Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $48.5600 (0.75%) ($48.0800 - $48.6000) on Tue. Dec. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $48.5600(0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(77%)    EWG(75%)    SPY(75%)    IVE(74%)    IWD(74%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $49.13
5 Day Moving Average   $48.72(-0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.56(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.13(-1.16%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2015	48.76	49.13	48.56	48.72	48.55	48.28	48.56(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-50	-4	-40	9.84	64%	-0.06	-50.3	1.08%	0	-0.8	40	INF
2	Dec_21_2015	48.79	49.21	48.59	48.67	48.76	48.27	48.2(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-60	-28	-68	6.31	64%	-0.08	-49.4	1.09%	0	-1.3	34	INF
3	Dec_18_2015	48.83	49.33	48.72	48.72	48.76	48.83	48.38(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	10	-17	-61	15.11	56%	-0.06	-41	1.09%	0	-1.2	43	INF
4	Dec_17_2015	48.86	49.42	48.85	48.66	48.79	49.25	49(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	11	70	30	-46	10.76	59%	-0.04	-40.9	1.16%	0	-0.6	43	INF
5	Dec_16_2015	48.88	49.48	48.88	48.62	48.49	48.76	49.48(2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	7	30	29	-58	10.15	59%	-0.02	-41.7	1.15%	0	0	44	INF

6	Dec_15_2015	48.89	49.5	48.91	48.39	48.41	48.33	48.28(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10	-2	-93	8.05	54%	-0.06	-49.4	1.11%	0	-1.6	32	INF
7	Dec_14_2015	48.92	49.59	49.1	48.52	48.48	48.22	48.48(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-40	-23	-96	12.2	54%	-0.06	-45.5	1.11%	0	-1.5	36	INF
8	Dec_11_2015	48.95	49.64	49.21	48.74	48.59	48.49	48.04(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-49	-20	-33	-98	15.33	54%	-0.06	-42.2	1.11%	0	-2.4	30	INF
9	Dec_10_2015	48.98	49.73	49.4	49.06	48.95	48.75	48.8(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-40	-5	-72	8.14	58%	-0.06	-35.4	1.09%	0	-1.7	37	INF
10	Dec_9_2015	49.01	49.8	49.54	49.18	49.08	48.69	48.36(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-50	-60	-39	-81	11.77	58%	-0.06	-26	1.09%	0	-2.8	32	INF

11	Dec_8_2015	49.04	49.89	49.76	49.49	49.31	49.16	48.92(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-38	-30	-32	-56	7.57	66%	-0.06	-8.8	1.08%	0	-2.4	40	INF
12	Dec_7_2015	49.07	49.92	49.9	49.76	49.61	49.16	49.56(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-30	-4	-25	9	71%	-0.06	8.6	1.1%	0	-1	47	INF
13	Dec_4_2015	49.1	49.92	49.99	49.75	49.77	49.46	49.68(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-40	-17	-21	8.63	61%	-0.04	13.2	1.11%	0	-0.7	55	INF
14	Dec_3_2015	49.12	49.93	50.04	49.8	49.81	49.77	49.4(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-19	-10	-21	-13	9.04	61%	-0.04	19.1	1.18%	0	-1.6	49	INF
15	Dec_2_2015	49.14	49.94	50.13	49.95	49.92	50.09	49.88(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	20	5	7	7.78	64%	-0.04	21.4	1.18%	0	-0.2	48	INF

16	Dec_1_2015	49.16	49.92	50.15	50.07	49.96	49.85	50.28(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-20	4	14	8.99	53%	-0.02	31.4	1.19%	0	1	54	INF
17	Nov_30_2015	49.17	49.89	50.15	50.06	50.01	49.74	49.52(-0.8%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-16	-40	-23	6	11.28	48%	-0.02	27.1	1.32%	0	-1.1	54	INF
18	Nov_27_2015	49.18	49.88	50.11	50.26	50.21	50.07	49.92(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-20	-13	19	1.66	51%	0	31.9	1.31%	0	0.1	55	INF
19	Nov_25_2015	49.18	49.87	50.11	50.32	50.34	50.28	50.16(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10	-4	24	4.91	57%	-0.02	36.5	1.41%	0	0.8	56	INF
20	Nov_24_2015	49.19	49.86	50.09	50.34	50.36	50.36	50.48(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	0	3	34	4.71	52%	-0.02	52.8	1.4%	0	1.7	65	INF

21	Nov_23_2015	49.2	49.81	50.03	50.24	50.29	50.4	50.24(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	20	5	31	5.56	52%	0.02	64.7	1.47%	0	1.3	58	INF
22	Nov_20_2015	49.19	49.8	49.95	50.17	50.21	50.37	50.48(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	20	15	30	5.78	44%	-0.02	81.8	1.53%	0	2.1	61	INF
23	Nov_19_2015	49.2	49.77	49.86	49.95	50.03	50.19	50.24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	14	30	11	21	5.26	43%	-0.02	91.4	1.58%	0	1.6	63	INF
24	Nov_18_2015	49.21	49.73	49.8	49.83	49.84	50.06	50.24(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	30	8	16	6.99	43%	-0.02	85.9	1.58%	0	1.6	59	INF
25	Nov_17_2015	49.22	49.67	49.71	49.81	49.75	49.88	50(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	10	7	10	12.65	43%		83.1	1.58%	0	0.8	48	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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