Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 4, 2005

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $36.1700 (-0.36%) ($36.1200 - $36.3000) on Thu. Aug. 4, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $36.1700(-0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.94(0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.64(1.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.31(2.44%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 1.7% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.91%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.31%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.62%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.33%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 2.89%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.14%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2005	34.3	35.31	35.64	35.94	36.02	36.25	36.17(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	50	25	112	0.01	66%	0	84.7	0.75%	0	1.4	70	0
2	Aug_3_2005	34.3	35.19	35.55	35.87	35.88	36.04	36.3(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	53	30	34	110	0.01	66%	0.03	79	0.77%	0	1.8	67	0
3	Aug_2_2005	34.29	35.08	35.46	35.7	35.74	35.79	35.9(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	10	19	97	0.02	66%	0	74.7	0.76%	0	1.3	65	0
4	Aug_1_2005	34.29	34.97	35.36	35.55	35.63	35.73	35.75(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	30	19	71	0.01	66%	0	71.6	0.77%	0	1.3	56	0
5	Jul_29_2005	34.29	34.88	35.26	35.4	35.46	35.7	35.57(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	50	24	57	0	68%	0	65.1	0.78%	0	1.2	63	0

6	Jul_28_2005	34.29	34.81	35.19	35.29	35.3	35.54	35.82(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	50	32	63	0.01	65%	0	62.2	0.79%	0	1.7	72	0
7	Jul_27_2005	34.29	34.71	35.12	35.19	35.3	35.22	35.47(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	10	11	68	0.01	60%	-0.03	58.7	0.8%	0	1.3	73	0
8	Jul_26_2005	34.3	34.63	35.06	35.18	35.17	35.06	35.12(0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-20	-3	83	0.02	57%	-0.03	55.7	0.81%	0	0.8	67	0
9	Jul_25_2005	34.31	34.56	35.08	35.15	35.19	35.13	35(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	-10	-4	107	0	57%	-0.06	51.7	0.82%	0	0.7	67	0
10	Jul_22_2005	34.33	34.5	35.05	35.1	35.15	35.27	35.06(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	30	6	122	0	57%	0	44.6	0.82%	0	0.9	66	0

11	Jul_21_2005	34.33	34.44	34.96	35.07	35.06	35.26	35.29(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	40	20	127	0.01	58%	0	46.6	0.82%	0	1.4	66	0
12	Jul_20_2005	34.33	34.38	34.82	35.03	34.94	35.04	35.45(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	10	18	121	0.01	56%	-0.03	50.6	0.83%	0	1.9	70	0
13	Jul_19_2005	34.34	34.31	34.67	34.93	34.91	34.87	34.95(0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	24	-10	-4	108	0.03	55%	-0.03	58.4	0.83%	0	1.3	68	0
14	Jul_18_2005	34.35	34.25	34.56	35	34.93	34.84	34.76(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	24	-20	-8	118	0.02	55%	-0.03	67.1	0.84%	0	1	67	0
15	Jul_15_2005	34.36	34.22	34.48	34.98	35	34.96	34.89(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	40	-10	10	129	0.01	52%	-0.03	76.4	0.84%	0	1.4	68	0

16	Jul_14_2005	34.37	34.16	34.4	34.83	34.92	35.01	35.09(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	30	26	122	0.01	52%	0	70.3	0.85%	0	2	67	0
17	Jul_13_2005	34.37	34.09	34.28	34.56	34.65	35.05	34.97(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	48	90	33	92	0.01	52%	-0.03	61.9	0.86%	0	2	62	0
18	Jul_12_2005	34.38	34.01	34.15	34.36	34.47	34.83	35.28(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	68	80	65	76	0.01	54%	0.03	49.2	0.85%	0	3.2	67	0
19	Jul_11_2005	34.37	33.92	33.98	34.07	34.17	34.25	34.66(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	25	30	25	25	0.01	51%	-0.03	41	0.82%	0	2.6	64	0
20	Jul_8_2005	34.38	33.86	33.89	33.93	34	34.11	34.14(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-3	30	1	-14	0.02	48%	-0.06	35.4	0.8%	0	1.3	44	0

21	Jul_7_2005	34.4	33.84	33.87	33.92	34.02	34.09	33.77(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	7	20	12	-7	0.02	45%	-0.06	30.8	0.79%	0	-0.3	52	0
22	Jul_6_2005	34.42	33.83	33.9	33.94	34.02	33.89	33.96(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-20	-1	1	0.01	48%	-0.06	32.4	0.79%	0	0.6	57	0
23	Jul_5_2005	34.44	33.81	33.9	33.9	33.99	33.96	33.84(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	0	-6	8	0.01	50%	-0.12	32.4	0.8%	0	0.1	59	0
24	Jul_1_2005	34.48	33.8	33.91	33.87	33.98	34.09	33.92(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	30	9	17	0.01	48%	-0.03	19.7	0.81%	0	0.5	57	0
25	Jun_30_2005	34.49	33.78	33.95	33.84	33.9	34.03	34.1(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	30	14	30	0.01	48%		4.2	0.81%	0	1.3	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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