Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 25, 2006

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $42.1600 (-0.02%) ($41.8400 - $42.2300) on Tue. Apr. 25, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $42.1600(-0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.75(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.06(2.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.98(2.88%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 1.63% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.7%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.04%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.89%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -0.36%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.24%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.87%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060525

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2006	38.9	40.98	41.06	41.75	41.75	42.06	42.16(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	50	38	84	0.03	69%	0.15	36.2	0.8%	0	1.8	54	0
2	Apr_24_2006	38.84	40.9	40.89	41.5	41.51	41.83	42.17(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	59	50	59	60	0.03	69%	0.15	23	0.81%	0	2	60	0
3	Apr_21_2006	38.78	40.83	40.72	41.12	41.18	41.44	41.7(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	50	49	14	0.08	69%	0.13	5.3	0.82%	0	1.6	59	0
4	Apr_20_2006	38.73	40.78	40.67	40.77	40.85	41.18	41.29(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	27	60	42	-17	0.17	64%	0.16	-17.1	0.82%	0	1	53	0
5	Apr_19_2006	38.67	40.77	40.7	40.53	40.52	40.92	41.42(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	31	70	48	-20	0.04	66%	0.13	-27.6	0.85%	0	1.3	59	0

6	Apr_18_2006	38.62	40.74	40.7	40.28	40.24	40.52	40.92(1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	15	50	30	-29	0.06	62%	0.13	-39.8	0.85%	0	0.4	60	0
7	Apr_17_2006	38.57	40.76	40.69	40.21	40.15	40.13	40.25(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-10	4	-41	0.04	59%	0.1	-33.3	0.84%	0	-1	48	0
8	Apr_13_2006	38.53	40.81	40.75	40.27	40.21	39.96	39.98(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-43	-50	-38	-56	0.03	59%	0.08	-19.5	0.84%	0	-1.7	40	0
9	Apr_12_2006	38.5	40.86	40.86	40.56	40.46	40.17	40.06(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-43	-60	-48	-28	0.04	57%	0.1	13	0.84%	0	-1.8	46	0
10	Apr_11_2006	38.46	40.91	40.92	40.89	40.8	40.45	40.19(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-36	-70	-45	-7	0.08	59%	0.1	52	0.85%	0	-1.8	40	0

11	Apr_10_2006	38.42	40.94	40.93	41.16	41.13	40.75	40.56(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-24	-70	-35	10	0.05	61%	0.13	85	0.86%	0	-0.9	47	0
12	Apr_7_2006	38.37	40.93	40.94	41.24	41.33	41.15	40.56(-2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-15	-20	-24	13	0.22	61%	0.13	85.5	0.86%	0	-0.8	44	0
13	Apr_6_2006	38.32	40.9	40.99	41.29	41.35	41.5	41.41(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	30	10	30	0.16	67%	0.16	72	0.82%	0	0.9	52	0
14	Apr_5_2006	38.26	40.81	40.91	41.2	41.21	41.51	41.71(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	50	40	26	0.12	67%	0.18	55.6	0.82%	0	1.6	55	0
15	Apr_4_2006	38.19	40.7	40.85	40.97	41.02	41.2	41.54(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	30	44	12	0.09	67%	0.16	36.7	0.82%	0	1.4	57	0

16	Apr_3_2006	38.13	40.6	40.79	40.68	40.77	40.92	41(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	30	15	-24	0.63	69%	0.13	21.4	0.81%	0	0.7	54	0
17	Mar_31_2006	38.08	40.54	40.81	40.6	40.61	40.85	40.78(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	40	12	-15	0.07	69%	0.13	18.9	0.9%	0	0.4	58	0
18	Mar_30_2006	38.03	40.52	40.84	40.64	40.61	40.62	40.96(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	0	17	9	0.05	69%	0.16	24.5	0.91%	0	0.8	63	0
19	Mar_29_2006	37.97	40.49	40.85	40.58	40.56	40.37	40.55(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-11	-30	-19	14	0.09	68%	0.13	27	0.9%	0	0.1	65	0
20	Mar_28_2006	37.92	40.48	40.89	40.73	40.66	40.5	40.12(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-11	-30	-29	43	0.16	67%	0.11	37	0.89%	0	-0.6	60	0

21	Mar_27_2006	37.88	40.47	40.95	40.9	40.85	40.74	40.58(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-20	-16	87	0.14	70%	0.16	48	0.88%	0	0.2	68	0
22	Mar_24_2006	37.82	40.44	40.93	41.04	40.96	40.82	40.99(0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-30	-14	109	0.19	72%	0.13	59.6	0.87%	0	0.9	62	0
23	Mar_23_2006	37.77	40.38	40.83	41.07	41.08	40.96	40.67(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-20	-16	109	0.13	67%	0.11	69.8	0.87%	0	0.5	55	0
24	Mar_22_2006	37.73	40.34	40.72	41.16	41.16	41.11	41.28(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10	2	109	0.05	71%	0.13	82.8	0.89%	0	1.5	59	0
25	Mar_21_2006	37.68	40.26	40.56	41.07	41.12	41.19	40.97(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	20	5	92	0.14	71%		89.1	0.89%	0	1.2	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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