Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 5, 2013

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $42.4000 (-3.81%) ($42.3200 - $42.9600) on Wed. Jun. 5, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $42.4000(-3.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -5.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    EWI(66%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $35.52(-16.23%)
Resistance Level   $46.25
5 Day Moving Average   $43.41(-2.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.66(-5.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.25(-8.32%)
To recent high   -13.5%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 4.45% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.56%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.75%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.87%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130705

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_5_2013	43.18	46.25	44.66	43.41	43.24	43.38	42.4(-3.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-78	10	-24	-241	21.89	44%	0.07	-44.5	1.4%	0	-1.9	24	0
2	Jun_4_2013	43.15	46.5	45.31	43.85	43.64	43.4	44.08(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-55	-50	0	-218	18.41	48%	0.09	-43	1.31%	0	-1.3	31	0
3	Jun_3_2013	43.11	46.65	45.76	44.1	43.75	43.1	42.84(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-109	-130	-67	-233	22.29	44%	0.09	-40.6	1.26%	0	-2.2	25	0
4	May_31_2013	43.07	46.89	46.33	44.66	44.45	43.87	43.36(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-87	-110	-53	-187	15.18	44%	0.09	-34.9	1.26%	0	-2.3	33	0
5	May_30_2013	43.03	47.06	46.79	45.28	44.9	44.4	44.36(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-86	-100	-63	-155	33.88	47%	0.12	-27.4	1.24%	0	-2.1	36	0

6	May_29_2013	42.98	47.18	47.21	46.12	45.27	45.02	44.6(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-81	-90	-72	-106	16.24	48%	0.14	-10.2	1.25%	0	-2.2	35	0
7	May_28_2013	42.92	47.31	47.57	47	46.37	45.4	45.36(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-47	-190	-49	-40	15.39	51%	0.23	18.2	1.23%	0	-2	42	0
8	May_24_2013	42.82	47.38	47.83	47.68	47.25	45.51	45.62(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-92	-280	-115	-21	36.41	52%	0.14	46.4	1.23%	0	-1.9	45	0
9	May_23_2013	42.76	47.38	48	48.25	48.1	47.35	46.48(-4.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-64	-120	-92	22	36.42	54%	0.16	72.1	1.21%	0	-1.1	48	0
10	May_22_2013	42.69	47.42	48.09	48.49	48.74	48.99	48.52(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	50	16	96	23.83	64%	0.14	85.3	1.08%	0	1.2	70	0

11	May_21_2013	42.63	47.3	47.98	48.46	48.44	48.85	49.04(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	51	60	30	114	7.61	62%	0.24	89.1	1.08%	0	1.9	76	0
12	May_20_2013	42.53	47.13	47.77	48.24	48.27	48.49	48.76(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	30	36	105	8.11	62%	0.26	85.7	1.1%	0	1.8	67	0
13	May_17_2013	42.42	46.96	47.58	48.02	48.03	48.03	48.44(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	0	14	89	9.47	64%	0.24	82.7	1.1%	0	1.7	68	0
14	May_16_2013	42.32	46.8	47.44	47.74	47.86	48.05	47.68(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	40	12	82	10.66	62%	0.21	72.6	1.1%	0	1	66	0
15	May_15_2013	42.23	46.66	47.33	47.61	47.64	48.02	48.38(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	47	60	33	87	16.05	65%	0.14	65.1	1.08%	0	1.9	72	0

16	May_14_2013	42.17	46.5	47.11	47.42	47.32	47.67	47.96(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	50	30	77	13.67	63%	0.21	66.3	1.08%	0	1.7	72	0
17	May_13_2013	42.08	46.38	46.99	47.22	47.19	47.26	47.64(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	10	23	74	9.91	63%	0.21	72	1.09%	0	1.6	72	0
18	May_10_2013	41.99	46.25	46.87	47.08	47.19	46.96	47.04(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10	-8	66	10.79	63%	0.21	76.8	1.08%	0	1	73	0
19	May_9_2013	41.9	46.17	46.78	47.1	47.04	47.12	47.04(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	10	5	82	25.46	63%	0.19	89.5	1.09%	0	1.2	72	0
20	May_8_2013	41.82	46.08	46.71	46.98	47.05	47.11	47.4(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	40	10	20	98	11.09	63%	0.24	94	1.09%	0	1.7	80	0

21	May_7_2013	41.72	45.95	46.57	46.76	46.86	46.97	47(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	20	5	88	7.51	63%	0.22	98.3	1.09%	0	1.3	72	0
22	May_6_2013	41.63	45.8	46.44	46.72	46.71	46.99	46.92(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	40	17	94	6.09	64%	0.24	107.2	1.09%	0	1.3	65	0
23	May_3_2013	41.53	45.67	46.29	46.62	46.65	46.75	47.12(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	20	27	98	12.4	64%	0.24	115.3	1.08%	0	1.7	71	0
24	May_2_2013	41.43	45.51	46.11	46.43	46.48	46.43	46.46(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	18	-0	-1	75	8.59	62%	0.24	110.7	1.08%	0	1.1	61	0
25	May_1_2013	41.33	45.37	45.96	46.39	46.4	46.54	46.28(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	20	3	69	5.94	62%		88.8	1.09%	0	0.8	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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