Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $48.4000 (0.33%) ($48.2000 - $48.4400) on Fri. Aug. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $48.4000(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(77%)    EWG(76%)    SPY(76%)    IWD(75%)    IVE(74%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-13%)    IPO(-9%)    IBUY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.08(0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.82(1.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.68(1.51%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 0.96% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.33%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.83%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.49%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -2.79%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.36%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.49%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2016	46.67	47.68	47.82	48.08	47.93	48.23	48.4(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	30	20	43	4.65	55%	0.04	110.4	1.13%	0	1.6	58	0
2	Aug_4_2016	46.65	47.58	47.72	48.05	47.95	47.8	48.24(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-30	13	38	8.3	55%	0.06	95.6	1.13%	0	1.2	58	0
3	Aug_3_2016	46.62	47.47	47.63	47.88	47.98	47.63	47.56(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-40	-19	12	6.48	53%	0.04	73.6	1.12%	0	0.1	48	0
4	Aug_2_2016	46.6	47.39	47.65	47.85	47.93	48.11	47.8(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	30	-4	17	14.72	56%	0.02	67.1	1.12%	0	0.6	53	0
5	Aug_1_2016	46.59	47.31	47.6	47.75	47.85	48.33	48.4(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	80	41	26	5.83	59%	0.04	67.8	1.13%	0	1.6	60	0

6	Jul_29_2016	46.57	47.18	47.52	47.53	47.59	47.75	48.24(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	30	29	9	11.57	59%	0.09	62.2	1.14%	0	1.5	63	0
7	Jul_28_2016	46.53	47.07	47.44	47.37	47.36	47.37	47.4(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	0	-4	-1	14.06	47%	0.04	48.3	1.13%	0	0.5	69	0
8	Jul_27_2016	46.51	47.02	47.46	47.36	47.41	47.44	47.4(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	10	2	16	8.35	47%	0.04	49	1.27%	0	0.5	73	0
9	Jul_26_2016	46.49	46.95	47.48	47.36	47.37	47.36	47.32(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-0	-3	34	9.17	47%	0.04	41.1	1.27%	0	0.5	72	0
10	Jul_25_2016	46.47	46.84	47.52	47.42	47.44	47.39	47.28(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10	-3	50	4.87	47%	0.02	28.2	1.27%	0	0.5	72	0

11	Jul_22_2016	46.46	46.75	47.53	47.5	47.45	47.38	47.44(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10	-5	68	4.11	47%	0.04	27.7	1.27%	0	0.8	75	0
12	Jul_21_2016	46.44	46.74	47.43	47.51	47.48	47.49	47.36(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-0	-5	74	6.98	47%	0.04	36.6	1.27%	0	0.7	73	0
13	Jul_20_2016	46.42	46.68	47.31	47.58	47.48	47.51	47.72(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10	3	79	6.25	47%	0.09	40.8	1.27%	0	1.2	69	0
14	Jul_19_2016	46.38	46.64	47.13	47.55	47.54	47.47	47.32(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10	-7	77	9.62	47%	0.06	50.6	1.27%	0	0.8	72	0
15	Jul_18_2016	46.35	46.61	47	47.62	47.6	47.56	47.64(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	-10	-1	92	8.51	47%	0.09	59.7	1.28%	0	1.3	82	0

16	Jul_15_2016	46.31	46.51	46.83	47.58	47.63	47.61	47.52(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	0	9	101	17.38	47%	0.06	54.7	1.28%	0	1.3	76	0
17	Jul_14_2016	46.28	46.42	46.68	47.33	47.58	47.63	47.68(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	20	20	80	7.14	47%	0.09	38.1	1.29%	0	1.6	50	0
18	Jul_13_2016	46.24	46.33	46.54	46.98	47.18	47.66	47.6(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	80	25	65	7.28	52%	0.09	16.1	1.29%	0	1.8	58	0
19	Jul_12_2016	46.2	46.23	46.36	46.65	46.78	47.54	47.68(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	52	120	54	46	11.59	55%	0.09	-10.9	1.33%	0	2.1	52	0
20	Jul_11_2016	46.16	46.13	46.1	46.3	46.28	46.71	47.4(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	34	60	42	8	12.16	55%	0.09	-40.8	1.36%	0	2.1	53	0

21	Jul_8_2016	46.12	46.08	45.88	46	45.95	46.02	46.28(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	10	9	-24	6.33	56%	0.07	-65.2	1.33%	0	0.4	54	0
22	Jul_7_2016	46.09	46.13	45.97	45.94	45.91	45.85	45.96(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-10	-4	-19	6.43	56%	0.07	-54.5	1.38%	0	-0.3	52	0
23	Jul_6_2016	46.06	46.22	46	46.03	45.9	45.88	45.92(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	-10	-6	-14	12.08	58%	0.04	-37.3	1.38%	0	-0.4	50	0
24	Jul_5_2016	46.04	46.3	46.1	46.01	46.04	45.98	45.92(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10	9	4	6.16	54%	0.11	-32.7	1.39%	0	-0.5	54	0
25	Jul_1_2016	45.99	46.37	46.18	45.85	45.97	45.92	45.92(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	0	1	0	13.45	51%		-34.3	1.41%	0	-0.6	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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