Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $50.4800 (0.48%) ($50.4000 - $50.5600) on Fri. Nov. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $50.4800(0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(77%)    EWG(75%)    SPY(75%)    IVE(74%)    IWD(74%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.17(0.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.95(1.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.8(1.37%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 0.66% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.51%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.13%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.85%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0.38%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.22%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2015	49.19	49.8	49.95	50.17	50.21	50.37	50.48(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	20	15	30	5.78	44%	-0.02	81.8	1.53%	0	2.1	61	INF
2	Nov_19_2015	49.2	49.77	49.86	49.95	50.03	50.19	50.24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	14	30	11	21	5.26	43%	-0.02	91.4	1.58%	0	1.6	63	INF
3	Nov_18_2015	49.21	49.73	49.8	49.83	49.84	50.06	50.24(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	30	8	16	6.99	43%	-0.02	85.9	1.58%	0	1.6	59	INF
4	Nov_17_2015	49.22	49.67	49.71	49.81	49.75	49.88	50(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	10	7	10	12.65	43%	-0.02	83.1	1.58%	0	0.8	48	INF
5	Nov_16_2015	49.23	49.59	49.67	49.79	49.8	49.88	49.88(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-20	2	8	6.65	43%	-0.06	79.1	1.58%	0	0.6	53	INF

6	Nov_13_2015	49.26	49.53	49.67	49.7	49.8	49.63	49.4(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	-20	-12	-4	9.11	43%	-0.06	72.6	1.58%	0	-0.3	43	INF
7	Nov_12_2015	49.29	49.51	49.64	49.74	49.83	49.97	49.64(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2	30	-2	-3	10.32	43%	-0.04	75.2	1.58%	0	0.3	45	INF
8	Nov_11_2015	49.31	49.46	49.63	49.75	49.8	50.04	50.12(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	40	17	4	5.77	42%	-0.06	60.9	1.58%	0	1	56	INF
9	Nov_10_2015	49.34	49.33	49.61	49.6	49.68	49.69	49.92(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	10	7	1	6.73	43%	-0.04	47.2	1.59%	0	0.8	61	INF
10	Nov_9_2015	49.36	49.24	49.58	49.54	49.57	49.57	49.4(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	0	-5	3	7.49	43%	-0.04	48.6	1.6%	0	0.2	64	INF

11	Nov_6_2015	49.38	49.19	49.63	49.58	49.59	49.68	49.6(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	10	6	19	6.98	43%	-0.04	54.8	1.6%	0	0.6	62	INF
12	Nov_5_2015	49.4	49.13	49.67	49.52	49.54	49.57	49.72(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	10	5	24	13.95	43%	-0.04	63.1	1.6%	0	0.8	59	INF
13	Nov_4_2015	49.42	49.06	49.66	49.48	49.46	49.49	49.36(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	0	-5	26	7.33	43%	-0.04	75.5	1.6%	0	0.4	59	INF
14	Nov_3_2015	49.44	49	49.63	49.48	49.48	49.51	49.6(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-0	1	46	7.56	43%	-0.04	88.5	1.6%	0	0.7	71	INF
15	Nov_2_2015	49.46	48.9	49.52	49.62	49.55	49.43	49.64(0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-20	-3	48	7.15	43%	-0.06	101.2	1.6%	0	0.9	64	INF

16	Oct_30_2015	49.49	48.8	49.42	49.7	49.58	49.45	49.28(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-30	-13	49	10.33	43%	-0.06	105.8	1.6%	0	0.5	57	INF
17	Oct_29_2015	49.52	48.68	49.38	49.85	49.72	49.67	49.52(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10	-4	64	6.35	43%	-0.04	98.2	1.6%	0	0.8	59	INF
18	Oct_28_2015	49.54	48.51	49.29	49.86	49.84	49.71	50.08(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-20	6	73	12.76	43%	-0.02	91.9	1.59%	0	1.3	65	INF
19	Oct_27_2015	49.55	48.3	49.04	49.63	49.73	49.76	49.6(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	10	2	58	10.32	43%	-0.04	77.5	1.59%	0	1	63	INF
20	Oct_26_2015	49.57	48.07	48.87	49.38	49.61	49.98	50(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	70	23	61	8.18	43%	-0.04	66.8	1.59%	0	1.4	72	INF

21	Oct_23_2015	49.59	47.83	48.71	49.1	49.2	49.71	50.04(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	80	28	56	12.69	43%	-0.04	60.5	1.59%	0	1.6	67	INF
22	Oct_22_2015	49.61	47.65	48.53	48.86	48.82	49.25	49.56(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	60	26	59	12.58	43%	-0.06	57.9	1.58%	0	1.4	72	INF
23	Oct_21_2015	49.64	47.44	48.4	48.66	48.65	48.69	48.96(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	10	20	66	16.08	43%	-0.06	48.6	1.58%	0	1.2	72	INF
24	Oct_20_2015	49.67	47.27	48.31	48.35	48.5	48.4	48.32(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-10	-1	62	4.5	43%	-0.08	35.7	1.57%	0	0.8	72	INF
25	Oct_19_2015	49.71	47.14	48.22	48.28	48.29	48.62	48.6(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	50	3	81	6.62	43%		29.6	1.57%	0	1.1	79	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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