Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 19, 2017

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $57.3900 (-0.23%) ($57.1500 - $57.4000) on Thu. Oct. 19, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.38% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $57.3900(-0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(78%)    EWG(77%)    SPY(77%)    IVE(76%)    IWD(76%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.19% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-5%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.19% (StdDev 0.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.5(-0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.98(0.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.39(1.77%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 0.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 0.94%(75%) Average negative next day return: -1.48%(25%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 1.66%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -2%(42%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 2.53%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.18%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_19_2017	54.76	56.39	56.98	57.5	57.47	57.37	57.39(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	54	-10	-4	227	5.19	69%	0.07	72.6	0.38%	0	1.3	86	INF
2	Oct_18_2017	54.72	56.29	56.85	57.36	57.48	57.49	57.52(-0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	69	10	17	226	4.43	70%	0.07	71	0.38%	0	1.7	90	INF
3	Oct_17_2017	54.68	56.19	56.7	57.21	57.29	57.58	57.58(-0.1%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.5	95	40	50	230	5.65	70%	0.05	73.2	0.38%	0	2	92	INF
4	Oct_16_2017	54.65	56.08	56.54	56.98	57.09	57.48	57.64(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	145	50	114	238	6.73	70%	0.09	74.1	0.38%	0	2.5	95	INF
5	Oct_13_2017	54.6	55.96	56.34	56.67	56.79	57.01	57.38(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	115	30	91	186	8.67	69%	0.07	71.6	0.38%	0	2.7	94	INF

6	Oct_12_2017	54.56	55.84	56.17	56.39	56.49	56.7	56.68(-0.12%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.7	74	30	50	147	5.69	67%	0.07	72.2	0.35%	0	1.9	92	INF
7	Oct_11_2017	54.52	55.77	56.07	56.26	56.28	56.57	56.75(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	86	40	68	141	8.62	69%	0.07	73	0.36%	0	2.4	96	INF
8	Oct_10_2017	54.48	55.68	55.95	56.12	56.11	56.28	56.46(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	72	20	57	116	6.37	68%	0.06	84.1	0.36%	0	2.2	78	INF
9	Oct_9_2017	54.45	55.62	55.86	56.03	56	56	56.06(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-0	21	90	2.02	65%	0.06	101.8	0.36%	0	1.4	72	INF
10	Oct_6_2017	54.42	55.58	55.81	55.96	55.94	55.94	55.99(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-0	3	81	6.57	61%	0.07	108.9	0.36%	0	1.3	78	INF

11	Oct_5_2017	54.38	55.53	55.75	55.91	55.88	55.99	56.02(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	10	19	82	4.16	61%	0.06	103.4	0.37%	0	1.5	80	INF
12	Oct_4_2017	54.35	55.47	55.69	55.84	55.8	55.95	56.05(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	53	20	41	88	8.99	61%	0.07	92.5	0.37%	0	1.6	83	INF
13	Oct_3_2017	54.31	55.39	55.64	55.76	55.71	55.76	56.04(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	0	28	81	10.2	61%	0.07	78.9	0.38%	0	1.5	83	INF
14	Oct_2_2017	54.27	55.3	55.59	55.67	55.63	55.76	55.71(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	0	5	65	5.26	58%	0.06	77.5	0.38%	0	1.1	70	INF
15	Sep_29_2017	54.24	55.24	55.54	55.63	55.61	55.66	55.71(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	10	16	68	6.22	53%	0.07	72.4	0.38%	0	1.1	71	INF

16	Sep_28_2017	54.2	55.19	55.5	55.58	55.57	55.6	55.7(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	28	0	16	63	3.72	53%	0.06	75	0.4%	0	1.2	76	INF
17	Sep_27_2017	54.17	55.12	55.45	55.51	55.51	55.56	55.66(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	10	8	60	5.98	53%	0.06	66.3	0.4%	0	1.2	79	INF
18	Sep_26_2017	54.14	55.06	55.39	55.51	55.47	55.53	55.55(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	10	7	76	10.88	53%	0.06	63.4	0.4%	0	1.1	82	INF
19	Sep_25_2017	54.11	55	55.36	55.5	55.5	55.46	55.55(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	33	-10	10	102	10.84	53%	0.06	64.6	0.41%	0	1.2	85	INF
20	Sep_22_2017	54.08	54.94	55.33	55.44	55.51	55.42	55.43(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	21	-10	-7	105	2.19	53%	0.06	61	0.41%	0	1.1	73	INF

21	Sep_21_2017	54.05	54.88	55.29	55.4	55.47	55.53	55.37(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	10	-1	112	7.97	53%	0.06	58.3	0.41%	0	1.1	64	INF
22	Sep_20_2017	54.02	54.83	55.23	55.36	55.41	55.6	55.59(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	69	30	44	142	4.06	50%	0.06	56.1	0.4%	0	1.7	76	INF
23	Sep_19_2017	53.99	54.77	55.13	55.27	55.26	55.4	55.57(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	59	20	36	129	4.77	50%	0.07	54.5	0.41%	0	1.9	74	INF
24	Sep_18_2017	53.95	54.71	55	55.27	55.16	55.21	55.25(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	0	11	108	2.44	47%	0.06	54.9	0.41%	0	1.4	68	INF
25	Sep_15_2017	53.92	54.67	54.92	55.21	55.17	55.11	55.24(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10	4	110	7.42	43%		61.8	0.41%	0	1.5	68	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.