Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 23, 2013

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $47.8800 (-0.08%) ($47.7600 - $48.1000) on Tue. Jul. 23, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.68% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $47.8800(-0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    EWG(72%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    EWI(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.94(-0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.64(0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.53(2.9%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   13%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 3.03% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.79%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.24%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.66%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2013	45.01	46.53	47.64	47.94	47.88	47.86	47.88(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	-10	5	72	8.94	48%	0.16	68.6	1.68%	0	1	73	0
2	Jul_22_2013	44.94	46.3	47.49	47.86	47.87	47.75	47.92(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	-20	-3	73	6.14	48%	0.13	58.8	1.68%	0	1.1	75	0
3	Jul_19_2013	44.88	46.13	47.32	47.85	47.81	47.91	47.8(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	20	10	-1	84	9.07	48%	0.18	63	1.68%	0	1.1	78	0
4	Jul_18_2013	44.8	45.89	47.18	47.78	47.82	47.99	48.16(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	30	15	102	8.21	48%	0.16	53	1.69%	0	1.4	84	0
5	Jul_17_2013	44.73	45.72	46.94	47.65	47.63	47.71	47.92(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	10	14	115	7.44	48%	0.18	57.2	1.69%	0	1.4	86	0

6	Jul_16_2013	44.65	45.58	46.73	47.3	47.47	47.64	47.48(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	40	14	116	7.97	48%	0.16	60.3	1.69%	0	1.3	82	0
7	Jul_15_2013	44.58	45.43	46.53	47.06	47.16	47.56	47.88(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	49	70	23	128	7.67	48%	0.18	58.9	1.69%	0	1.8	88	0
8	Jul_12_2013	44.5	45.2	46.22	46.7	46.8	47.31	47.44(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	80	27	119	13.37	48%	0.16	52.6	1.69%	0	1.7	69	0
9	Jul_11_2013	44.43	45.06	45.93	46.5	46.47	46.77	47.52(2.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	51	40	27	124	9.36	49%	0.18	62.6	1.69%	0	2.1	77	0
10	Jul_10_2013	44.35	44.86	45.55	46.15	46.23	46.3	46.16(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	20	9	98	10.18	49%	0.14	67.9	1.65%	0	1.2	57	0

11	Jul_9_2013	44.29	44.74	45.32	46.07	46.07	46.17	46.32(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	20	7	84	6.62	49%	0.05	66.1	1.67%	0	1.5	54	0
12	Jul_8_2013	44.27	44.64	45.02	45.9	45.96	46.15	46.08(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	30	14	70	17.85	49%	0.14	74.4	1.68%	0	1.5	57	0
13	Jul_5_2013	44.21	44.53	44.86	45.66	45.82	45.97	46.4(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	30	22	72	8.01	49%	0.25	75.5	1.68%	0	2.1	63	0
14	Jul_3_2013	44.1	44.33	44.51	45.28	45.46	45.78	45.8(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	60	20	40	5.04	52%	0.14	50.2	1.73%	0	1.5	53	0
15	Jul_2_2013	44.04	44.16	44.39	44.84	45.14	45.67	45.76(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	35	100	35	35	8.24	53%	0.11	30.1	1.73%	0	1.8	58	0

16	Jul_1_2013	43.99	44.07	44.32	44.46	44.56	45.14	45.44(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	100	34	29	7.08	50%	0.14	12.5	1.74%	0	1.6	57	0
17	Jun_28_2013	43.93	43.94	44.22	44.02	44.1	44.62	44.88(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	90	27	8	13.43	50%	0.09	-16.6	1.8%	0	1.1	51	0
18	Jun_27_2013	43.89	43.86	44.08	43.95	43.69	43.97	44.52(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	14	30	19	-2	19.19	50%	0.11	-36.8	1.8%	0	0.8	52	0
19	Jun_26_2013	43.84	43.84	44.1	43.63	43.67	43.59	43.62(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-2	-10	-0	-6	10.24	48%	0.09	-70.9	1.78%	0	-0.3	57	0
20	Jun_25_2013	43.8	43.89	44.13	43.87	43.63	43.4	43.82(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-18	-50	-25	3	7.44	47%	0.09	-81.6	1.78%	0	-0.1	57	0

21	Jun_24_2013	43.76	43.96	44.12	44.18	44.03	43.76	43.28(-2.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-10	-50	-19	17	10.38	47%	0.07	-88	1.78%	0	-0.8	48	0
22	Jun_21_2013	43.73	44.07	44.25	44.44	44.6	43.87	44.5(3.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-100	-9	46	17.27	50%	0.11	-89.2	1.75%	0	0.5	57	0
23	Jun_20_2013	43.68	44.16	44.2	44.23	44.72	44.31	42.94(-4.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-24	-30	-42	31	13.68	46%	0.07	-89.3	1.69%	0	-1.1	50	0
24	Jun_19_2013	43.65	44.42	44.18	44.61	44.81	45.33	44.8(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	90	15	60	11	50%	0.14	-61.7	1.61%	0	0.3	51	0
25	Jun_18_2013	43.59	44.61	43.95	44.41	44.62	45.14	45.36(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	100	42	45	12.47	50%		-51.2	1.6%	0	0.4	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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