Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 7, 2007

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $55.9200 (1.21%) ($55.6700 - $56.1900) on Wed. Feb. 7, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $55.9200(1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.11(1.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.71(2.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.15(3.27%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 1.5% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.94%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.06%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.59%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_7_2007	51.71	54.15	54.71	55.11	55.11	55.58	55.92(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	75	60	61	117	0.6	64%	0.23	44.7	0.8%	0	2.2	74	NAN
2	Feb_6_2007	51.59	54.02	54.55	54.95	54.86	54.87	55.25(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	-0	28	107	1.36	65%	0.19	44.6	0.79%	0	1.8	66	NAN
3	Feb_5_2007	51.49	53.94	54.43	54.78	54.71	54.64	54.55(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-10	-6	88	0.17	63%	0.19	43.7	0.8%	0	1	61	NAN
4	Feb_2_2007	51.39	53.89	54.34	54.69	54.62	54.85	54.82(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	30	20	94	0.29	63%	0.21	41.9	0.8%	0	1.5	63	NAN
5	Feb_1_2007	51.28	53.85	54.24	54.49	54.43	54.79	55.01(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	60	40	47	98	0.18	63%	0.2	42.7	0.8%	0	2	68	NAN

6	Jan_31_2007	51.18	53.79	54.05	54.25	54.13	54.4	55.1(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	45	30	32	82	0.22	63%	0.22	45.5	0.8%	0	2.5	74	NAN
7	Jan_30_2007	51.07	53.71	53.88	54.12	54	54.06	54.4(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	0	16	69	0.1	61%	0.2	48.8	0.78%	0	1.6	58	NAN
8	Jan_29_2007	50.97	53.66	53.78	54.04	54	53.86	54.13(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-20	0	55	0.14	61%	0.22	46.2	0.78%	0	1.1	53	NAN
9	Jan_26_2007	50.86	53.63	53.73	53.93	54.03	53.94	53.81(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-10	-17	39	0.18	62%	0.2	32.9	0.78%	0	0.4	52	NAN
10	Jan_25_2007	50.76	53.59	53.67	53.94	54.02	54.21	53.8(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	30	17	43	0.64	64%	0.18	23.4	0.79%	0	0.5	47	NAN

11	Jan_24_2007	50.67	53.55	53.56	53.8	53.88	54.13	54.44(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	34	40	38	22	0.16	67%	0.2	0	0.78%	0	2.2	52	NAN
12	Jan_23_2007	50.57	53.5	53.45	53.6	53.63	53.83	54.04(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	18	30	25	-2	0.21	67%	0.08	-30.4	0.78%	0	1.5	54	NAN
13	Jan_22_2007	50.53	53.47	53.41	53.6	53.63	53.62	53.58(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	20	12	-13	0.22	66%	0.16	-55.2	0.77%	0	0.3	51	NAN
14	Jan_19_2007	50.45	53.49	53.4	53.49	53.48	53.43	53.85(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	-10	12	-12	0.61	68%	0.2	-54.9	0.77%	0	0.9	53	NAN
15	Jan_18_2007	50.35	53.5	53.41	53.36	53.47	53.34	53.08(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10	-5	-17	0.16	67%	0.16	-71	0.77%	0	-1.1	52	NAN

16	Jan_17_2007	50.27	53.55	53.51	53.27	53.38	53.54	53.45(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	30	4	-6	0.14	64%	0.18	-76.1	0.77%	0	-0.3	58	NAN
17	Jan_16_2007	50.18	53.61	53.51	53.26	53.2	53.6	53.5(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	50	23	3	0.12	64%	0.3	-60.3	0.79%	0	-0.3	52	NAN
18	Jan_12_2007	50.03	53.67	53.53	53.26	53.16	53.23	53.57(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	0	25	7	0.1	65%	0.2	-41.3	0.78%	0	-0.2	50	NAN
19	Jan_11_2007	49.93	53.7	53.52	53.31	53.22	52.81	53.22(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-60	-33	-24	0.14	65%	0.18	-31.6	0.8%	0	-0.9	40	NAN
20	Jan_10_2007	49.84	53.76	53.51	53.49	53.4	53.1	52.59(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-54	-40	-61	-34	0.66	64%	0.16	-11.5	0.79%	0	-2.1	35	NAN

21	Jan_9_2007	49.76	53.83	53.51	53.78	53.75	53.63	53.42(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-20	-14	-7	0.33	68%	0.18	15.1	0.76%	0	-0.8	39	NAN
22	Jan_8_2007	49.67	53.85	53.57	53.82	53.94	53.7	53.74(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-20	-7	-20	1.33	68%	0.18	23.7	0.75%	0	-0.2	36	NAN
23	Jan_5_2007	49.58	53.84	53.55	53.77	53.87	53.88	53.59(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	10	-17	-45	0.3	68%	0.2	25.8	0.75%	0	-0.5	34	NAN
24	Jan_4_2007	49.48	53.86	53.6	53.76	53.83	54.17	54.1(0.06%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	23	50	39	-27	0.19	72%	0.18	39.8	0.74%	0	0.5	46	NAN
25	Jan_3_2007	49.39	53.82	53.58	53.55	53.66	53.85	54.07(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	24	30	47	-45	0.24	72%		40.9	0.76%	0	0.5	45	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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