Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $44.6000 (0.09%) ($44.4800 - $45.0400) on Wed. Oct. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $44.6000(0.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(77%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(73%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $45.22
5 Day Moving Average   $44.22(0.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.13(1.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.22(-1.37%)
To recent high   -8.6%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 3.01% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.91%(40%) Average negative next day return: -2.87%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.4%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -4.59%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.59%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.69%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_22_2014	47.28	45.22	44.13	44.22	44.33	44.58	44.6(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	50	32	-112	5.36	36%	-0.04	-53.8	0.76%	0	-0.5	41	INF
2	Oct_21_2014	47.3	45.35	44.24	44.05	43.97	44.47	44.56(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	70	41	-135	9.52	36%	-0.06	-54.7	0.76%	0	-0.6	35	INF
3	Oct_20_2014	47.33	45.47	44.33	43.93	43.76	44.08	44.64(2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	40	56	-166	4.79	36%	-0.02	-57	0.76%	0	-0.6	31	INF
4	Oct_17_2014	47.34	45.6	44.43	43.74	43.64	43.48	43.76(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-66	-30	-5	-248	8.14	30%	-0.06	-60.4	0.72%	0	-1.3	21	INF
5	Oct_16_2014	47.37	45.77	44.65	43.8	43.73	43.44	43.56(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-111	-50	-51	-290	8.63	30%	-0.04	-61.4	0.72%	0	-1.6	18	INF

6	Oct_15_2014	47.39	45.96	44.84	44.03	44	43.8	43.72(-0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-119	-30	-57	-303	16.19	30%	-0.04	-62.5	0.72%	0	-1.7	23	INF
7	Oct_14_2014	47.41	46.13	45.11	44.46	44.35	44.02	43.96(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-108	-60	-50	-280	11.52	34%	-0.08	-60.2	0.72%	0	-1.8	23	INF
8	Oct_13_2014	47.45	46.3	45.41	44.79	44.75	44.21	43.68(-0.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-122	-90	-76	-260	10.05	34%	-0.04	-56.1	0.73%	0	-2.3	24	INF
9	Oct_10_2014	47.47	46.49	45.78	45.23	45.18	44.68	44.08(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-116	-80	-81	-220	10.12	32%	-0.02	-54.9	0.73%	0	-2.5	25	INF
10	Oct_9_2014	47.48	46.65	46.14	45.62	45.56	45.29	44.72(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-74	-50	-44	-163	7.99	35%	0	-55.6	0.74%	0	-2.4	28	INF

11	Oct_8_2014	47.48	46.79	46.41	45.76	45.8	45.68	45.88(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-48	-20	-14	-149	8.5	40%	0.04	-62.4	0.68%	0	-1.4	36	INF
12	Oct_7_2014	47.46	46.87	46.56	45.85	45.74	45.83	45.6(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-61	10	-34	-143	5.84	40%	0.02	-64.2	0.67%	0	-2	37	INF
13	Oct_6_2014	47.45	46.94	46.71	46.14	45.92	45.92	45.88(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-10	-13	-109	11.09	40%	0.02	-64.7	0.67%	0	-1.9	35	INF
14	Oct_3_2014	47.44	47.02	46.85	46.44	46.2	45.66	46(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-65	-100	-55	-96	6.76	40%	0.04	-54.6	0.68%	0	-2	38	INF
15	Oct_2_2014	47.42	47.09	46.98	46.77	46.53	45.92	45.44(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-106	-110	-112	-86	9.26	35%	0	-40.8	0.66%	0	-3.6	30	INF

16	Oct_1_2014	47.42	47.21	47.17	47.14	47.1	46.74	46.32(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-51	-60	-59	-28	7.69	46%	0.04	-27.9	0.62%	0	-3.1	36	INF
17	Sep_30_2014	47.4	47.28	47.24	47.35	47.35	47.15	47.08(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-23	-30	-30	-2	9.59	51%	0.04	-6.4	0.63%	0	-0.9	43	INF
18	Sep_29_2014	47.38	47.31	47.26	47.36	47.44	47.47	47.36(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	10	-3	16	8.57	51%	0.06	-8.5	0.63%	0	0.2	59	INF
19	Sep_26_2014	47.35	47.3	47.25	47.33	47.4	47.55	47.64(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	21	30	21	20	4.18	51%	0.06	-23.4	0.63%	0	1.5	54	INF
20	Sep_25_2014	47.32	47.28	47.25	47.25	47.3	47.41	47.28(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	20	16	5	6.63	49%	0.06	-52.3	0.62%	0	0	48	INF

21	Sep_24_2014	47.29	47.28	47.25	47.22	47.25	47.26	47.4(0.59%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	11	0	15	-2	9.34	49%	0.06	-63.6	0.62%	0	0.5	46	INF
22	Sep_23_2014	47.26	47.29	47.2	47.12	47.19	47.2	47.12(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	10	-3	-26	8.17	49%	0.06	-83	0.62%	0	-0.8	38	INF
23	Sep_22_2014	47.23	47.33	47.18	47.12	47.12	47.25	47.2(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	20	5	-35	6.78	49%	0.04	-78.4	0.62%	0	-0.5	40	INF
24	Sep_19_2014	47.21	47.35	47.19	47.15	47.11	47.19	47.24(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	10	18	-28	6.56	54%	0.06	-79.2	0.62%	0	-0.4	51	INF
25	Sep_18_2014	47.18	47.39	47.2	47.14	47.08	46.99	47.16(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-20	-5	-36	5.17	58%		-67.2	0.66%	0	-0.8	49	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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