Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 27, 2013

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $43.2800 (0.51%) ($42.9600 - $43.3200) on Wed. Mar. 27, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $43.2800(0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(66%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $43(0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.78(1.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.24(2.46%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.7% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 0.38%(38%) Average negative next day return: -0.55%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 1.71%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -1.37%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 1.58%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.21%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130427

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_27_2013	39.3	42.24	42.78	43	42.97	43.06	43.28(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	10	15	97	4.66	57%	0.18	92.4	0.9%	0	1.4	71	0
2	Mar_26_2013	39.23	42.11	42.65	42.93	42.91	42.89	43.06(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-0	6	86	8.45	57%	0.18	91.3	0.9%	0	1.3	62	0
3	Mar_25_2013	39.16	42	42.51	42.84	42.89	42.88	42.68(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	0	2	80	4.92	57%	0.18	82.4	0.9%	0	0.8	64	0
4	Mar_22_2013	39.09	41.87	42.46	42.78	42.81	42.94	43.08(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	20	13	91	6.09	59%	0.18	79.6	0.89%	0	1.4	71	0
5	Mar_21_2013	39.02	41.74	42.33	42.67	42.66	42.9	42.92(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	42	40	24	96	5.16	59%	0.18	77.7	0.9%	0	1.3	72	0

6	Mar_20_2013	38.95	41.59	42.21	42.52	42.54	42.68	42.92(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	20	30	99	8.11	61%	0.1	73.9	0.9%	0	1.5	75	0
7	Mar_19_2013	38.91	41.46	42.11	42.32	42.36	42.43	42.6(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	10	17	97	10.08	63%	0.1	69.5	0.91%	0	1.4	75	0
8	Mar_18_2013	38.87	41.34	42.01	42.13	42.19	42.4	42.36(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	40	13	92	8.17	63%	0.15	64.3	0.93%	0	1.3	72	0
9	Mar_15_2013	38.81	41.21	41.92	42.08	42.04	42.29	42.56(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	50	40	27	118	8.48	64%	0.15	57.8	0.92%	0	1.6	81	0
10	Mar_14_2013	38.75	41.07	41.79	41.94	41.94	41.99	42.16(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	10	19	115	5.8	63%	0.16	51.2	0.92%	0	1.3	68	0

11	Mar_13_2013	38.69	40.97	41.66	41.85	41.85	41.79	41.92(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	23	-10	-7	113	4.15	63%	0.16	50	0.92%	0	1.2	72	0
12	Mar_12_2013	38.63	40.88	41.54	41.88	41.82	41.9	41.66(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	31	10	-1	126	6.46	63%	0.13	57	0.92%	0	1	63	0
13	Mar_11_2013	38.58	40.83	41.46	41.86	41.88	41.91	42.12(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	10	21	144	5.51	65%	0.16	63	0.91%	0	1.7	69	0
14	Mar_8_2013	38.52	40.72	41.25	41.73	41.74	41.74	41.86(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	0	4	136	11.05	65%	0.13	66.7	0.9%	0	1.6	72	0
15	Mar_7_2013	38.47	40.64	41.11	41.61	41.64	41.85	41.68(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	40	20	144	8.24	65%	0.13	69.8	0.91%	0	1.6	69	0

16	Mar_6_2013	38.42	40.56	40.94	41.44	41.49	41.74	42.08(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	66	50	42	137	10.35	67%	0.16	70.6	0.9%	0	2.5	67	0
17	Mar_5_2013	38.36	40.44	40.76	41.16	41.21	41.42	41.56(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	48	40	27	110	5.09	65%	0.16	68.7	0.89%	0	2.1	61	0
18	Mar_4_2013	38.3	40.35	40.62	40.99	40.97	41.24	41.48(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	51	40	36	95	7.14	65%	0.16	76	0.89%	0	2.3	57	0
19	Mar_1_2013	38.24	40.26	40.43	40.69	40.79	41	41.24(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	40	40	33	59	6.94	65%	0.16	72.1	0.88%	0	2.3	59	0
20	Feb_28_2013	38.18	40.19	40.28	40.54	40.58	40.7	40.84(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	20	22	33	6.94	66%	0.13	82.2	0.88%	0	1.8	54	0

21	Feb_27_2013	38.13	40.13	40.21	40.35	40.46	40.58	40.68(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	14	30	15	12	5.49	66%	0.16	85.9	0.88%	0	1.6	54	0
22	Feb_26_2013	38.07	40.07	40.16	40.29	40.3	40.47	40.72(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	30	14	16	9.91	66%	0.11	83.9	0.89%	0	1.9	60	0
23	Feb_25_2013	38.03	39.98	40.14	40.19	40.28	40.34	39.96(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	18	20	17	20	9.81	63%	0.11	61	0.86%	0	-0	53	0
24	Feb_22_2013	37.99	39.96	40.16	40.13	40.23	40.14	40.52(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10	10	18	6.79	68%	0.11	57.3	0.85%	0	1.4	59	0
25	Feb_21_2013	37.95	39.89	40.14	39.98	40.06	40.22	39.88(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	30	-8	3	8.64	66%		46.7	0.83%	0	-0	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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