Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $43.5200 (-0.46%) ($43.5200 - $44.0400) on Fri. Mar. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $43.5200(-0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    EWG(73%)    EEM(71%)    IWM(69%)    EWI(68%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    VT(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $40.25(-7.51%)
Resistance Level   $45.47
5 Day Moving Average   $44.17(-1.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.69(-2.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.47(-4.29%)
To recent high   -10.4%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.24% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 0.88%(53%) Average negative next day return: -1.7%(47%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 1.58%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -4.88%(47%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 3.9%(42%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.66%(58%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140421

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_21_2014	46.9	45.47	44.69	44.17	44.08	43.69	43.52(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-54	-70	-26	-137	20.77	43%	-0.09	-46.9	1.1%	0	-1.9	39	NAN
2	Mar_20_2014	46.94	45.6	44.99	44.3	44.28	44.02	43.72(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-56	-40	-31	-131	17.97	43%	-0.11	-47.5	1.11%	0	-2.1	34	NAN
3	Mar_19_2014	46.99	45.71	45.3	44.49	44.4	44.47	44.36(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	0	-16	-108	9.1	45%	-0.06	-50.9	1.1%	0	-1.7	39	NAN
4	Mar_18_2014	47.02	45.8	45.47	44.7	44.55	44.54	44.6(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10	-7	-94	7.62	47%	-0.06	-48.2	1.1%	0	-1.6	40	NAN
5	Mar_17_2014	47.05	45.9	45.66	44.96	44.74	44.34	44.64(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-80	-33	-87	9.72	47%	-0.06	-35.5	1.11%	0	-1.8	39	NAN

6	Mar_14_2014	47.08	45.95	45.75	45.3	45.11	44.56	44.16(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-69	-100	-61	-91	13.82	47%	-0.08	-25.7	1.1%	0	-2.7	34	NAN
7	Mar_13_2014	47.12	46.04	45.99	45.78	45.65	45.15	44.68(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-52	-90	-52	-52	17.47	48%	-0.06	-1.8	1.1%	0	-2.6	42	NAN
8	Mar_12_2014	47.15	46.12	46.16	46.22	46.05	45.67	45.44(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-31	-70	-37	-13	12.97	51%	-0.08	46.1	1.08%	0	-1.7	50	NAN
9	Mar_11_2014	47.19	46.16	46.24	46.34	46.42	46.15	45.88(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-12	-40	-18	5	7.8	51%	-0.04	79.3	1.08%	0	-0.7	51	NAN
10	Mar_10_2014	47.21	46.15	46.3	46.46	46.43	46.43	46.36(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-0	-5	18	5.66	51%	-0.04	97.7	1.07%	0	0.5	49	NAN

11	Mar_7_2014	47.23	46.12	46.31	46.26	46.47	46.68	46.56(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	50	21	27	8.13	51%	-0.04	89.7	1.06%	0	1.1	58	NAN
12	Mar_6_2014	47.25	46.05	46.26	46.24	46.17	46.43	46.88(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	19	30	16	27	14.77	52%	-0.02	64.3	1.07%	0	1.8	58	NAN
13	Mar_5_2014	47.26	45.93	46.26	46.1	46.07	46.26	46(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	30	14	13	5.26	50%	-0.04	31.9	1.05%	0	0.1	50	NAN
14	Mar_4_2014	47.28	45.86	46.14	46.14	46.08	45.92	46.52(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-30	3	9	11.29	51%	-0.02	14.3	1.05%	0	1.1	52	NAN
15	Mar_3_2014	47.29	45.86	46.13	46.12	46.05	45.89	45.36(-2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-26	-30	-36	3	8.99	47%	-0.04	0.7	1%	0	-0.6	50	NAN

16	Feb_28_2014	47.31	45.86	46.16	46.36	46.31	46.24	46.44(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10	4	37	9.25	51%	-0.04	1.4	0.94%	0	1	57	NAN
17	Feb_27_2014	47.33	45.76	46.09	46.28	46.35	46.21	46.2(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-20	-5	36	6.43	51%	-0.02	-8.2	0.94%	0	0.7	62	NAN
18	Feb_26_2014	47.34	45.77	46.09	46.18	46.36	46.38	46.2(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	10	2	51	8.06	51%	0.02	-24.8	0.95%	0	0.6	66	NAN
19	Feb_25_2014	47.33	45.78	46.08	46.13	46.18	46.49	46.4(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	50	9	74	11.6	51%	0	-37.9	0.95%	0	0.9	69	NAN
20	Feb_24_2014	47.33	45.78	46	46.15	46.1	46.35	46.56(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	30	36	103	6.66	51%	0	-51	0.95%	0	1.2	70	NAN

21	Feb_21_2014	47.33	45.76	45.91	45.94	46.06	45.88	46.04(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-20	11	85	10.45	49%	-0.02	-68	0.94%	0	0.4	56	NAN
22	Feb_20_2014	47.34	45.82	45.82	45.88	45.85	45.85	45.68(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-0	-24	49	7.83	49%	-0.04	-67.4	0.93%	0	-0.2	43	NAN
23	Feb_19_2014	47.36	45.94	45.72	45.97	45.82	46.24	45.96(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	50	18	49	7.05	49%	-0.02	-51.2	0.93%	0	0	45	NAN
24	Feb_18_2014	47.37	46.04	45.57	46.02	45.81	45.86	46.52(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10	38	35	19.1	51%	-0.04	-43.5	0.92%	0	0.4	48	NAN
25	Feb_14_2014	47.39	46.11	45.36	45.82	45.71	45.4	45.52(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-50	-25	-28	8.11	50%		-45.3	0.89%	0	-0.5	44	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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