Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 6, 2014

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $46.8800 (1.91%) ($46.6000 - $46.9200) on Thu. Mar. 6, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $46.8800(1.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(75%)    EWG(73%)    EEM(71%)    IWM(69%)    EWI(68%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    GDXJ(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.24(1.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.26(1.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.05(1.8%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 0.98% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.26%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.99%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.81%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -2.08%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.95%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.21%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140406

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_6_2014	47.25	46.05	46.26	46.24	46.17	46.43	46.88(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	19	30	16	27	14.77	52%	-0.02	64.3	1.07%	0	1.8	58	0
2	Mar_5_2014	47.26	45.93	46.26	46.1	46.07	46.26	46(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	30	14	13	5.26	50%	-0.04	31.9	1.05%	0	0.1	50	0
3	Mar_4_2014	47.28	45.86	46.14	46.14	46.08	45.92	46.52(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-30	3	9	11.29	51%	-0.02	14.3	1.05%	0	1.1	52	0
4	Mar_3_2014	47.29	45.86	46.13	46.12	46.05	45.89	45.36(-2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-26	-30	-36	3	8.99	47%	-0.04	0.7	1%	0	-0.6	50	0
5	Feb_28_2014	47.31	45.86	46.16	46.36	46.31	46.24	46.44(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10	4	37	9.25	51%	-0.04	1.4	0.94%	0	1	57	0

6	Feb_27_2014	47.33	45.76	46.09	46.28	46.35	46.21	46.2(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-20	-5	36	6.43	51%	-0.02	-8.2	0.94%	0	0.7	62	0
7	Feb_26_2014	47.34	45.77	46.09	46.18	46.36	46.38	46.2(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	10	2	51	8.06	51%	0.02	-24.8	0.95%	0	0.6	66	0
8	Feb_25_2014	47.33	45.78	46.08	46.13	46.18	46.49	46.4(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	50	9	74	11.6	51%	0	-37.9	0.95%	0	0.9	69	0
9	Feb_24_2014	47.33	45.78	46	46.15	46.1	46.35	46.56(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	30	36	103	6.66	51%	0	-51	0.95%	0	1.2	70	0
10	Feb_21_2014	47.33	45.76	45.91	45.94	46.06	45.88	46.04(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-20	11	85	10.45	49%	-0.02	-68	0.94%	0	0.4	56	0

11	Feb_20_2014	47.34	45.82	45.82	45.88	45.85	45.85	45.68(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-0	-24	49	7.83	49%	-0.04	-67.4	0.93%	0	-0.2	43	0
12	Feb_19_2014	47.36	45.94	45.72	45.97	45.82	46.24	45.96(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	50	18	49	7.05	49%	-0.02	-51.2	0.93%	0	0	45	0
13	Feb_18_2014	47.37	46.04	45.57	46.02	45.81	45.86	46.52(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10	38	35	19.1	51%	-0.04	-43.5	0.92%	0	0.4	48	0
14	Feb_14_2014	47.39	46.11	45.36	45.82	45.71	45.4	45.52(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-50	-25	-28	8.11	50%	-0.06	-45.3	0.89%	0	-0.5	44	0
15	Feb_13_2014	47.42	46.23	45.34	45.87	45.77	45.77	45.72(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10	-9	-37	14.72	50%	-0.04	-42.5	0.89%	0	-0.4	41	0

16	Feb_12_2014	47.44	46.35	45.4	45.74	45.81	46.02	46.12(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	20	40	40	-41	7.6	52%	-0.04	-43.6	0.89%	0	-0.2	37	0
17	Feb_11_2014	47.46	46.44	45.42	45.42	45.49	45.78	46.2(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	50	40	-91	17.07	52%	-0.04	-49.8	0.91%	0	-0.2	32	0
18	Feb_10_2014	47.48	46.52	45.43	45.06	45.12	45.6	45.56(-0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	80	46	-144	9.12	50%	-0.04	-55.8	0.89%	0	-0.7	28	0
19	Feb_7_2014	47.5	46.65	45.48	44.83	44.76	45.21	45.76(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-15	70	44	-193	7.26	46%	-0.04	-58.7	0.89%	0	-0.6	30	0
20	Feb_6_2014	47.52	46.77	45.56	44.74	44.53	44.64	45.04(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-60	0	-1	-236	11.11	46%	-0.06	-60.1	0.9%	0	-1.2	24	0

21	Feb_5_2014	47.55	46.93	45.79	45.04	44.67	44.31	44.52(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-92	-80	-42	-243	10.61	43%	-0.06	-57.5	0.9%	0	-1.8	17	0
22	Feb_4_2014	47.58	47.11	46.17	45.44	45.17	44.41	44.44(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-108	-140	-71	-220	12.68	43%	-0.04	-55.6	0.91%	0	-2.1	22	0
23	Feb_3_2014	47.6	47.3	46.55	45.85	45.72	45.02	44.4(-2.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-108	-120	-80	-191	12.82	43%	-0.04	-55.4	0.91%	0	-2.6	21	0
24	Jan_31_2014	47.62	47.49	46.95	46.2	46.14	45.92	45.32(-2.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-77	-40	-49	-161	12.03	47%	-0.02	-58.4	0.88%	0	-2.5	23	0
25	Jan_30_2014	47.63	47.63	47.23	46.48	46.36	46.41	46.54(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-0	-9	-133	7.68	53%		-57	0.82%	0	-1.5	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.