Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 7, 2013

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $40.3200 (0.3%) ($39.9800 - $40.3600) on Thu. Feb. 7, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $40.3200(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    EWG(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(65%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.95(0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.74(1.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.54(1.97%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 0.99% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.94%(71%) Average negative next day return: -0.52%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.05%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -0.71%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.01%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.85%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130307

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_7_2013	37.64	39.54	39.74	39.95	39.95	40.14	40.32(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	30	27	83	9.96	66%	0.08	53.5	0.85%	0	2	61	0
2	Feb_6_2013	37.61	39.47	39.62	39.86	39.83	39.85	40.2(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	0	11	69	12.5	66%	0.05	41.6	0.87%	0	2.1	62	0
3	Feb_5_2013	37.59	39.39	39.48	39.78	39.79	39.76	39.67(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-0	-1	44	7.11	64%	0.08	29.7	0.86%	0	0.8	50	0
4	Feb_4_2013	37.56	39.36	39.42	39.73	39.83	39.81	39.8(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	0	14	34	8.94	64%	0.05	30.8	0.86%	0	1.2	49	0
5	Feb_1_2013	37.54	39.34	39.38	39.54	39.73	39.82	39.76(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	30	8	13	9.01	65%	0.05	23.6	0.86%	0	1.2	52	0

6	Jan_31_2013	37.52	39.34	39.34	39.49	39.52	39.86	39.88(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	60	25	13	7.94	65%	0.08	29.1	0.87%	0	1.6	55	0
7	Jan_30_2013	37.49	39.33	39.26	39.35	39.41	39.63	39.8(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	35	40	44	9	8.3	65%	0.11	30.3	0.88%	0	1.3	58	0
8	Jan_29_2013	37.45	39.29	39.23	39.14	39.23	39.18	39.4(1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-0	7	-9	10.57	64%	0.08	14.9	0.88%	0	0.3	61	0
9	Jan_28_2013	37.42	39.25	39.26	39.08	39.08	39.2	38.88(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	20	-13	-13	6.85	62%	0.08	2.2	0.87%	0	-1.1	49	0
10	Jan_25_2013	37.39	39.26	39.33	39.2	39.08	39.29	39.48(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	30	22	13	11.45	66%	0.11	15.2	0.85%	0	0.6	50	0

11	Jan_24_2013	37.35	39.23	39.32	39.2	39.1	38.96	39.2(1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-30	1	-2	8.51	66%	0.11	22.8	0.85%	0	-0.1	45	0
12	Jan_23_2013	37.31	39.22	39.31	39.16	39.13	38.92	38.76(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-32	-40	-32	-30	10.16	60%	0.08	35.1	0.84%	0	-1.2	36	0
13	Jan_22_2013	37.28	39.22	39.3	39.33	39.2	39.24	39.08(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-0	-19	-14	9.73	62%	0.08	67.4	0.87%	0	-0.4	52	0
14	Jan_18_2013	37.25	39.24	39.31	39.47	39.33	39.35	39.46(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	9	-10	7	16	12.18	61%	0.08	102.2	0.89%	0	0.6	59	0
15	Jan_17_2013	37.22	39.21	39.3	39.48	39.41	39.17	39.32(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-50	-12	17	13.95	61%	0.08	119.6	0.89%	0	0.3	54	0

16	Jan_16_2013	37.19	39.15	39.33	39.5	39.47	39.32	39.16(-1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-9	-30	-20	26	5.92	63%	0.08	124.7	0.89%	0	0	54	0
17	Jan_15_2013	37.16	39.09	39.4	39.48	39.54	39.65	39.64(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	20	20	57	7.42	65%	0.05	110.4	0.89%	0	1.2	58	0
18	Jan_14_2013	37.14	38.99	39.34	39.26	39.4	39.61	39.76(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	50	27	40	7.78	65%	0.08	87	0.89%	0	1.5	59	0
19	Jan_11_2013	37.11	38.88	39.23	39.13	39.12	39.43	39.52(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	50	18	17	7.62	65%	0.05	71.1	0.89%	0	1.1	53	0
20	Jan_10_2013	37.09	38.78	39.18	39.11	39.12	39.19	39.4(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	20	19	20	6.45	65%	0.08	64.7	0.89%	0	0.9	59	0

21	Jan_9_2013	37.06	38.68	39.13	39.15	39.01	38.81	39.08(1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-50	-17	23	5.09	62%	0.05	64.1	0.9%	0	0.6	62	0
22	Jan_8_2013	37.04	38.6	39.12	39.33	39.19	38.82	38.56(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-16	-80	-37	48	9.07	60%	0.03	68	0.91%	0	-0.1	61	0
23	Jan_7_2013	37.03	38.55	39.17	39.42	39.48	39.22	39.08(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-40	-12	91	10	63%	0.05	68.6	0.9%	0	0.7	70	0
24	Jan_4_2013	37.01	38.47	39.18	39.34	39.43	39.55	39.44(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	30	1	120	7.77	67%	0.05	64.4	0.89%	0	1.2	77	0
25	Jan_3_2013	36.99	38.36	39.11	39.24	39.25	39.74	39.6(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	67	90	40	148	9.58	67%		63.4	0.89%	0	1.5	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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