	34	83	0.22	53%	0.08	84.2	1.43%	0	1.4	80	0
17	Oct_12_2007	58.89	60.56	61.73	61.98	62.13	62.91	63.31(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	60	100	51	85	0.39	55%	0.07	73	1.43%	0	1.5	76	0
18	Oct_11_2007	58.85	60.23	61.46	61.7	61.52	62	62.51(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	50	33	76	0.71	56%	0.07	71.1	1.44%	0	1.3	73	0
19	Oct_10_2007	58.81	59.97	61.27	61.43	61.32	61.36	61.4(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-0	13	67	0.57	53%	0.03	67.7	1.44%	0	0.8	71	0
20	Oct_9_2007	58.79	59.76	61.15	61.43	61.32	61.04	61.55(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-30	-9	65	2.23	53%	0.05	64.6	1.44%	0	1	74	0

21	Oct_8_2007	58.76	59.53	60.93	61.39	61.26	61.29	61.13(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-0	-11	71	0.15	53%	0.03	58.8	1.44%	0	0.8	75	0
22	Oct_5_2007	58.74	59.28	60.79	61.41	61.45	61.48	61.92(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	10	19	111	1.46	53%	0.05	53.3	1.44%	0	1.3	91	0
23	Oct_4_2007	58.71	59	60.55	61.19	61.2	61.24	61.14(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	28	10	-2	116	0.4	53%	0.05	50	1.43%	0	1.1	78	0
24	Oct_3_2007	58.68	58.79	60.37	61.09	61.08	61.42	61.21(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	40	18	136	0.74	53%	0.03	49.4	1.44%	0	1.3	72	0
25	Oct_2_2007	58.66	58.59	60.16	60.86	60.89	61.16	61.54(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	62	30	33	149	1.72	54%		51.7	1.44%	0	1.7	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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