Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 1, 2013

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $41.2400 (0.98%) ($40.9600 - $41.2800) on Fri. Mar. 1, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $41.2400(0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(66%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.69(1.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.43(2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.26(2.43%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.04% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.18%(36%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.39%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -1.17%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.08%(36%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.93%(64%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130401

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2013	38.24	40.26	40.43	40.69	40.79	41	41.24(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	40	40	33	59	6.94	65%	0.16	72.1	0.88%	0	2.3	59	0
2	Feb_28_2013	38.18	40.19	40.28	40.54	40.58	40.7	40.84(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	20	22	33	6.94	66%	0.13	82.2	0.88%	0	1.8	54	0
3	Feb_27_2013	38.13	40.13	40.21	40.35	40.46	40.58	40.68(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	14	30	15	12	5.49	66%	0.16	85.9	0.88%	0	1.6	54	0
4	Feb_26_2013	38.07	40.07	40.16	40.29	40.3	40.47	40.72(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	30	14	16	9.91	66%	0.11	83.9	0.89%	0	1.9	60	0
5	Feb_25_2013	38.03	39.98	40.14	40.19	40.28	40.34	39.96(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	18	20	17	20	9.81	63%	0.11	61	0.86%	0	-0	53	0

6	Feb_22_2013	37.99	39.96	40.16	40.13	40.23	40.14	40.52(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10	10	18	6.79	68%	0.11	57.3	0.85%	0	1.4	59	0
7	Feb_21_2013	37.95	39.89	40.14	39.98	40.06	40.22	39.88(-1.19%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-5	30	-8	3	8.64	66%	0.11	46.7	0.83%	0	-0	51	0
8	Feb_20_2013	37.91	39.84	40.17	40.03	40.03	40.33	40.36(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	50	29	31	8.6	69%	0.11	36.7	0.82%	0	1.1	59	0
9	Feb_19_2013	37.87	39.78	40.1	40.02	39.94	39.91	40.24(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10	5	25	6.03	71%	0.13	29.3	0.82%	0	0.9	63	0
10	Feb_15_2013	37.82	39.74	40.06	40.1	39.98	39.73	39.64(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-12	-50	-27	35	7.22	73%	0.05	33.9	0.83%	0	-0.2	64	0

11	Feb_14_2013	37.8	39.73	40.08	40.2	40.19	39.96	39.76(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	-40	-25	51	8.85	70%	0.08	39	0.85%	0	0.1	55	0
12	Feb_13_2013	37.77	39.7	40.1	40.31	40.27	40.23	40.16(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10	-13	79	5.46	72%	0.08	44.5	0.86%	0	0.9	63	0
13	Feb_12_2013	37.74	39.67	40.07	40.32	40.3	40.42	40.32(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	20	16	111	6.33	70%	0.08	57.3	0.85%	0	1.3	70	0
14	Feb_11_2013	37.71	39.64	39.98	40.19	40.23	40.32	40.6(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	20	26	108	7.92	70%	0.11	58.8	0.86%	0	2	67	0
15	Feb_8_2013	37.67	39.58	39.81	40.03	40.01	40.17	40.16(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	30	9	80	13.44	68%	0.08	57.7	0.85%	0	1.4	58	0

16	Feb_7_2013	37.64	39.54	39.74	39.95	39.95	40.14	40.32(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	30	27	83	9.96	66%	0.08	53.5	0.85%	0	2	61	0
17	Feb_6_2013	37.61	39.47	39.62	39.86	39.83	39.85	40.2(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	0	11	69	12.5	66%	0.05	41.6	0.87%	0	2.1	62	0
18	Feb_5_2013	37.59	39.39	39.48	39.78	39.79	39.76	39.67(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-0	-1	44	7.11	64%	0.08	29.7	0.86%	0	0.8	50	0
19	Feb_4_2013	37.56	39.36	39.42	39.73	39.83	39.81	39.8(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	0	14	34	8.94	64%	0.05	30.8	0.86%	0	1.2	49	0
20	Feb_1_2013	37.54	39.34	39.38	39.54	39.73	39.82	39.76(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	30	8	13	9.01	65%	0.05	23.6	0.86%	0	1.2	52	0

21	Jan_31_2013	37.52	39.34	39.34	39.49	39.52	39.86	39.88(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	60	25	13	7.94	65%	0.08	29.1	0.87%	0	1.6	55	0
22	Jan_30_2013	37.49	39.33	39.26	39.35	39.41	39.63	39.8(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	35	40	44	9	8.3	65%	0.11	30.3	0.88%	0	1.3	58	0
23	Jan_29_2013	37.45	39.29	39.23	39.14	39.23	39.18	39.4(1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-0	7	-9	10.57	64%	0.08	14.9	0.88%	0	0.3	61	0
24	Jan_28_2013	37.42	39.25	39.26	39.08	39.08	39.2	38.88(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	20	-13	-13	6.85	62%	0.08	2.2	0.87%	0	-1.1	49	0
25	Jan_25_2013	37.39	39.26	39.33	39.2	39.1	39.29	39.48(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	30	22	13	11.45	66%		15.2	0.85%	0	0.6	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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