Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $44.6400 (1.09%) ($44.4000 - $44.6400) on Mon. Mar. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $44.6400(1.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    EWG(73%)    EEM(71%)    IWM(69%)    EWI(68%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $42.41(-5%)
Resistance Level   $45.9
5 Day Moving Average   $44.96(-0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.66(-2.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.9(-2.75%)
To recent high   -8.1%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.55% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.21%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.29%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.54%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2014	47.05	45.9	45.66	44.96	44.74	44.34	44.64(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-80	-33	-87	9.72	47%	-0.06	-35.5	1.11%	0	-1.8	39	NAN
2	Mar_14_2014	47.08	45.95	45.75	45.3	45.11	44.56	44.16(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-69	-100	-61	-91	13.82	47%	-0.08	-25.7	1.1%	0	-2.7	34	NAN
3	Mar_13_2014	47.12	46.04	45.99	45.78	45.65	45.15	44.68(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-52	-90	-52	-52	17.47	48%	-0.06	-1.8	1.1%	0	-2.6	42	NAN
4	Mar_12_2014	47.15	46.12	46.16	46.22	46.05	45.67	45.44(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-31	-70	-37	-13	12.97	51%	-0.08	46.1	1.08%	0	-1.7	50	NAN
5	Mar_11_2014	47.19	46.16	46.24	46.34	46.42	46.15	45.88(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-12	-40	-18	5	7.8	51%	-0.04	79.3	1.08%	0	-0.7	51	NAN

6	Mar_10_2014	47.21	46.15	46.3	46.46	46.43	46.43	46.36(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-0	-5	18	5.66	51%	-0.04	97.7	1.07%	0	0.5	49	NAN
7	Mar_7_2014	47.23	46.12	46.31	46.26	46.47	46.68	46.56(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	50	21	27	8.13	51%	-0.04	89.7	1.06%	0	1.1	58	NAN
8	Mar_6_2014	47.25	46.05	46.26	46.24	46.17	46.43	46.88(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	19	30	16	27	14.77	52%	-0.02	64.3	1.07%	0	1.8	58	NAN
9	Mar_5_2014	47.26	45.93	46.26	46.1	46.07	46.26	46(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	30	14	13	5.26	50%	-0.04	31.9	1.05%	0	0.1	50	NAN
10	Mar_4_2014	47.28	45.86	46.14	46.14	46.08	45.92	46.52(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-30	3	9	11.29	51%	-0.02	14.3	1.05%	0	1.1	52	NAN

11	Mar_3_2014	47.29	45.86	46.13	46.12	46.05	45.89	45.36(-2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-26	-30	-36	3	8.99	47%	-0.04	0.7	1%	0	-0.6	50	NAN
12	Feb_28_2014	47.31	45.86	46.16	46.36	46.31	46.24	46.44(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10	4	37	9.25	51%	-0.04	1.4	0.94%	0	1	57	NAN
13	Feb_27_2014	47.33	45.76	46.09	46.28	46.35	46.21	46.2(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-20	-5	36	6.43	51%	-0.02	-8.2	0.94%	0	0.7	62	NAN
14	Feb_26_2014	47.34	45.77	46.09	46.18	46.36	46.38	46.2(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	10	2	51	8.06	51%	0.02	-24.8	0.95%	0	0.6	66	NAN
15	Feb_25_2014	47.33	45.78	46.08	46.13	46.18	46.49	46.4(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	50	9	74	11.6	51%	0	-37.9	0.95%	0	0.9	69	NAN

16	Feb_24_2014	47.33	45.78	46	46.15	46.1	46.35	46.56(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	30	36	103	6.66	51%	0	-51	0.95%	0	1.2	70	NAN
17	Feb_21_2014	47.33	45.76	45.91	45.94	46.06	45.88	46.04(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-20	11	85	10.45	49%	-0.02	-68	0.94%	0	0.4	56	NAN
18	Feb_20_2014	47.34	45.82	45.82	45.88	45.85	45.85	45.68(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-0	-24	49	7.83	49%	-0.04	-67.4	0.93%	0	-0.2	43	NAN
19	Feb_19_2014	47.36	45.94	45.72	45.97	45.82	46.24	45.96(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	50	18	49	7.05	49%	-0.02	-51.2	0.93%	0	0	45	NAN
20	Feb_18_2014	47.37	46.04	45.57	46.02	45.81	45.86	46.52(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10	38	35	19.1	51%	-0.04	-43.5	0.92%	0	0.4	48	NAN

21	Feb_14_2014	47.39	46.11	45.36	45.82	45.71	45.4	45.52(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-50	-25	-28	8.11	50%	-0.06	-45.3	0.89%	0	-0.5	44	NAN
22	Feb_13_2014	47.42	46.23	45.34	45.87	45.77	45.77	45.72(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10	-9	-37	14.72	50%	-0.04	-42.5	0.89%	0	-0.4	41	NAN
23	Feb_12_2014	47.44	46.35	45.4	45.74	45.81	46.02	46.12(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	20	40	40	-41	7.6	52%	-0.04	-43.6	0.89%	0	-0.2	37	NAN
24	Feb_11_2014	47.46	46.44	45.42	45.42	45.49	45.78	46.2(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	50	40	-91	17.07	52%	-0.04	-49.8	0.91%	0	-0.2	32	NAN
25	Feb_10_2014	47.48	46.52	45.43	45.06	45.12	45.6	45.56(-0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	80	46	-144	9.12	50%		-55.8	0.89%	0	-0.7	28	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.