Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $48.8400 (0.49%) ($48.5600 - $48.8800) on Fri. Oct. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.57% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $48.8400(0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(77%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(74%)    IVE(74%)    IWD(74%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-11%)    XLRE(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.26(1.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.14(1.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.02(3.87%)
To recent high   -7%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.68% (three month std-dev: 1.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.88%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.56%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -3.12%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.63%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_16_2015	49.75	47.02	48.14	48.26	48.18	48.6	48.84(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	60	25	110	14.85	43%	-0.08	28	1.57%	0	1.4	74	0
2	Oct_15_2015	49.79	46.87	47.92	48.17	48.09	47.96	48.6(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-20	9	103	8.55	43%	-0.08	24.4	1.57%	0	1.5	62	0
3	Oct_14_2015	49.83	46.87	47.67	48.1	48.08	47.75	47.4(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-50	-23	98	13.44	40%	-0.1	26.6	1.53%	0	0.5	64	0
4	Oct_13_2015	49.88	46.81	47.53	48.25	48.08	48.22	47.96(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	27	-0	-3	117	13	42%	-0.04	32.8	1.53%	0	1	64	0
5	Oct_12_2015	49.9	46.76	47.23	48.13	48.24	48.41	48.48(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	30	14	114	4.65	42%	-0.1	31.6	1.53%	0	1.5	67	0

6	Oct_9_2015	49.95	46.67	46.91	47.98	47.99	48.25	48.4(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	40	19	103	4.86	45%	-0.1	34.1	1.55%	0	1.7	61	0
7	Oct_8_2015	50	46.58	46.7	47.62	47.8	48.08	48.28(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	49	50	33	97	10.58	42%	-0.1	24	1.55%	0	1.8	62	0
8	Oct_7_2015	50.05	46.51	46.4	47.18	47.29	47.72	48.12(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	70	29	56	10.94	42%	-0.1	11.3	1.63%	0	1.8	50	0
9	Oct_6_2015	50.1	46.44	46.14	46.7	46.76	47.52	47.36(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	39	120	43	27	10.67	42%	-0.12	0	1.62%	0	1.1	47	0
10	Oct_5_2015	50.16	46.41	45.95	46.18	46.28	46.86	47.76(2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	39	90	53	-4	10.84	42%	-0.08	-25.1	1.62%	0	1.6	51	0

11	Oct_2_2015	50.2	46.32	45.78	45.69	45.56	46	46.6(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-3	60	12	-47	14.27	39%	-0.12	-63.9	1.6%	0	0.4	48	0
12	Oct_1_2015	50.26	46.35	45.71	45.66	45.45	45.7	46.04(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	20	20	-54	10.99	39%	-0.12	-70.9	1.59%	0	-0.4	44	0
13	Sep_30_2015	50.32	46.4	45.84	45.51	45.59	45.12	45.72(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-70	-1	-65	11.9	39%	-0.12	-80.8	1.59%	0	-0.8	42	0
14	Sep_29_2015	50.38	46.44	46.02	45.5	45.51	45.2	44.76(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-47	-50	-37	-77	11.3	35%	-0.16	-83.3	1.57%	0	-2.1	34	0
15	Sep_28_2015	50.46	46.62	46.27	45.67	45.73	46.07	45.32(-2.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-11	60	3	-53	7.82	35%	-0.14	-64.2	1.59%	0	-1.6	37	0

16	Sep_25_2015	50.53	46.81	46.42	45.87	45.71	45.82	46.44(2.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	10	17	-34	11.46	36%	-0.1	-43.3	1.56%	0	-0.4	56	0
17	Sep_24_2015	50.58	46.93	46.47	45.79	45.66	45.39	45.32(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-50	-24	-59	19.51	32%	-0.12	-43.2	1.53%	0	-1.5	35	0
18	Sep_23_2015	50.64	47.08	46.64	46.24	45.91	45.6	45.64(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-34	-70	-31	-43	14.71	34%	-0.12	-45.3	1.53%	0	-1.4	40	0
19	Sep_22_2015	50.7	47.12	46.78	46.63	46.39	45.93	45.64(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-80	-28	-19	11.78	36%	-0.14	-59.8	1.54%	0	-1.5	48	0
20	Sep_21_2015	50.77	47.15	46.94	46.94	46.87	46.23	46.32(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-100	-26	-15	11.61	36%	-0.12	-80.7	1.55%	0	-0.9	38	0

21	Sep_18_2015	50.83	47.22	46.92	47.05	47.04	46.85	46.04(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-31	-30	-29	-36	13.5	36%	-0.1	-97.9	1.54%	0	-1.3	33	0
22	Sep_17_2015	50.88	47.39	47.07	47.23	47.19	47.51	47.56(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	40	17	-22	17.82	38%	-0.1	-98.6	1.5%	0	0.2	40	0
23	Sep_16_2015	50.93	47.53	47.02	47.1	47	47.24	47.6(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	30	19	-35	7.8	38%	-0.12	-82.8	1.5%	0	0.1	47	0
24	Sep_15_2015	50.99	47.7	46.88	46.98	46.86	46.87	47.2(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	-10	3	-48	7.74	38%	-0.12	-72.3	1.5%	0	-0.3	56	0
25	Sep_14_2015	51.05	47.92	46.99	46.94	46.95	46.76	46.84(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	-30	1	-33	9.63	38%		-65.4	1.49%	0	-0.6	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.