Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 6, 2003

Trading Signals: EWP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Spain ETF)
EWP latest price $22.2600 (-0.62%) ($22.2600 - $22.5500) on Fri. Jun. 6, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $22.2600(-0.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWP advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(90%)    EWG(86%)    SPY(75%)    EEM(73%)    IWM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWP price   EWP will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-14%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(13%)    XLU(51%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.16(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.9(1.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.43(3.87%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   20.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWP price fluctuates within 2.57% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4.2%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.27%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.86%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20030706

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_6_2003	20.68	21.43	21.9	22.16	18.07	22.34	22.26(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	1100	16	148	0.01	80%	0.15	61.9	1.22%	0	1.5	68	0
2	Jun_5_2003	20.65	21.34	21.78	22.05	17.98	22.21	22.4(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	335	1090	355	275	0	80%	0.19	56.9	1.23%	0	2	75	0
3	Jun_4_2003	20.61	21.25	21.61	21.92	17.85	13.8	22.13(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	-2150	11	123	0.05	80%	0.19	56.7	1.24%	0	1.8	75	0
4	Jun_3_2003	20.57	21.21	21.49	21.82	17.76	13.76	22(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-326	-2130	-416	-56	0	80%	0.15	63.2	1.25%	0	1.8	70	0
5	Jun_2_2003	20.54	21.15	21.38	21.74	21.76	21.91	22(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	50	18	104	0.03	80%	0.15	66.5	1.26%	0	2.1	64	0

6	May_30_2003	20.51	21.09	21.29	21.61	21.63	21.77	21.72(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	50	19	95	0.03	79%	0.15	70.8	1.27%	0	1.8	63	0
7	May_29_2003	20.48	21.04	21.2	21.47	21.49	21.62	21.74(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	50	25	87	0.01	79%	0.15	63.6	1.28%	0	2.1	69	0
8	May_28_2003	20.45	20.98	21.1	21.26	21.28	21.5	21.64(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	31	80	21	60	0.01	79%	0.15	51.4	1.3%	0	2.1	63	0
9	May_27_2003	20.42	20.93	21.01	21.12	21.06	21.35	21.6(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	28	90	26	34	0.01	79%	0.2	42.6	1.32%	0	2.5	51	0
10	May_23_2003	20.38	20.89	20.95	20.96	20.9	21.06	21.35(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	14	50	15	12	0	79%	0.1	38.3	1.33%	0	1.9	54	0

11	May_22_2003	20.36	20.84	20.91	20.93	20.84	20.76	21(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	-40	-0	6	0.01	78%	0.1	35.8	1.33%	0	0.7	53	0
12	May_21_2003	20.34	20.84	20.86	20.91	20.93	20.75	20.71(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6	-60	-7	-2	0	77%	0.05	43.4	1.34%	0	-0.5	52	0
13	May_20_2003	20.33	20.84	20.87	20.9	20.99	20.91	20.93(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-5	-10	-6	-0	0.01	77%	0.1	56.6	1.34%	0	0.5	55	0
14	May_19_2003	20.31	20.82	20.91	20.89	20.97	21.11	20.81(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	60	-1	12	0.04	77%	0.05	73.9	1.35%	0	-0	52	0
15	May_16_2003	20.3	20.79	20.92	20.93	20.95	21.07	21.22(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	40	14	28	0.01	83%	0.15	88.3	1.31%	0	1.7	56	0

16	May_15_2003	20.27	20.76	20.88	20.88	20.88	21.07	20.87(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	11	-20	6	27	0	82%	0.1	108.1	1.31%	0	0.5	59	0
17	May_14_2003	20.25	20.73	20.86	20.81	20.86	20.83	20.69(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-0	-3	15	0.05	82%	0.1	98.4	1.33%	0	-0.2	52	0
18	May_13_2003	20.23	20.7	20.86	20.82	20.86	20.92	20.84(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	30	-7	14	0	82%	0.1	92.7	1.34%	0	0.5	54	0
19	May_12_2003	20.21	20.64	20.85	20.93	20.82	20.89	21.03(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	10	5	30	0	82%	0.15	87.5	1.34%	0	1	52	0
20	May_9_2003	20.18	20.58	20.82	20.92	20.91	20.71	20.96(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-70	1	36	0.1	82%	0.15	82.8	1.36%	0	0.9	60	0

21	May_8_2003	20.15	20.51	20.77	20.88	20.93	20.76	20.53(-0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-50	-14	24	0.01	80%	0.05	83.1	1.35%	0	0	51	0
22	May_7_2003	20.14	20.47	20.77	20.91	20.91	20.76	20.73(-3.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	60	3	44	0.01	80%	0.1	87.2	1.35%	0	0.5	60	0
23	May_6_2003	20.12	20.41	20.78	20.88	20.85	21.1	21.39(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	42	80	31	76	0.1	94%	0.3	86.2	1.16%	0	1.8	72	0
24	May_5_2003	20.06	20.31	20.72	20.75	20.7	20.72	20.97(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-0	8	78	0.01	93%	0.2	0	1.15%	0	1.3	72	0
25	May_2_2003	20.02	20.23	20.65	20.72	20.67	20.61	20.79(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-30	3	86	0.01	93%		0	1.17%	0	1.1	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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