Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 9, 2006

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $44.0200 (0.48%) ($43.7500 - $44.0500) on Tue. May. 9, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $44.0200(0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.54(1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.1(2.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.12(4.51%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.97% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.61%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.54%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.6%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.12%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060609

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_9_2006	39.61	42.12	43.1	43.54	43.6	43.83	44.02(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	63	40	28	169	0.17	69%	0.2	51.2	0.81%	0	1.5	83	0
2	May_8_2006	39.53	41.94	42.91	43.34	43.32	43.73	43.81(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	80	60	46	181	0.02	70%	0.18	47.6	0.81%	0	1.6	85	0
3	May_5_2006	39.46	41.77	42.74	43.06	43.12	43.36	43.77(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	83	40	48	187	0.05	70%	0.2	42.9	0.82%	0	1.8	87	0
4	May_4_2006	39.38	41.64	42.53	42.85	42.88	42.91	43.28(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	58	10	15	185	0.03	69%	0.18	43.6	0.82%	0	1.6	87	0
5	May_3_2006	39.31	41.55	42.33	42.69	42.77	42.88	42.81(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	57	20	12	193	0.06	68%	0.15	48.1	0.82%	0	1.3	84	0

6	May_2_2006	39.25	41.48	42.2	42.59	42.63	42.86	43.02(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	78	40	31	217	0.02	68%	0.18	55	0.81%	0	1.7	84	0
7	May_1_2006	39.18	41.38	41.99	42.41	42.43	42.65	42.42(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	70	40	24	208	0.08	66%	0.18	56.6	0.81%	0	1.2	73	0
8	Apr_28_2006	39.11	41.29	41.78	42.36	42.28	42.4	42.73(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	74	10	29	210	0.03	67%	0.18	56.3	0.79%	0	1.8	78	0
9	Apr_27_2006	39.04	41.19	41.52	42.16	42.14	42.22	42.47(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	58	10	23	164	0.09	67%	0.18	56	0.8%	0	1.7	59	0
10	Apr_26_2006	38.97	41.09	41.28	41.92	42	42.16	42.29(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	30	26	118	0.03	69%	0.18	46.5	0.8%	0	1.7	53	0

11	Apr_25_2006	38.9	40.98	41.06	41.75	41.75	42.06	42.16(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	50	38	84	0.03	69%	0.15	36.2	0.8%	0	1.8	54	0
12	Apr_24_2006	38.84	40.9	40.89	41.5	41.51	41.83	42.17(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	59	50	59	60	0.03	69%	0.15	23	0.81%	0	2	60	0
13	Apr_21_2006	38.78	40.83	40.72	41.12	41.18	41.44	41.7(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	50	49	14	0.08	69%	0.13	5.3	0.82%	0	1.6	59	0
14	Apr_20_2006	38.73	40.78	40.67	40.77	40.85	41.18	41.29(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	27	60	42	-17	0.17	64%	0.16	-17.1	0.82%	0	1	53	0
15	Apr_19_2006	38.67	40.77	40.7	40.53	40.52	40.92	41.42(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	31	70	48	-20	0.04	66%	0.13	-27.6	0.85%	0	1.3	59	0

16	Apr_18_2006	38.62	40.74	40.7	40.28	40.24	40.52	40.92(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	15	50	30	-29	0.06	62%	0.13	-39.8	0.85%	0	0.4	60	0
17	Apr_17_2006	38.57	40.76	40.69	40.21	40.15	40.13	40.25(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-10	4	-41	0.04	59%	0.1	-33.3	0.84%	0	-1	48	0
18	Apr_13_2006	38.53	40.81	40.75	40.27	40.21	39.96	39.98(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-43	-50	-38	-56	0.03	59%	0.08	-19.5	0.84%	0	-1.7	40	0
19	Apr_12_2006	38.5	40.86	40.86	40.56	40.46	40.17	40.06(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-43	-60	-48	-28	0.04	57%	0.1	13	0.84%	0	-1.8	46	0
20	Apr_11_2006	38.46	40.91	40.92	40.89	40.8	40.45	40.19(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-36	-70	-45	-7	0.08	59%	0.1	52	0.85%	0	-1.8	40	0

21	Apr_10_2006	38.42	40.94	40.93	41.16	41.13	40.75	40.56(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-24	-70	-35	10	0.05	61%	0.13	85	0.86%	0	-0.9	47	0
22	Apr_7_2006	38.37	40.93	40.94	41.24	41.33	41.15	40.56(-2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-15	-20	-24	13	0.22	61%	0.13	85.5	0.86%	0	-0.8	44	0
23	Apr_6_2006	38.32	40.9	40.99	41.29	41.35	41.5	41.41(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	30	10	30	0.16	67%	0.16	72	0.82%	0	0.9	52	0
24	Apr_5_2006	38.26	40.81	40.91	41.2	41.21	41.51	41.71(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	50	40	26	0.12	67%	0.18	55.6	0.82%	0	1.6	55	0
25	Apr_4_2006	38.19	40.7	40.85	40.97	41.02	41.2	41.54(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	30	44	12	0.09	67%		36.7	0.82%	0	1.4	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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