Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 22, 2013

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $44.5200 (0.63%) ($44.5200 - $44.8400) on Thu. Aug. 22, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   21
Latest Price   $44.5200(0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    EWG(72%)    EEM(70%)    EWI(68%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $41.53(-6.72%)
Resistance Level   $45.62
5 Day Moving Average   $44.86(-0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.35(-1.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.62(-2.41%)
To recent high   -8.2%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.75% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.12%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.92%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.12%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130922

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_22_2013	45.74	45.62	45.35	44.86	44.83	44.5	44.52(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-50	-12	-69	10.67	42%	0.04	-81.1	1.75%	0	-1.4	21	0
2	Aug_21_2013	45.72	45.72	45.49	45.04	45.04	44.63	44.24(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-40	-60	-29	-71	8.31	42%	0.07	-79.9	1.75%	0	-1.8	32	0
3	Aug_20_2013	45.69	45.88	45.69	45.4	45.32	45.16	44.88(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-30	-21	-46	9.49	42%	0.07	-68.2	1.75%	0	-1.1	54	0
4	Aug_19_2013	45.66	46.03	45.9	45.68	45.63	45.45	45.28(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-30	-7	-16	6.13	42%	0	-55.4	1.75%	0	-0.8	57	0
5	Aug_16_2013	45.66	46.15	46.06	45.8	45.8	45.48	45.38(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-50	-13	3	6.61	43%	0.04	-50.5	1.76%	0	-0.8	62	0

6	Aug_15_2013	45.64	46.27	46.21	45.9	45.88	45.81	45.4(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-10	-13	16	7.3	43%	0.04	-43.5	1.77%	0	-0.8	51	0
7	Aug_14_2013	45.62	46.41	46.29	46	45.99	46.11	46.04(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	20	5	25	7.01	43%	0.07	-37.7	1.77%	0	-0.3	45	0
8	Aug_13_2013	45.59	46.49	46.19	46.02	45.92	45.96	46.28(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-0	-2	7	11.12	44%	0.09	-30	1.77%	0	-0.2	41	0
9	Aug_12_2013	45.55	46.55	46.07	46.16	45.96	45.87	45.88(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-30	-11	-11	3.82	44%	0.07	-21.2	1.77%	0	-0.6	35	0
10	Aug_9_2013	45.52	46.65	45.95	46.38	46.28	45.88	45.92(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-70	-13	-25	5.37	44%	0.07	-8.5	1.77%	0	-0.7	35	0

11	Aug_8_2013	45.49	46.72	45.92	46.56	46.51	46.06	45.9(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-70	-22	-37	6.58	44%	0.07	0	1.77%	0	-0.7	36	0
12	Aug_7_2013	45.46	46.81	45.98	46.61	46.72	46.67	46.12(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-0	-2	-38	5.87	44%	0.07	8.2	1.78%	0	-0.6	35	0
13	Aug_6_2013	45.43	46.82	46.09	46.36	46.73	46.95	47(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	8	60	24	-42	9.04	45%	0.11	3.9	1.76%	0	0.2	42	0
14	Aug_5_2013	45.38	46.78	46.15	45.95	46.18	46.78	46.96(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	110	28	-55	4.85	45%	0.11	-3	1.76%	0	0.2	45	0
15	Aug_2_2013	45.33	46.74	46.22	45.46	45.74	46.5	46.84(1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	13	130	41	-70	11.11	46%	0.09	-10.6	1.77%	0	0.1	42	0

16	Aug_1_2013	45.29	46.74	46.3	45.2	45.23	45.59	46.12(2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	60	18	-89	11.76	46%	0.11	-9.6	1.76%	0	-0.5	41	0
17	Jul_31_2013	45.24	46.72	46.49	45.29	45.06	44.98	44.9(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-30	-17	-98	8.53	43%	0.07	1.6	1.74%	0	-1.6	30	0
18	Jul_30_2013	45.21	46.77	46.8	45.8	45.47	44.87	44.92(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-110	-33	-74	13.68	43%	0.07	22.9	1.74%	0	-1.7	45	0
19	Jul_29_2013	45.18	46.82	47.07	46.4	46.09	45.14	44.52(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-57	-160	-58	-54	15.72	43%	0.07	50	1.74%	0	-2.2	41	0
20	Jul_26_2013	45.15	46.86	47.43	47.08	46.92	46.07	45.52(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-39	-140	-48	-11	10.52	45%	0.07	74.2	1.72%	0	-1.3	50	0

21	Jul_25_2013	45.12	46.83	47.64	47.53	47.45	47.04	46.6(-1.81%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-21	-70	-35	21	13.12	47%	0.11	87.6	1.7%	0	-0.2	55	0
22	Jul_24_2013	45.07	46.7	47.75	47.84	47.76	47.77	47.46(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-0	-7	59	10.65	48%	0.13	77.5	1.68%	0	0.6	68	0
23	Jul_23_2013	45.01	46.53	47.64	47.94	47.88	47.86	47.88(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	-10	5	72	8.94	48%	0.16	68.6	1.68%	0	1	73	0
24	Jul_22_2013	44.94	46.3	47.49	47.86	47.87	47.75	47.92(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	-20	-3	73	6.14	48%	0.13	58.8	1.68%	0	1.1	75	0
25	Jul_19_2013	44.88	46.13	47.32	47.85	47.81	47.91	47.8(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	20	10	-1	84	9.07	48%		63	1.68%	0	1.1	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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