Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $47.8800 (1.35%) ($47.3600 - $48.0000) on Wed. Jun. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $47.8800(1.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(77%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(73%)    EEM(71%)    IWM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.37(1.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.23(1.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.68(2.57%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.76% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 21 Average positive next day return: 0.8%(57%) Average negative next day return: -1.09%(43%) Sample size 21 Average positive next three day return: 1.21%(62%) Average negative next three day return: -1.62%(38%) Sample size 21 Average positive next weekly return: 1.42%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.55%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2014	45.36	46.68	47.23	47.37	47.4	47.5	47.88(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	35	20	26	61	9.33	64%	0.02	84.1	0.87%	0	1.5	79	0
2	Jun_17_2014	45.35	46.5	47.15	47.18	47.28	47.28	47.24(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	10	6	58	6.37	62%	0.02	64	0.85%	0	0.8	80	0
3	Jun_16_2014	45.34	46.37	47.11	47.09	47.19	47.31	47.32(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	22	20	8	64	4.15	62%	0.02	58.4	0.86%	0	1	75	0
4	Jun_13_2014	45.33	46.24	47.06	47.06	47.05	47.28	47.32(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	30	14	82	6.48	54%	0	57	0.88%	0	1.1	78	0
5	Jun_12_2014	45.33	46.1	46.97	47.05	47.05	47.08	47.08(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	34	10	13	97	4.9	54%	-0.02	57	0.9%	0	0.9	80	0

6	Jun_11_2014	45.34	46	46.89	47.08	46.99	46.83	46.92(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-30	-7	113	5.06	54%	-0.04	61.4	0.91%	0	0.9	82	0
7	Jun_10_2014	45.36	45.91	46.78	47.08	47.03	46.9	46.8(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-30	-16	134	3.65	54%	0.04	67	0.92%	0	0.9	85	0
8	Jun_9_2014	45.34	45.8	46.7	47.12	47.1	46.9	47.2(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	10	6	165	4.65	54%	-0.02	67	0.91%	0	1.3	79	0
9	Jun_6_2014	45.35	45.66	46.54	47.06	47.01	47.15	47.24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	58	20	17	179	5.33	58%	-0.02	65.9	0.92%	0	1.5	80	0
10	Jun_5_2014	45.36	45.51	46.33	46.87	46.92	47.05	47.24(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	62	20	24	174	13.25	55%	-0.02	60.1	0.95%	0	1.7	80	0

11	Jun_4_2014	45.37	45.36	46.08	46.67	46.73	46.88	47.12(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	30	24	157	5.63	59%	-0.02	59.6	0.96%	0	1.9	71	0
12	Jun_3_2014	45.38	45.23	45.79	46.39	46.51	46.8	46.8(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	50	26	121	3.28	55%	-0.02	57	1.01%	0	1.9	65	0
13	Jun_2_2014	45.39	45.11	45.58	46.22	46.25	46.58	46.88(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	55	50	36	112	10.24	55%	-0.04	59.5	1.05%	0	2.3	71	0
14	May_30_2014	45.41	45	45.34	45.95	45.99	46.22	46.32(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	40	30	93	3.6	53%	-0.02	65.7	1.05%	0	2.1	68	0
15	May_29_2014	45.42	44.92	45.16	45.71	45.77	45.93	46.24(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	30	28	80	4.62	53%	-0.04	68	1.05%	0	2.4	71	0

16	May_28_2014	45.44	44.82	45.02	45.4	45.51	45.77	45.72(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	50	29	67	3.94	51%	-0.07	59	1.05%	0	1.9	65	0
17	May_27_2014	45.47	44.75	44.95	45.09	45.22	45.61	45.92(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	44	70	39	57	9.16	51%	-0.11	45.8	1.05%	0	2.7	64	0
18	May_23_2014	45.52	44.67	44.81	44.84	44.83	45.25	45.56(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	37	60	36	38	7.07	53%	-0.04	30.9	1.03%	0	2.5	59	0
19	May_22_2014	45.54	44.59	44.71	44.65	44.58	44.84	45.12(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	27	40	29	19	8.81	53%	0	9.2	1.04%	0	1.8	53	0
20	May_21_2014	45.54	44.55	44.62	44.53	44.46	44.41	44.68(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10	1	-8	4.93	53%	-0.09	-6.6	1.04%	0	0.5	47	0

21	May_20_2014	45.58	44.54	44.59	44.58	44.49	44.33	44.16(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-22	-30	-24	-14	5.12	51%	-0.11	13.1	1.03%	0	-1.4	50	0
22	May_19_2014	45.63	44.54	44.59	44.79	44.69	44.52	44.68(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-30	-11	8	9.7	51%	-0.07	46.6	1.02%	0	0.5	54	0
23	May_16_2014	45.66	44.56	44.63	44.78	44.85	44.65	44.6(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-30	-9	11	4.61	54%	-0.07	70.7	1.06%	0	0.2	55	0
24	May_15_2014	45.69	44.56	44.65	44.77	44.83	44.87	44.52(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	10	-4	21	12.89	54%	-0.04	94.8	1.07%	0	-0.2	58	0
25	May_14_2014	45.71	44.57	44.68	44.7	44.78	45.06	44.96(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	26	50	23	34	5.12	54%		87.9	1.07%	0	1.5	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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