Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 26, 2006

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $38.1000 (1.01%) ($38.0000 - $38.1600) on Thu. Jan. 26, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $38.1000(1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.5(1.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.44(1.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.36(1.98%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 1.37% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.64%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.38%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.64%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.81%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.8%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.11%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2006	36.78	37.36	37.44	37.5	37.66	37.88	38.1(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	24	50	34	-7	0.03	59%	0.03	47.4	0.9%	0	1.5	54	0
2	Jan_25_2006	36.77	37.27	37.41	37.36	37.41	37.56	37.72(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	9	30	19	-22	0.06	57%	0	35.2	0.9%	0	0.8	50	0
3	Jan_24_2006	36.77	37.2	37.39	37.21	37.32	37.44	37.4(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	30	14	-38	0.01	61%	0	21.2	0.89%	0	0.3	51	0
4	Jan_23_2006	36.77	37.17	37.42	37.19	37.21	37.27	37.46(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	10	4	-18	0.03	61%	0.03	24.5	0.93%	0	0.5	64	0
5	Jan_20_2006	36.76	37.13	37.47	37.21	37.16	37.2	36.8(-1.66%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-6	0	-10	6	0.02	53%	0	23.3	0.91%	0	-0.5	58	0

6	Jan_19_2006	36.76	37.12	37.56	37.37	37.27	37.15	37.42(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-30	-7	41	0.04	56%	0.05	29.4	0.94%	0	0.5	64	0
7	Jan_18_2006	36.74	37.08	37.58	37.48	37.34	37.13	36.95(-1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-50	-26	69	0.04	50%	0.05	35.3	0.93%	0	-0.2	62	0
8	Jan_17_2006	36.72	37.07	37.63	37.59	37.55	37.38	37.33(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-30	-16	102	0.02	52%	0.08	43.8	0.95%	0	0.4	68	0
9	Jan_13_2006	36.69	37.03	37.53	37.68	37.61	37.55	37.57(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-20	-16	101	0.02	55%	0.05	52.8	0.96%	0	0.8	58	0
10	Jan_12_2006	36.67	36.98	37.42	37.68	37.66	37.73	37.56(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	0	1	114	0.05	52%	0.05	65.3	0.96%	0	0.9	61	0

11	Jan_11_2006	36.65	36.94	37.3	37.77	37.74	37.67	37.97(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-20	9	116	0.03	55%	0.05	71.7	0.97%	0	1.6	67	0
12	Jan_10_2006	36.63	36.86	37.13	37.71	37.67	37.6	37.53(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-20	-9	101	0.04	52%	0.03	79.4	0.96%	0	1.1	61	0
13	Jan_9_2006	36.62	36.79	37	37.67	37.68	37.81	37.78(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	20	27	107	0.04	52%	0.08	79.4	0.95%	0	1.7	62	0
14	Jan_6_2006	36.59	36.69	36.9	37.35	37.5	37.74	38(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	56	60	44	92	0.08	55%	0.05	60.5	0.95%	0	2.4	69	0
15	Jan_5_2006	36.57	36.56	36.75	37.01	37.03	37.55	37.58(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	44	100	40	57	0.04	53%	0.05	42.7	0.95%	0	2.1	58	0

16	Jan_4_2006	36.55	36.48	36.63	36.75	36.71	37.27	37.67(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	59	100	65	40	0.03	53%	0.03	25	0.95%	0	2.5	60	0
17	Jan_3_2006	36.54	36.4	36.51	36.46	36.43	36.52	37.34(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	30	10	38	4	0.04	53%	0.03	4.7	0.95%	0	2.4	60	0
18	Dec_30_2005	36.53	36.34	36.44	36.23	36.25	36.16	36.17(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-20	-21	-35	0.01	46%	-0.03	-14.3	0.86%	0	-0.5	53	0
19	Dec_29_2005	36.54	36.34	36.47	36.38	36.28	36.34	36.28(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	0	-10	-6	0.01	49%	-0.03	-1.1	0.86%	0	-0.2	60	0
20	Dec_28_2005	36.55	36.34	36.51	36.45	36.42	36.35	36.3(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	10	-20	4	27	0	51%	0	3.3	0.88%	0	-0.2	63	0

21	Dec_27_2005	36.55	36.36	36.55	36.48	36.48	36.22	36.23(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-50	-21	31	0.01	51%	0.03	11	0.89%	0	-0.4	54	0
22	Dec_23_2005	36.54	36.38	36.55	36.56	36.51	36.49	36.18(-1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-9	-10	-27	46	0.03	51%	0	26.1	0.89%	0	-0.6	53	0
23	Dec_22_2005	36.54	36.39	36.58	36.68	36.66	36.74	36.9(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	10	20	77	0.02	56%	0.03	41.8	0.85%	0	1.5	57	0
24	Dec_21_2005	36.53	36.37	36.48	36.57	36.64	36.54	36.63(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	-10	-1	44	0.01	56%	0	51.8	0.85%	0	0.8	49	0
25	Dec_20_2005	36.53	36.35	36.38	36.59	36.58	36.58	36.47(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-0	-15	31	0	56%		67.1	0.85%	0	0.4	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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