Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 4, 2006

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $47.9400 (1.52%) ($47.2000 - $47.9400) on Wed. Oct. 4, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $47.9400(1.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.33(1.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.81(2.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.83(4.6%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.53% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.4%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.13%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 0.97%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -0.99%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 0.91%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.54%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2006	42.94	45.83	46.81	47.33	47.28	47.39	47.94(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	56	10	21	161	0.41	70%	0.12	53.4	0.99%	0	1.8	85	NAN
2	Oct_3_2006	42.89	45.66	46.57	47.18	47.16	47.18	47.22(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	47	0	9	159	0.87	68%	0.12	53.5	0.98%	0	1.5	83	NAN
3	Oct_2_2006	42.84	45.56	46.33	47	47.12	47.17	47.22(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	53	20	20	153	1.38	68%	0.09	53.2	0.98%	0	1.6	83	NAN
4	Sep_29_2006	42.8	45.45	46.11	46.76	46.85	47.14	47.08(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	56	50	25	147	0.09	73%	0.09	55.6	1%	0	1.8	86	NAN
5	Sep_28_2006	42.76	45.33	45.89	46.49	46.51	47.08	47.2(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	68	90	45	136	0.08	73%	0.07	55.9	1.08%	0	2.2	87	NAN

6	Sep_27_2006	42.73	45.22	45.67	46.2	46.17	46.56	47.18(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	70	60	49	131	0.17	70%	0.07	59	1.08%	0	2.7	87	NAN
7	Sep_26_2006	42.7	45.11	45.42	45.89	45.87	45.95	46.34(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	10	27	104	0.18	68%	0.07	64.3	1.08%	0	2.2	70	NAN
8	Sep_25_2006	42.67	45.02	45.26	45.56	45.66	45.95	46(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	20	14	73	0.07	68%	0.05	56	1.08%	0	2	56	NAN
9	Sep_22_2006	42.65	44.94	45.09	45.37	45.42	45.78	45.73(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	60	24	53	0.07	68%	0.05	44.1	1.08%	0	1.7	54	NAN
10	Sep_21_2006	42.63	44.87	44.94	45.2	45.22	45.54	45.77(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	36	50	35	40	0.06	71%	0.07	31.6	1.08%	0	2	58	NAN

11	Sep_20_2006	42.6	44.8	44.77	45.04	44.99	45.07	45.59(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	15	10	16	10	0.09	71%	0.07	19.5	1.1%	0	2	54	NAN
12	Sep_19_2006	42.57	44.74	44.67	44.89	44.9	45.07	44.72(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3	0	0	-12	0.06	69%	0.05	14.1	1.08%	0	-0.1	43	NAN
13	Sep_18_2006	42.55	44.75	44.72	44.91	44.87	44.91	45.03(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	0	11	-1	0.07	69%	0.07	33.3	1.08%	0	0.8	54	NAN
14	Sep_15_2006	42.52	44.74	44.72	44.75	44.75	44.89	44.89(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	20	12	-2	0.05	69%	0.05	42.1	1.1%	0	0.4	58	NAN
15	Sep_14_2006	42.5	44.73	44.73	44.63	44.59	44.83	44.99(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	30	21	1	0.04	70%	0.07	46.1	1.16%	0	0.8	60	NAN

16	Sep_13_2006	42.47	44.72	44.74	44.45	44.4	44.62	44.84(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	10	30	15	-6	0.06	66%	0.07	44.7	1.17%	0	0.4	56	NAN
17	Sep_12_2006	42.44	44.7	44.77	44.42	44.28	44.36	44.8(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	0	2	-8	0.26	64%	0.05	53.9	1.22%	0	0.3	52	NAN
18	Sep_11_2006	42.42	44.63	44.76	44.52	44.33	44.19	44.24(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-30	-14	-9	0.08	63%	0.07	44.4	1.22%	0	-0.9	42	NAN
19	Sep_8_2006	42.39	44.59	44.78	44.72	44.59	44.2	44.28(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-70	-21	-3	0.04	60%	0.07	41.3	1.22%	0	-0.6	43	NAN
20	Sep_7_2006	42.36	44.57	44.8	44.85	44.8	44.48	44.1(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-25	-50	-32	-4	0.1	60%	0.07	46	1.25%	0	-0.8	42	NAN

21	Sep_6_2006	42.33	44.56	44.8	45.06	45	44.97	44.68(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-10	-11	13	0.07	62%	0.09	55.5	1.23%	0	0.2	46	NAN
22	Sep_5_2006	42.29	44.52	44.84	45.15	45.09	45.11	45.28(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-0	9	30	0.12	60%	0.12	57.7	1.22%	0	1.2	67	NAN
23	Sep_1_2006	42.24	44.44	44.79	45.05	45.04	45.02	45.25(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	14	-0	7	36	0.07	60%	0.12	57.1	1.26%	0	1.4	77	NAN
24	Aug_31_2006	42.19	44.37	44.74	44.87	44.92	45.07	44.95(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	30	9	42	0.06	61%	0.12	53.9	1.26%	0	1	77	NAN
25	Aug_30_2006	42.14	44.31	44.72	44.74	44.75	45.05	45.12(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	50	20	49	0.09	61%		58.7	1.26%	0	1.4	68	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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