Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 13, 2014

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $45.7200 (-0.87%) ($45.1200 - $45.8400) on Thu. Feb. 13, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.89% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $45.7200(-0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    EWG(73%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(69%)    EWI(68%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    SIL(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

Resistance Level   $46.23
5 Day Moving Average   $45.87(-0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.34(0.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.23(-1.1%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.68% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.62%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.91%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.11%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -5.75%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.82%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.76%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140313

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_13_2014	47.42	46.23	45.34	45.87	45.77	45.77	45.72(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10	-9	-37	14.72	50%	-0.04	-42.5	0.89%	0	-0.4	41	0
2	Feb_12_2014	47.44	46.35	45.4	45.74	45.81	46.02	46.12(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	20	40	40	-41	7.6	52%	-0.04	-43.6	0.89%	0	-0.2	37	0
3	Feb_11_2014	47.46	46.44	45.42	45.42	45.49	45.78	46.2(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	50	40	-91	17.07	52%	-0.04	-49.8	0.91%	0	-0.2	32	0
4	Feb_10_2014	47.48	46.52	45.43	45.06	45.12	45.6	45.56(-0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	80	46	-144	9.12	50%	-0.04	-55.8	0.89%	0	-0.7	28	0
5	Feb_7_2014	47.5	46.65	45.48	44.83	44.76	45.21	45.76(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-15	70	44	-193	7.26	46%	-0.04	-58.7	0.89%	0	-0.6	30	0

6	Feb_6_2014	47.52	46.77	45.56	44.74	44.53	44.64	45.04(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-60	0	-1	-236	11.11	46%	-0.06	-60.1	0.9%	0	-1.2	24	0
7	Feb_5_2014	47.55	46.93	45.79	45.04	44.67	44.31	44.52(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-92	-80	-42	-243	10.61	43%	-0.06	-57.5	0.9%	0	-1.8	17	0
8	Feb_4_2014	47.58	47.11	46.17	45.44	45.17	44.41	44.44(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-108	-140	-71	-220	12.68	43%	-0.04	-55.6	0.91%	0	-2.1	22	0
9	Feb_3_2014	47.6	47.3	46.55	45.85	45.72	45.02	44.4(-2.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-108	-120	-80	-191	12.82	43%	-0.04	-55.4	0.91%	0	-2.6	21	0
10	Jan_31_2014	47.62	47.49	46.95	46.2	46.14	45.92	45.32(-2.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-77	-40	-49	-161	12.03	47%	-0.02	-58.4	0.88%	0	-2.5	23	0

11	Jan_30_2014	47.63	47.63	47.23	46.48	46.36	46.41	46.54(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-0	-9	-133	7.68	53%	0	-57	0.82%	0	-1.5	35	0
12	Jan_29_2014	47.63	47.73	47.4	46.66	46.45	46.35	46.48(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-53	-30	-28	-127	15.43	53%	-0.02	-46.9	0.82%	0	-1.8	32	0
13	Jan_28_2014	47.64	47.83	47.55	47.04	46.76	46.3	46.52(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-65	-90	-51	-107	10.75	53%	0	-25.7	0.83%	0	-2	34	0
14	Jan_27_2014	47.64	47.91	47.71	47.39	47.25	46.55	46.12(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-83	-110	-81	-90	11.97	51%	0.02	-5	0.82%	0	-3.1	32	0
15	Jan_24_2014	47.63	48.01	47.94	47.81	47.75	47.22	46.72(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-65	-80	-71	-48	13.09	50%	0.04	25.3	0.82%	0	-3.2	35	0

16	Jan_23_2014	47.61	48.04	48.08	48.08	48.1	47.95	47.44(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-27	-20	-33	-7	10.14	49%	0.04	72.2	0.81%	0	-2.3	48	0
17	Jan_22_2014	47.59	48.06	48.16	48.24	48.21	48.28	48.4(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	10	9	18	8.61	55%	0.08	121.7	0.81%	0	1.5	46	0
18	Jan_21_2014	47.55	48	48.13	48.14	48.17	48.25	48.28(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	10	14	6	5.75	55%	0.11	76.1	0.82%	0	0.9	46	0
19	Jan_17_2014	47.5	47.94	48.09	48.08	48.06	48.14	48.2(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	10	4	-5	12.12	55%	0.08	58.7	0.81%	0	0.7	53	0
20	Jan_16_2014	47.46	47.91	48.07	48.1	48	48.09	48.08(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	5	10	6	1	5.75	55%	0.08	54.7	0.81%	0	0.4	55	0

21	Jan_15_2014	47.42	47.85	48.04	48.09	48.04	47.98	48.24(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10	7	10	7.58	55%	0.08	43.2	0.82%	0	0.9	66	0
22	Jan_14_2014	47.38	47.79	48.07	48.07	48	47.91	47.88(-0.25%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-10	-20	-17	11	11.23	55%	0.06	30.2	0.82%	0	0.2	53	0
23	Jan_13_2014	47.35	47.76	48.12	48.11	48.09	48.11	48(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	0	3	40	10.33	55%	0.06	24.8	0.82%	0	0.5	59	0
24	Jan_10_2014	47.32	47.73	48.13	48.09	48.08	48.09	48.32(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	0	7	54	4.41	58%	0.08	26.6	0.82%	0	1.1	64	0
25	Jan_9_2014	47.28	47.68	48.08	48.03	47.99	48.08	48(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	10	2	52	7.31	62%		22.9	0.83%	0	0.6	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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