Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 14, 2013

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $42.1600 (0.57%) ($41.9600 - $42.2400) on Thu. Mar. 14, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $42.1600(0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(66%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.94(0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.79(0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.07(2.65%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.05% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.88%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.02%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.44%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -3.95%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.77%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.94%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130414

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_14_2013	38.75	41.07	41.79	41.94	41.94	41.99	42.16(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	10	19	115	5.8	63%	0.16	51.2	0.92%	0	1.3	68	0
2	Mar_13_2013	38.69	40.97	41.66	41.85	41.85	41.79	41.92(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	23	-10	-7	113	4.15	63%	0.16	50	0.92%	0	1.2	72	0
3	Mar_12_2013	38.63	40.88	41.54	41.88	41.82	41.9	41.66(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	31	10	-1	126	6.46	63%	0.13	57	0.92%	0	1	63	0
4	Mar_11_2013	38.58	40.83	41.46	41.86	41.88	41.91	42.12(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	10	21	144	5.51	65%	0.16	63	0.91%	0	1.7	69	0
5	Mar_8_2013	38.52	40.72	41.25	41.73	41.74	41.74	41.86(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	0	4	136	11.05	65%	0.13	66.7	0.9%	0	1.6	72	0

6	Mar_7_2013	38.47	40.64	41.11	41.61	41.64	41.85	41.68(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	40	20	144	8.24	65%	0.13	69.8	0.91%	0	1.6	69	0
7	Mar_6_2013	38.42	40.56	40.94	41.44	41.49	41.74	42.08(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	66	50	42	137	10.35	67%	0.16	70.6	0.9%	0	2.5	67	0
8	Mar_5_2013	38.36	40.44	40.76	41.16	41.21	41.42	41.56(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	48	40	27	110	5.09	65%	0.16	68.7	0.89%	0	2.1	61	0
9	Mar_4_2013	38.3	40.35	40.62	40.99	40.97	41.24	41.48(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	51	40	36	95	7.14	65%	0.16	76	0.89%	0	2.3	57	0
10	Mar_1_2013	38.24	40.26	40.43	40.69	40.79	41	41.24(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	40	40	33	59	6.94	65%	0.16	72.1	0.88%	0	2.3	59	0

11	Feb_28_2013	38.18	40.19	40.28	40.54	40.58	40.7	40.84(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	20	22	33	6.94	66%	0.13	82.2	0.88%	0	1.8	54	0
12	Feb_27_2013	38.13	40.13	40.21	40.35	40.46	40.58	40.68(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	14	30	15	12	5.49	66%	0.16	85.9	0.88%	0	1.6	54	0
13	Feb_26_2013	38.07	40.07	40.16	40.29	40.3	40.47	40.72(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	30	14	16	9.91	66%	0.11	83.9	0.89%	0	1.9	60	0
14	Feb_25_2013	38.03	39.98	40.14	40.19	40.28	40.34	39.96(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	18	20	17	20	9.81	63%	0.11	61	0.86%	0	-0	53	0
15	Feb_22_2013	37.99	39.96	40.16	40.13	40.23	40.14	40.52(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10	10	18	6.79	68%	0.11	57.3	0.85%	0	1.4	59	0

16	Feb_21_2013	37.95	39.89	40.14	39.98	40.06	40.22	39.88(-1.19%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-5	30	-8	3	8.64	66%	0.11	46.7	0.83%	0	-0	51	0
17	Feb_20_2013	37.91	39.84	40.17	40.03	40.03	40.33	40.36(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	50	29	31	8.6	69%	0.11	36.7	0.82%	0	1.1	59	0
18	Feb_19_2013	37.87	39.78	40.1	40.02	39.94	39.91	40.24(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10	5	25	6.03	71%	0.13	29.3	0.82%	0	0.9	63	0
19	Feb_15_2013	37.82	39.74	40.06	40.1	39.98	39.73	39.64(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-12	-50	-27	35	7.22	73%	0.05	33.9	0.83%	0	-0.2	64	0
20	Feb_14_2013	37.8	39.73	40.08	40.2	40.19	39.96	39.76(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	-40	-25	51	8.85	70%	0.08	39	0.85%	0	0.1	55	0

21	Feb_13_2013	37.77	39.7	40.1	40.31	40.27	40.23	40.16(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10	-13	79	5.46	72%	0.08	44.5	0.86%	0	0.9	63	0
22	Feb_12_2013	37.74	39.67	40.07	40.32	40.3	40.42	40.32(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	20	16	111	6.33	70%	0.08	57.3	0.85%	0	1.3	70	0
23	Feb_11_2013	37.71	39.64	39.98	40.19	40.23	40.32	40.6(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	20	26	108	7.92	70%	0.11	58.8	0.86%	0	2	67	0
24	Feb_8_2013	37.67	39.58	39.81	40.03	40.01	40.17	40.16(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	30	9	80	13.44	68%	0.08	57.7	0.85%	0	1.4	58	0
25	Feb_7_2013	37.64	39.54	39.74	39.95	39.95	40.14	40.32(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	30	27	83	9.96	66%		53.5	0.85%	0	2	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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