Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 18, 2003

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $24.3900 (1.37%) ($24.1900 - $24.4500) on Tue. Nov. 18, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $24.3900(1.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(91%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(73%)    IWM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-14%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(13%)    XLU(51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.42(-0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.17(0.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.88(2.14%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 1.63% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2003	23.02	23.88	24.17	24.42	24.41	24.28	24.39(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-40	-0	87	0	53%	0.09	63.8	1.04%	0	1.3	64	0
2	Nov_17_2003	23	23.84	24.1	24.31	24.45	24.44	24.06(-2.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	19	10	-0	77	0.03	51%	0.09	53.5	1.03%	0	0.6	60	0
3	Nov_14_2003	22.98	23.81	24.08	24.29	24.34	24.54	24.75(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	41	60	21	102	0.02	56%	0.09	48.2	0.96%	0	2.4	78	0
4	Nov_13_2003	22.96	23.73	23.97	24.15	24.18	24.46	24.41(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	47	80	30	96	0.01	54%	0.09	40.7	0.95%	0	2.1	75	0
5	Nov_12_2003	22.94	23.69	23.91	24.04	24.06	24.14	24.5(2.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	46	30	30	94	0	54%	0.09	35.6	0.95%	0	2.9	79	0

6	Nov_11_2003	22.92	23.69	23.81	23.89	23.9	23.91	23.81(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	0	-2	67	0	51%	0.09	30.1	0.89%	0	0.8	60	0
7	Nov_10_2003	22.9	23.64	23.79	23.87	23.87	23.99	23.99(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	40	11	72	0.03	51%	0.04	38.2	0.89%	0	1.7	65	0
8	Nov_7_2003	22.89	23.62	23.73	23.83	23.81	23.9	24.05(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	20	15	67	0.01	51%	0.04	43.5	0.9%	0	2.2	69	0
9	Nov_6_2003	22.88	23.6	23.66	23.83	23.79	23.76	23.83(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10	4	54	0.02	50%	0	57.9	0.89%	0	1.3	68	0
10	Nov_5_2003	22.88	23.59	23.6	23.76	23.75	23.71	23.77(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-10	-3	43	0	50%	0.04	88.9	0.89%	0	1.1	54	0

11	Nov_4_2003	22.87	23.57	23.57	23.72	23.8	23.81	23.71(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	140	10	154	98	0	50%	0	93.1	0.89%	0	0.8	53	0
12	Nov_3_2003	22.87	23.56	23.55	23.69	19.34	23.79	23.81(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	1060	11	28	0	50%	0	115.3	0.89%	0	1.5	47	0
13	Oct_31_2003	22.87	23.53	23.51	23.6	19.24	23.8	23.7(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	433	1100	508	207	0.05	50%	0.04	103.5	0.89%	0	0.8	48	0
14	Oct_30_2003	22.86	23.5	23.47	23.53	19.19	14.9	23.82(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	19	-2120	28	-8	0.01	50%	0.04	76.5	0.89%	0	1.1	49	0
15	Oct_29_2003	22.85	23.44	23.47	23.42	19.05	14.68	23.55(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-559	-2170	-646	-296	0	45%	0.09	66.4	0.88%	0	0.4	50	0

16	Oct_28_2003	22.83	23.41	23.45	23.41	19.05	23.48	23.55(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	30	5	-34	0	45%	0.04	57.3	0.91%	0	0.4	53	0
17	Oct_27_2003	22.82	23.36	23.47	23.4	19.05	23.41	23.4(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	10	7	-25	0	45%	0.04	45.4	0.9%	0	0.1	51	0
18	Oct_24_2003	22.81	23.33	23.5	23.4	23.37	23.26	23.33(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-40	-5	-19	0	49%	0.04	38	0.94%	0	0	52	0
19	Oct_23_2003	22.8	23.29	23.54	23.41	23.4	23.33	23.27(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-20	-15	-3	0	49%	0.04	28.5	0.94%	0	-0	61	0
20	Oct_22_2003	22.79	23.26	23.58	23.47	23.46	23.33	23.49(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	0	-2	36	0.01	52%	0.09	25.3	0.94%	0	0.5	74	0

21	Oct_21_2003	22.77	23.21	23.58	23.49	23.47	23.48	23.5(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	0	-4	48	0	52%	0.04	22.2	0.95%	0	0.6	59	0
22	Oct_20_2003	22.76	23.19	23.57	23.56	23.48	23.43	23.45(0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-30	-8	83	0	52%	0.09	26.8	0.95%	0	0.6	68	0
23	Oct_17_2003	22.74	23.17	23.56	23.61	23.53	23.46	23.32(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	16	-30	-15	108	0	52%	0.09	31.4	0.95%	0	0.3	62	0
24	Oct_16_2003	22.72	23.16	23.53	23.7	23.62	23.53	23.6(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	33	-40	-5	145	0	54%	0.09	41.2	0.94%	0	1	69	0
25	Oct_15_2003	22.7	23.14	23.44	23.69	23.67	23.61	23.57(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	34	-20	-4	146	0.03	54%		46.3	0.95%	0	1	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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