Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 27, 2013

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $48.0400 (0.5%) ($48.0400 - $48.2800) on Fri. Dec. 27, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $48.0400(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    EWG(73%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(69%)    EWI(68%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    SHY(-6%)    GDXJ(-5%)    UUP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.56(1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.35(1.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.52(1.09%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 0.84% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.37%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.17%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.19%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140127

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_27_2013	47.05	47.52	47.35	47.56	47.64	47.95	48.04(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	39	50	47	16	4.19	60%	0.06	-46.4	0.9%	0	1.3	52	0
2	Dec_26_2013	47.02	47.53	47.29	47.37	47.4	47.41	47.8(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	9	0	14	-7	3.07	63%	0.02	-64.6	0.9%	0	0.7	57	0
3	Dec_24_2013	47.01	47.54	47.24	47.3	47.23	47.32	47.04(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	10	-4	-22	2.88	60%	0	-67.8	0.89%	0	-1.2	45	0
4	Dec_23_2013	47.01	47.6	47.24	47.28	47.27	47.38	47.68(0.93%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	17	20	27	-13	6.53	64%	0.02	-72.8	0.88%	0	0.2	46	0
5	Dec_20_2013	47	47.64	47.32	47.12	47.1	47.15	47.24(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	10	2	-42	5.51	62%	0.02	-76.7	0.87%	0	-0.8	39	0

6	Dec_19_2013	46.99	47.71	47.37	47.1	47.03	47.17	47.08(-0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-12	20	1	-51	11.5	62%	0.04	-68.5	0.87%	0	-1.2	35	0
7	Dec_18_2013	46.97	47.78	47.38	47.2	47.05	47.05	47.48(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10	7	-56	16.76	68%	0.06	-57.7	0.87%	0	-0.6	38	0
8	Dec_17_2013	46.94	47.83	47.39	47.18	47.13	46.9	46.92(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-40	-21	-72	11.42	66%	0.06	-49.6	0.94%	0	-1.7	33	0
9	Dec_16_2013	46.91	47.92	47.49	47.37	47.28	47.05	46.88(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-39	-40	-30	-67	12.07	66%	0.02	-25.2	0.94%	0	-2	31	0
10	Dec_13_2013	46.9	48.02	47.61	47.54	47.48	47.35	47.16(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-20	-19	-56	10.63	66%	0	1	0.95%	0	-1.7	29	0

11	Dec_12_2013	46.9	48.07	47.72	47.66	47.63	47.52	47.56(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-20	-2	-47	13.1	66%	0.02	24	0.95%	0	-1.1	32	0
12	Dec_11_2013	46.89	48.09	47.79	47.58	47.67	47.61	47.4(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-0	-5	-57	5.29	66%	-0.02	23.4	0.95%	0	-1.5	34	0
13	Dec_10_2013	46.9	48.1	47.86	47.62	47.59	47.61	47.84(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	20	2	-57	6.77	66%	0	31.9	0.95%	0	-0.6	39	0
14	Dec_9_2013	46.9	48.05	47.9	47.63	47.51	47.73	47.76(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	20	11	-59	7.08	69%	0	25.5	0.95%	0	-0.5	33	0
15	Dec_6_2013	46.9	48.02	47.98	47.7	47.52	47.45	47.76(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-20	0	-59	7.42	69%	0	25.2	1%	0	-0.4	32	0

16	Dec_5_2013	46.9	47.96	48.07	47.8	47.64	47.29	47.16(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-40	-60	-33	-62	14.01	68%	-0.02	18.6	0.99%	0	-1.2	38	0
17	Dec_4_2013	46.91	47.98	48.21	48.02	47.92	47.6	47.56(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-50	-31	-39	14.5	68%	0	25.4	0.98%	0	-0.6	51	0
18	Dec_3_2013	46.91	47.95	48.31	48.13	48.14	47.99	47.92(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-20	-18	-14	9.5	71%	0	20.9	0.99%	0	-0	61	0
19	Dec_2_2013	46.91	47.92	48.39	48.2	48.21	48.25	48.12(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	10	-7	16	10.46	71%	0.02	21.1	1.03%	0	0.3	72	0
20	Nov_29_2013	46.9	47.87	48.39	48.3	48.25	48.29	48.24(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	0	0	47	4.45	66%	0.02	23.9	1.07%	0	0.5	72	0

21	Nov_27_2013	46.89	47.84	48.46	48.39	48.31	48.17	48.28(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-30	-7	69	4.36	66%	0.04	25.2	1.06%	0	0.6	76	0
22	Nov_26_2013	46.87	47.81	48.42	48.43	48.42	48.22	48.08(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-30	-18	72	7.2	66%	0.04	28.9	1.07%	0	0.4	59	0
23	Nov_25_2013	46.85	47.8	48.36	48.51	48.54	48.46	48.28(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10	-12	88	5.29	66%	0.04	28.2	1.08%	0	0.7	66	0
24	Nov_22_2013	46.83	47.76	48.23	48.6	48.57	48.63	48.64(-0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	23	10	-2	96	5.15	68%	0.04	26.8	1.09%	0	1.2	64	0
25	Nov_21_2013	46.81	47.7	48.06	48.64	48.62	48.62	48.68(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-0	8	102	7.53	68%		23.8	1.09%	0	1.4	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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