Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 18, 2013

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $48.7600 (-0.16%) ($48.5600 - $49.0000) on Mon. Nov. 18, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $48.7600(-0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    EWG(72%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(69%)    EWI(68%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.18(1.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.57(2.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.6(2.44%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   12.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.34% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.71%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.86%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.61%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.99%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.14%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2013	46.73	47.6	47.57	48.18	48.32	48.79	48.76(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	80	39	60	13.84	68%	0.09	9.7	1.11%	0	1.8	56	0
2	Nov_15_2013	46.69	47.57	47.4	47.79	47.95	48.47	48.84(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	53	90	57	40	11.38	68%	0.11	-3.9	1.11%	0	2.1	60	0
3	Nov_14_2013	46.64	47.54	47.21	47.4	47.45	47.84	48.16(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	31	60	40	5	6.11	66%	0.09	-19.2	1.12%	0	1.1	57	0
4	Nov_13_2013	46.6	47.53	47.21	47.07	47.09	47.43	47.76(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	12	50	25	-26	6.84	66%	0.09	-31.4	1.11%	0	0.4	45	0
5	Nov_12_2013	46.56	47.53	47.14	46.99	47.09	47.07	47.4(1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	20	19	-31	5.22	66%	0.09	-28	1.12%	0	-0.3	48	0

6	Nov_11_2013	46.52	47.54	47.17	46.86	47.09	46.75	46.8(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-20	-0	-56	4.53	64%	0.06	-22.9	1.1%	0	-1.3	34	0
7	Nov_8_2013	46.49	47.6	47.25	46.94	46.88	46.69	46.86(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-30	-20	-69	5	64%	0.09	-5.3	1.1%	0	-1.4	37	0
8	Nov_7_2013	46.45	47.64	47.3	46.99	46.98	47.02	46.52(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-28	10	-13	-73	9.48	60%	0.02	3.7	1.1%	0	-2.2	35	0
9	Nov_6_2013	46.44	47.71	47.46	47.21	47.07	47.07	47.38(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-15	-10	0	-58	10.6	64%	0.04	26	1.1%	0	-0.7	40	0
10	Nov_5_2013	46.42	47.7	47.48	47.31	47.14	46.94	46.76(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-32	-40	-21	-65	4.51	62%	0.06	23	1.09%	0	-1.6	40	0

11	Nov_4_2013	46.39	47.67	47.66	47.53	47.41	47.06	47.16(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-60	-21	-40	5.02	62%	0.06	20.3	1.09%	0	-0.8	49	0
12	Nov_1_2013	46.36	47.63	47.78	47.6	47.6	47.34	47.12(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-40	-25	-32	5.51	66%	0.06	12.2	1.1%	0	-0.8	44	0
13	Oct_31_2013	46.33	47.62	47.9	47.65	47.74	47.77	47.62(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	10	-5	-15	5.47	66%	0.09	7	1.14%	0	0	50	0
14	Oct_30_2013	46.29	47.59	47.9	47.74	47.68	47.85	47.88(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	20	7	1	7.31	66%	0.09	0	1.14%	0	0.4	53	0
15	Oct_29_2013	46.25	47.56	47.97	47.68	47.72	47.71	47.88(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	0	6	6	5.85	61%	0.06	-5	1.14%	0	0.5	61	0

16	Oct_28_2013	46.22	47.56	47.93	47.82	47.65	47.5	47.52(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-12	-30	-22	18	8.09	61%	0.09	-1.4	1.18%	0	-0	67	0
17	Oct_25_2013	46.18	47.54	47.97	47.99	47.88	47.73	47.36(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-30	-15	47	9.48	54%	0.11	4.9	1.21%	0	-0.3	64	0
18	Oct_24_2013	46.13	47.58	48.02	48.18	48.11	47.81	48.06(0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-50	-13	68	4.12	56%	0.13	15.4	1.22%	0	0.7	60	0
19	Oct_23_2013	46.07	47.58	47.99	48.23	48.18	48.04	47.6(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	4	-20	-20	77	8.22	56%	0.07	20.4	1.22%	0	0	58	0
20	Oct_22_2013	46.04	47.59	47.94	48.28	48.3	48.42	48.58(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	20	17	97	10.23	60%	0.13	19	1.19%	0	1.4	62	0

21	Oct_21_2013	45.98	47.55	47.69	48.06	48.1	48.32	48.36(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	30	15	70	8.44	60%	0.11	17.7	1.19%	0	1.2	57	0
22	Oct_18_2013	45.93	47.51	47.46	47.95	47.88	48.19	48.32(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	40	21	51	3.37	60%	0.09	19.3	1.2%	0	1.3	54	0
23	Oct_17_2013	45.89	47.47	47.32	47.84	47.71	47.88	48.28(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	20	20	34	4.71	60%	0.09	23.7	1.2%	0	1.3	49	0
24	Oct_16_2013	45.85	47.45	47.17	47.72	47.6	47.57	47.88(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10	8	8	6.42	60%	0.04	31.3	1.2%	0	0.7	43	0
25	Oct_15_2013	45.83	47.46	47.1	47.54	47.57	47.55	47.44(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	7	-0	11	-6	4.34	60%		36.1	1.2%	0	-0	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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