Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Jul. 30, 2016

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $48.2400 (1.77%) ($48.1200 - $48.3600) on Sat. Jul. 30, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $48.2400(1.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.53(1.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.52(1.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.18(2.25%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.48% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 26 Average positive next day return: 0.98%(46%) Average negative next day return: -0.59%(54%) Sample size 26 Average positive next three day return: 1.76%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -1.58%(62%) Sample size 26 Average positive next weekly return: 1.89%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.24%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160830

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_29_2016	46.57	47.18	47.52	47.53	47.59	47.75	48.24(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	30	29	9	11.57	59%	0.09	62.2	1.14%	0	1.5	63	0
2	Jul_28_2016	46.53	47.07	47.44	47.37	47.36	47.37	47.4(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	0	-4	-1	14.06	47%	0.04	48.3	1.13%	0	0.5	69	0
3	Jul_27_2016	46.51	47.02	47.46	47.36	47.41	47.44	47.4(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	10	2	16	8.35	47%	0.04	49	1.27%	0	0.5	73	0
4	Jul_26_2016	46.49	46.95	47.48	47.36	47.37	47.36	47.32(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-0	-3	34	9.17	47%	0.04	41.1	1.27%	0	0.5	72	0
5	Jul_25_2016	46.47	46.84	47.52	47.42	47.44	47.39	47.28(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10	-3	50	4.87	47%	0.02	28.2	1.27%	0	0.5	72	0

6	Jul_22_2016	46.46	46.75	47.53	47.5	47.45	47.38	47.44(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10	-5	68	4.11	47%	0.04	27.7	1.27%	0	0.8	75	0
7	Jul_21_2016	46.44	46.74	47.43	47.51	47.48	47.49	47.36(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-0	-5	74	6.98	47%	0.04	36.6	1.27%	0	0.7	73	0
8	Jul_20_2016	46.42	46.68	47.31	47.58	47.48	47.51	47.72(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10	3	79	6.25	47%	0.09	40.8	1.27%	0	1.2	69	0
9	Jul_19_2016	46.38	46.64	47.13	47.55	47.54	47.47	47.32(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10	-7	77	9.62	47%	0.06	50.6	1.27%	0	0.8	72	0
10	Jul_18_2016	46.35	46.61	47	47.62	47.6	47.56	47.64(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	-10	-1	92	8.51	47%	0.09	59.7	1.28%	0	1.3	82	0

11	Jul_15_2016	46.31	46.51	46.83	47.58	47.63	47.61	47.52(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	0	9	101	17.38	47%	0.06	54.7	1.28%	0	1.3	76	0
12	Jul_14_2016	46.28	46.42	46.68	47.33	47.58	47.63	47.68(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	20	20	80	7.14	47%	0.09	38.1	1.29%	0	1.6	50	0
13	Jul_13_2016	46.24	46.33	46.54	46.98	47.18	47.66	47.6(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	35	80	25	65	7.28	52%	0.09	16.1	1.29%	0	1.8	58	0
14	Jul_12_2016	46.2	46.23	46.36	46.65	46.78	47.54	47.68(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	52	120	54	46	11.59	55%	0.09	-10.9	1.33%	0	2.1	52	0
15	Jul_11_2016	46.16	46.13	46.1	46.3	46.28	46.71	47.4(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	34	60	42	8	12.16	55%	0.09	-40.8	1.36%	0	2.1	53	0

16	Jul_8_2016	46.12	46.08	45.88	46	45.95	46.02	46.28(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	10	9	-24	6.33	56%	0.07	-65.2	1.33%	0	0.4	54	0
17	Jul_7_2016	46.09	46.13	45.97	45.94	45.91	45.85	45.96(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-10	-4	-19	6.43	56%	0.07	-54.5	1.38%	0	-0.3	52	0
18	Jul_6_2016	46.06	46.22	46	46.03	45.9	45.88	45.92(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	-10	-6	-14	12.08	58%	0.04	-37.3	1.38%	0	-0.4	50	0
19	Jul_5_2016	46.04	46.3	46.1	46.01	46.04	45.98	45.92(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10	9	4	6.16	54%	0.11	-32.7	1.39%	0	-0.5	54	0
20	Jul_1_2016	45.99	46.37	46.18	45.85	45.97	45.92	45.92(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	0	1	0	13.45	51%	0.11	-34.3	1.41%	0	-0.6	52	0

21	Jun_30_2016	45.94	46.42	46.17	45.74	45.76	46.11	46(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	50	-2	-13	27.7	49%	0.09	-39	1.45%	0	-0.5	47	0
22	Jun_29_2016	45.9	46.46	46.16	46	45.63	46.01	46.4(1.31%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	11	30	16	-6	5.93	49%	0.07	-31	1.44%	0	-0.1	43	0
23	Jun_28_2016	45.87	46.49	46.12	45.98	45.85	45.42	45.8(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-70	-6	-33	10.83	49%	0.04	-29.5	1.44%	0	-0.8	37	0
24	Jun_27_2016	45.85	46.56	46.1	46.23	46.04	45.26	45.12(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-57	-130	-57	-58	18.82	47%	0.04	-16.5	1.44%	0	-1.8	35	0
25	Jun_24_2016	45.83	46.65	46.18	46.56	46.57	46.29	45.36(-4.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-32	-40	-28	-44	16.16	47%		-3.7	1.45%	0	-1.7	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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