Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $51.2400 (1.59%) ($50.9200 - $51.3200) on Fri. Mar. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $51.2400(1.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(78%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(74%)    IVE(74%)    EEM(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-8%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.61(1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.96(2.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.63(3.24%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.39% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.83%(20%) Average negative next day return: -0.54%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.6%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -0.58%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0.62%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150420

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_20_2015	46.97	49.63	49.96	50.61	50.63	50.81	51.24(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	30	31	111	9.09	65%	0.13	81.3	0.88%	0	2.3	63	INF
2	Mar_19_2015	46.91	49.53	49.75	50.35	50.39	50.62	50.44(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	30	21	88	10.64	63%	0.11	99.2	0.87%	0	1.5	59	INF
3	Mar_18_2015	46.86	49.45	49.63	50.24	50.22	50.45	51.02(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	57	30	46	88	10.87	68%	0.13	112.6	0.85%	0	2.7	62	INF
4	Mar_17_2015	46.8	49.32	49.42	49.79	49.99	50.16	50.24(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	40	40	51	7.24	66%	0.11	106.8	0.85%	0	1.6	61	INF
5	Mar_16_2015	46.75	49.19	49.32	49.42	49.63	50	50.12(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	60	36	19	6.44	66%	0.11	107.1	0.86%	0	1.7	59	INF

6	Mar_13_2015	46.7	49.07	49.25	49.21	49.19	49.81	49.92(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	90	44	12	7.48	61%	0.13	100	0.89%	0	1.4	60	INF
7	Mar_12_2015	46.64	48.94	49.19	49.07	48.99	49.26	49.88(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	30	47	4	12.98	61%	0.11	83.5	0.9%	0	1.4	55	INF
8	Mar_11_2015	46.59	48.79	49.15	48.96	48.89	48.57	48.8(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-50	-17	-23	7.78	57%	0.11	70.6	0.87%	0	0	51	INF
9	Mar_10_2015	46.54	48.7	49.19	49.01	49.05	48.73	48.36(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-40	-41	-21	9.69	52%	0.06	65.4	0.87%	0	-0.4	51	INF
10	Mar_9_2015	46.51	48.61	49.19	49.19	49.19	49.22	49.08(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	0	-14	25	5.57	55%	0.13	60.6	0.87%	0	0.4	70	INF

11	Mar_6_2015	46.45	48.49	49.29	49.28	49.24	49.37	49.24(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	20	10	58	11.38	52%	0.13	62.3	0.89%	0	0.7	72	INF
12	Mar_5_2015	46.39	48.38	49.3	49.31	49.25	49.17	49.32(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	-20	-1	85	6.41	52%	0.13	63	0.89%	0	0.8	77	INF
13	Mar_4_2015	46.33	48.25	49.26	49.37	49.27	49.12	49.04(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-30	-18	110	4.11	52%	0.11	64.5	0.89%	0	0.7	78	INF
14	Mar_3_2015	46.28	48.12	49.21	49.37	49.42	49.34	49.28(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-10	-4	143	6.55	52%	0.13	62.9	0.89%	0	0.9	82	INF
15	Mar_2_2015	46.22	47.98	49.07	49.39	49.4	49.43	49.52(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	44	0	2	169	10.18	52%	0.13	63.6	0.89%	0	1.2	88	INF

16	Feb_27_2015	46.16	47.8	48.9	49.3	49.34	49.51	49.4(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	57	30	13	187	9.57	52%	0.09	61.8	0.88%	0	1.3	79	INF
17	Feb_26_2015	46.12	47.66	48.68	49.28	49.23	49.37	49.6(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	64	20	21	194	20.84	52%	0.09	67.9	0.89%	0	1.6	74	INF
18	Feb_25_2015	46.08	47.5	48.41	49.14	49.13	49.17	49.16(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	57	10	13	189	11.68	50%	0.09	70.8	0.88%	0	1.5	74	INF
19	Feb_24_2015	46.04	47.35	48.18	49.01	49.05	49.09	49.28(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	64	10	21	192	5.81	50%	0.09	74.3	0.88%	0	1.8	77	INF
20	Feb_23_2015	46	47.2	47.87	48.69	48.89	49.08	49.04(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	63	40	27	170	4.24	50%	0.07	77.4	0.88%	0	1.8	75	INF

21	Feb_20_2015	45.97	47.04	47.62	48.42	48.58	49.01	49.32(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	81	70	51	170	7.03	50%	0.09	79.5	0.88%	0	2.4	81	INF
22	Feb_19_2015	45.93	46.86	47.38	47.99	48.21	48.69	48.88(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	87	80	67	147	12.67	48%	0.04	86.5	0.88%	0	2.5	66	INF
23	Feb_18_2015	45.91	46.7	47.14	47.58	47.74	48.14	48.52(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	70	70	55	115	11.76	51%	0.04	95.1	0.88%	0	2.7	67	INF
24	Feb_17_2015	45.89	46.56	46.91	47.23	47.29	47.73	47.68(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	56	70	46	84	10.7	44%	-0.04	109.3	0.87%	0	2	62	INF
25	Feb_13_2015	45.91	46.44	46.78	46.93	47.02	47.35	47.72(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	55	50	52	63	7.94	44%		104.3	0.89%	0	2.4	63	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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