Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 19, 2004

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $32.8100 (0.06%) ($32.7900 - $33.0100) on Fri. Nov. 19, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $32.8100(0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(73%)    IWM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(-2%)    REMX(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.43(1.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.27(1.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.84(3.05%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.17% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.56%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.11%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.91%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -0.16%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.33%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_19_2004	29	31.84	32.27	32.43	32.52	32.81	32.81(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	70	22	78	0.03	74%	0.17	78.8	0.86%	0	1.4	72	0
2	Nov_18_2004	28.95	31.73	32.21	32.33	32.35	32.66	32.79(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	70	37	91	0.02	76%	0.14	80.2	0.86%	0	1.5	73	0
3	Nov_17_2004	28.91	31.61	32.14	32.22	32.23	32.23	32.52(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	0	26	92	0.01	76%	0.17	82.2	0.87%	0	1.3	72	0
4	Nov_16_2004	28.86	31.5	32.06	32.07	32.23	32.03	31.92(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10	-13	80	0.01	74%	0.1	79.6	0.85%	0	0.6	73	0
5	Nov_15_2004	28.83	31.41	32.02	32.07	32.12	32.23	32.11(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	30	3	109	0.05	74%	0.14	79	0.85%	0	0.9	80	0

6	Nov_12_2004	28.79	31.31	31.96	32.09	32.09	32.2	32.31(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	20	14	137	0.03	74%	0.14	76.3	0.84%	0	1.2	84	0
7	Nov_11_2004	28.75	31.18	31.86	32.07	32.06	32.01	32.23(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	-10	1	150	0.02	74%	0.14	72.4	0.84%	0	1.2	83	0
8	Nov_10_2004	28.71	31.04	31.77	32.06	32.09	31.99	31.79(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	36	-20	-6	163	0.01	72%	0.14	67.6	0.85%	0	0.8	81	0
9	Nov_9_2004	28.67	30.92	31.68	32.04	32.11	32.1	32.02(-0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	50	0	5	183	0.01	72%	0.14	64.1	0.84%	0	1.2	90	0
10	Nov_8_2004	28.63	30.8	31.53	31.92	32.08	32.19	32.09(-0.43%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	63	40	20	191	0.02	72%	0.14	63	0.84%	0	1.4	93	0

11	Nov_5_2004	28.59	30.69	31.38	31.8	31.89	32.12	32.23(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	72	60	31	195	0.03	72%	0.14	66.8	0.84%	0	1.8	98	0
12	Nov_4_2004	28.55	30.57	31.21	31.62	31.66	31.97	32.18(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	77	70	38	194	0.03	72%	0.18	69.5	0.84%	0	2	98	0
13	Nov_3_2004	28.5	30.44	31.04	31.44	31.49	31.66	31.66(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	82	40	40	206	0.03	70%	0.14	77.2	0.82%	0	1.7	98	0
14	Nov_2_2004	28.46	30.34	30.89	31.27	31.27	31.36	31.45(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	68	20	24	198	0.01	70%	0.14	84.4	0.83%	0	1.6	98	0
15	Nov_1_2004	28.42	30.24	30.75	31.08	31.1	31.31	31.48(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	71	50	30	192	0.02	70%	0.11	89.3	0.83%	0	1.9	90	0

16	Oct_29_2004	28.39	30.13	30.6	30.89	30.9	31.18	31.35(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	71	60	37	171	0.01	70%	0.11	97.5	0.83%	0	2	69	0
17	Oct_28_2004	28.36	30.02	30.45	30.73	30.71	30.89	31.25(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	61	40	31	149	0.02	70%	0.14	100.5	0.84%	0	2.1	71	0
18	Oct_27_2004	28.32	29.89	30.25	30.59	30.59	30.63	30.8(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	10	19	120	0.03	68%	0.07	98.5	0.83%	0	1.5	68	0
19	Oct_26_2004	28.3	29.78	30.11	30.46	30.52	30.53	30.53(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	10	10	93	0.01	67%	0.07	89.8	0.84%	0	1.2	66	0
20	Oct_25_2004	28.28	29.67	30	30.36	30.42	30.56	30.52(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	40	15	80	0.03	67%	0.11	76.3	0.86%	0	1.2	68	0

21	Oct_22_2004	28.25	29.55	29.95	30.25	30.32	30.5	30.54(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	40	50	26	81	0.02	58%	0.11	69.6	0.95%	0	1.4	71	0
22	Oct_21_2004	28.22	29.43	29.87	30.12	30.16	30.28	30.54(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	30	31	79	0.01	58%	0.11	62.5	0.96%	0	1.5	72	0
23	Oct_20_2004	28.19	29.31	29.79	29.87	29.98	30.13	30.19(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	35	50	24	69	0.01	55%	0.11	52	0.96%	0	1.2	76	0
24	Oct_19_2004	28.16	29.21	29.74	29.69	29.78	30.04	30(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	35	70	23	72	0.01	55%	0.04	47	0.97%	0	1.1	77	0
25	Oct_18_2004	28.15	29.14	29.69	29.59	29.61	29.83	30(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	33	50	17	82	0.03	55%		42.9	0.97%	0	1.2	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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