Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 12, 2004

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $28.8400 (0.49%) ($28.7000 - $28.9300) on Mon. Apr. 12, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $28.8400(0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(73%)    IWM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-9%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.62(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.39(1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.87(3.48%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.33% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_12_2004	28.04	27.87	28.39	28.62	28.66	28.82	28.84(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	40	11	116	0.02	52%	0.29	4.7	1.34%	0	1.5	78	0
2	Apr_8_2004	27.96	27.82	28.25	28.54	28.55	28.7	28.7(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	40	11	116	0.01	53%	0.14	-9.7	1.33%	0	1.5	70	0
3	Apr_7_2004	27.92	27.79	28.13	28.49	28.49	28.51	28.68(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	0	10	109	0.01	53%	0.18	-18.5	1.34%	0	1.5	59	0
4	Apr_6_2004	27.87	27.78	27.95	28.4	28.44	28.41	28.42(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	-0	7	86	0.01	53%	0.14	-22.9	1.33%	0	1	55	0
5	Apr_5_2004	27.83	27.8	27.84	28.26	28.36	28.47	28.44(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	40	11	77	0.01	55%	0.14	-27	1.33%	0	0.9	63	0

6	Apr_2_2004	27.79	27.84	27.69	28.12	28.18	28.48	28.47(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	80	23	73	0.01	57%	0.18	-31.1	1.36%	0	0.8	68	0
7	Apr_1_2004	27.74	27.88	27.57	27.92	27.99	28.25	28.46(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	70	29	46	0.01	57%	0.14	-36.1	1.38%	0	0.7	52	0
8	Mar_31_2004	27.7	27.9	27.49	27.72	27.73	27.89	28.22(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	40	25	23	0.02	57%	0.14	-41.4	1.39%	0	0.4	49	0
9	Mar_30_2004	27.66	27.93	27.44	27.43	27.56	27.72	27.69(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	50	13	-20	0.02	55%	0.14	-51.9	1.37%	0	-0.3	40	0
10	Mar_29_2004	27.62	27.99	27.4	27.36	27.37	27.58	27.74(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	50	17	-50	0.01	56%	0.15	-53.2	1.37%	0	-0.3	39	0

11	Mar_26_2004	27.58	28.08	27.3	27.21	27.26	27.4	27.47(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	40	13	-103	0.03	56%	0.15	-55.3	1.37%	0	-0.6	34	0
12	Mar_25_2004	27.54	28.17	27.35	27.17	27.17	27.16	27.49(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-36	-0	-2	-136	0.01	56%	0.15	-57.2	1.37%	0	-0.7	33	0
13	Mar_24_2004	27.5	28.25	27.41	27.23	27.19	27.12	26.77(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-20	-19	-155	0.14	54%	0.11	-60.9	1.34%	0	-1.5	32	0
14	Mar_23_2004	27.47	28.38	27.6	27.46	27.37	27.18	27.32(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-60	-4	-136	0.02	56%	0.11	-61.9	1.32%	0	-1.1	38	0
15	Mar_22_2004	27.44	28.49	27.76	27.44	27.48	27.26	26.99(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-44	-50	-11	-144	0.05	56%	0.15	-67.2	1.31%	0	-1.6	33	0

16	Mar_19_2004	27.4	28.62	28	27.39	27.55	27.57	27.27(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	20	-11	-154	0.04	56%	0.15	-76.3	1.31%	0	-1.6	31	0
17	Mar_18_2004	27.36	28.73	28.22	27.55	27.41	27.71	27.82(-0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-34	60	1	-139	0.04	60%	0.15	-76.3	1.28%	0	-1.1	36	0
18	Mar_17_2004	27.32	28.85	28.34	27.62	27.49	27.53	27.88(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-30	-0	3	-129	0.1	60%	0.15	-74.2	1.3%	0	-1.1	43	0
19	Mar_16_2004	27.28	28.97	28.44	27.8	27.62	27.11	27.26(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-67	-150	-41	-144	0.11	59%	0.15	-66.8	1.27%	0	-1.9	34	0
20	Mar_15_2004	27.24	29.12	28.63	28.14	27.99	27.44	26.74(-4.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-88	-150	-72	-136	0.29	57%	0.15	-57.8	1.25%	0	-3	28	0

21	Mar_12_2004	27.2	29.29	28.94	28.68	28.57	28.13	28.04(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-57	-120	-48	-85	0.06	63%	0.18	-48.8	1.1%	0	-2.1	35	0
22	Mar_11_2004	27.15	29.4	29.08	28.98	28.94	28.54	28.2(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-43	-100	-40	-52	0.04	65%	0.18	-23.5	1.1%	0	-2.2	36	0
23	Mar_10_2004	27.1	29.51	29.17	29.16	29.23	29	28.74(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-50	-18	-48	0.12	68%	0.18	1.2	1.08%	0	-1.5	33	0
24	Mar_9_2004	27.05	29.57	29.23	29.18	29.27	29.34	28.98(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	30	-3	-55	0	68%	0.22	15.7	1.07%	0	-1.3	35	0
25	Mar_8_2004	26.99	29.59	29.29	29.2	29.16	29.45	29.42(-0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	70	10	-64	0.02	70%		30.3	1.05%	0	-0.4	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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