Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $50.7600 (0.87%) ($50.5200 - $50.9600) on Thu. Apr. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.89% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $50.7600(0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(78%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(74%)    IVE(74%)    EEM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.65(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.91(-0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.36(0.79%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   15.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.75% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.55%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.52%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 7.24%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.08%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 5.95%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.76%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150502

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_2_2015	47.32	50.36	50.91	50.65	50.54	50.45	50.76(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-20	15	20	6.23	61%	0.08	37.1	0.89%	0	0.5	59	0
2	Apr_1_2015	47.28	50.29	50.88	50.64	50.57	50.17	50.32(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-28	-60	-39	5	17.14	61%	0.08	34.8	0.89%	0	0	57	0
3	Mar_31_2015	47.24	50.23	50.96	50.82	50.72	50.64	50.12(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-19	-20	-40	45	7.27	61%	0.06	39.5	0.9%	0	-0.1	65	0
4	Mar_30_2015	47.21	50.19	50.99	51.07	51.02	50.98	51.12(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	-10	4	110	13.2	63%	0.11	47.1	0.86%	0	1	78	0
5	Mar_27_2015	47.16	50.11	50.89	51.14	51.1	50.8	50.92(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-40	-24	118	7.3	63%	0.11	52.7	0.88%	0	0.9	66	0

6	Mar_26_2015	47.11	50.03	50.8	51.21	51.26	51.07	50.72(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	20	-20	-19	135	6.81	63%	0.08	57.2	0.89%	0	0.8	63	0
7	Mar_25_2015	47.07	49.98	50.73	51.15	51.35	51.41	51.24(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	20	6	152	5.84	65%	0.09	59.4	0.88%	0	1.4	67	0
8	Mar_24_2015	47.03	49.87	50.5	51.11	51.13	51.46	51.36(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	59	50	26	158	6.66	65%	0.06	65.1	0.88%	0	1.7	70	0
9	Mar_23_2015	47	49.76	50.21	50.88	50.96	51.29	51.48(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	74	50	51	143	4.31	65%	0.06	71.4	0.88%	0	2.2	68	0
10	Mar_20_2015	46.97	49.63	49.96	50.61	50.63	50.81	51.24(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	30	31	111	9.09	65%	0.13	81.3	0.88%	0	2.3	63	0

11	Mar_19_2015	46.91	49.53	49.75	50.35	50.39	50.62	50.44(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	30	21	88	10.64	63%	0.11	99.2	0.87%	0	1.5	59	0
12	Mar_18_2015	46.86	49.45	49.63	50.24	50.22	50.45	51.02(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	57	30	46	88	10.87	68%	0.13	112.6	0.85%	0	2.7	62	0
13	Mar_17_2015	46.8	49.32	49.42	49.79	49.99	50.16	50.24(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	40	40	51	7.24	66%	0.11	106.8	0.85%	0	1.6	61	0
14	Mar_16_2015	46.75	49.19	49.32	49.42	49.63	50	50.12(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	60	36	19	6.44	66%	0.11	107.1	0.86%	0	1.7	59	0
15	Mar_13_2015	46.7	49.07	49.25	49.21	49.19	49.81	49.92(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	90	44	12	7.48	61%	0.13	100	0.89%	0	1.4	60	0

16	Mar_12_2015	46.64	48.94	49.19	49.07	48.99	49.26	49.88(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	30	47	4	12.98	61%	0.11	83.5	0.9%	0	1.4	55	0
17	Mar_11_2015	46.59	48.79	49.15	48.96	48.89	48.57	48.8(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-50	-17	-23	7.78	57%	0.11	70.6	0.87%	0	0	51	0
18	Mar_10_2015	46.54	48.7	49.19	49.01	49.05	48.73	48.36(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-40	-41	-21	9.69	52%	0.06	65.4	0.87%	0	-0.4	51	0
19	Mar_9_2015	46.51	48.61	49.19	49.19	49.19	49.22	49.08(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	0	-14	25	5.57	55%	0.13	60.6	0.87%	0	0.4	70	0
20	Mar_6_2015	46.45	48.49	49.29	49.28	49.24	49.37	49.24(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	20	10	58	11.38	52%	0.13	62.3	0.89%	0	0.7	72	0

21	Mar_5_2015	46.39	48.38	49.3	49.31	49.25	49.17	49.32(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	-20	-1	85	6.41	52%	0.13	63	0.89%	0	0.8	77	0
22	Mar_4_2015	46.33	48.25	49.26	49.37	49.27	49.12	49.04(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-30	-18	110	4.11	52%	0.11	64.5	0.89%	0	0.7	78	0
23	Mar_3_2015	46.28	48.12	49.21	49.37	49.42	49.34	49.28(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-10	-4	143	6.55	52%	0.13	62.9	0.89%	0	0.9	82	0
24	Mar_2_2015	46.22	47.98	49.07	49.39	49.4	49.43	49.52(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	44	0	2	169	10.18	52%	0.13	63.6	0.89%	0	1.2	88	0
25	Feb_27_2015	46.16	47.8	48.9	49.3	49.34	49.51	49.4(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	57	30	13	187	9.57	52%		61.8	0.88%	0	1.3	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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