Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 7, 2006

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $43.7300 (-0.48%) ($43.5700 - $43.9100) on Mon. Aug. 7, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $43.7300(-0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(3%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.78(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.41(0.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.45(3.02%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.76% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20060907

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_7_2006	41.54	42.45	43.41	43.78	43.85	43.94	43.73(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	20	5	125	0.06	49%	0.07	29	1.37%	0	1.1	88	0
2	Aug_4_2006	41.51	42.4	43.27	43.74	43.73	43.9	43.94(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	45	30	11	145	0.1	52%	0.07	31.1	1.38%	0	1.4	86	0
3	Aug_3_2006	41.48	42.32	43.02	43.67	43.57	43.76	43.86(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	20	16	152	0.06	52%	0.07	35.3	1.38%	0	1.4	75	0
4	Aug_2_2006	41.45	42.26	42.78	43.43	43.52	43.57	43.88(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	10	20	144	0.04	53%	0.07	42.7	1.39%	0	1.6	72	0
5	Aug_1_2006	41.42	42.17	42.55	43.19	43.3	43.38	43.5(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	38	20	9	125	0.05	53%	0.1	48.3	1.39%	0	1.4	60	0

6	Jul_31_2006	41.38	42.11	42.22	42.98	43.07	43.47	43.5(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	70	24	95	0.16	53%	0.07	55.2	1.4%	0	1.5	52	0
7	Jul_28_2006	41.35	42.05	41.91	42.73	42.78	43.21	43.61(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	47	70	41	66	0.01	53%	0.12	61.2	1.41%	0	1.8	53	0
8	Jul_27_2006	41.3	41.94	41.64	42.29	42.41	42.68	42.67(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	50	30	22	0.11	51%	0.07	59.1	1.38%	0	0.9	48	0
9	Jul_26_2006	41.27	41.83	41.48	42.02	42.03	42.34	42.69(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	50	19	-14	0.09	51%	0.07	45.7	1.38%	0	1	46	0
10	Jul_25_2006	41.24	41.7	41.39	41.8	41.84	42.14	42.43(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	24	50	39	-22	0.01	51%	0.07	38.6	1.38%	0	0.8	50	0

11	Jul_24_2006	41.21	41.6	41.4	41.34	41.49	41.72	42.25(2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	9	50	29	-52	0.02	52%	0.05	28.9	1.38%	0	0.7	46	0
12	Jul_21_2006	41.19	41.51	41.43	40.97	41.03	41.55	41.39(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	90	20	-75	0.01	51%	0.02	20.5	1.36%	0	-0.1	43	0
13	Jul_20_2006	41.18	41.47	41.54	40.89	40.75	41.25	41.35(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	80	32	-67	0.02	51%	0.02	18.7	1.37%	0	-0.1	48	0
14	Jul_19_2006	41.17	41.44	41.68	40.85	40.58	40.51	41.6(3.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	-30	4	-58	0.05	52%	0.02	24	1.37%	0	0.2	61	0
15	Jul_18_2006	41.16	41.34	41.75	40.93	40.72	40.24	40.13(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-50	-100	-48	-57	0.06	50%	0.02	29.5	1.3%	0	-1.1	56	0

16	Jul_17_2006	41.15	41.33	42.01	41.46	41.23	40.66	40.37(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-40	-110	-52	-5	0.01	50%	0	42.9	1.31%	0	-0.8	53	0
17	Jul_14_2006	41.15	41.32	42.22	41.95	41.8	41.2	40.98(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-22	-110	-45	48	0.01	52%	0.02	54.1	1.3%	0	-0.3	58	0
18	Jul_13_2006	41.14	41.29	42.32	42.28	42.24	41.8	41.19(-1.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-11	-80	-43	84	0.03	52%	0.05	63.6	1.31%	0	-0.1	59	0
19	Jul_12_2006	41.12	41.19	42.26	42.62	42.58	42.41	41.97(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-30	-16	120	0.07	54%	0.05	61.1	1.28%	0	0.6	66	0
20	Jul_11_2006	41.1	41.02	42.09	42.68	42.7	42.68	42.8(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	36	-0	1	140	0.07	55%	0.05	50.9	1.26%	0	1.3	80	0

21	Jul_10_2006	41.08	40.85	41.86	42.64	42.59	42.75	42.8(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	44	20	7	154	0.09	55%	0.1	46.7	1.27%	0	1.4	80	0
22	Jul_7_2006	41.04	40.7	41.62	42.55	42.52	42.71	42.66(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	57	30	22	163	0.06	53%	0.1	39.8	1.27%	0	1.5	75	0
23	Jul_6_2006	41	40.55	41.4	42.36	42.37	42.43	42.85(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	64	10	32	158	0.04	53%	0.1	31.1	1.29%	0	1.9	70	0
24	Jul_5_2006	40.96	40.42	41.15	41.84	41.98	42.34	42.27(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	70	31	145	0.13	51%	0.15	17.6	1.28%	0	1.7	75	0
25	Jul_3_2006	40.9	40.33	40.89	41.39	41.47	42.3	42.64(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	78	150	57	140	0.02	53%		5.3	1.28%	0	2.4	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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