Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 24, 2012

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $38.9600 (0%) ($38.8000 - $39.0000) on Mon. Dec. 24, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $38.9600(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    EWG(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(65%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.78(0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.2(1.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.74(3.23%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.78% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.26%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.92%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.17%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130124

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_24_2012	36.83	37.74	38.2	38.78	38.82	38.84	38.96(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	50	10	18	145	4.1	60%	0.08	74.2	0.88%	0	1.8	81	0
2	Dec_21_2012	36.8	37.65	38.04	38.56	38.59	38.89	38.96(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	55	60	29	134	10.1	60%	0.08	78.2	0.88%	0	2.1	81	0
3	Dec_20_2012	36.77	37.55	37.89	38.28	38.35	38.81	39.2(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	80	90	64	126	8.68	58%	0.08	87.7	0.88%	0	3	82	0
4	Dec_19_2012	36.74	37.42	37.69	37.92	37.97	38.3	38.68(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	58	60	49	83	12.97	56%	0.08	108.9	0.88%	0	3	73	0
5	Dec_18_2012	36.71	37.32	37.54	37.68	37.66	37.88	38.08(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	34	40	26	56	10.8	54%	0.05	137.5	0.85%	0	2.3	73	0

6	Dec_17_2012	36.69	37.25	37.44	37.54	37.54	37.65	37.9(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	20	23	45	7.28	54%	0.05	158	0.85%	0	2.2	72	0
7	Dec_14_2012	36.67	37.17	37.37	37.44	37.44	37.65	37.56(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-0	3	27	5.27	54%	0.05	142.7	0.85%	0	1.2	59	0
8	Dec_13_2012	36.65	37.08	37.34	37.42	37.4	37.43	37.36(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	0	-3	25	8.85	57%	0.08	101.6	0.86%	0	0.6	56	0
9	Dec_12_2012	36.62	36.97	37.35	37.43	37.43	37.45	37.52(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	0	11	43	10.68	58%	0.05	68.2	0.88%	0	0.9	70	0
10	Dec_11_2012	36.6	36.87	37.29	37.36	37.38	37.37	37.36(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	11	-0	1	39	4.91	58%	0.05	54.5	0.89%	0	0.7	68	0

11	Dec_10_2012	36.58	36.78	37.26	37.33	37.34	37.41	37.38(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	10	5	40	3.29	58%	0.05	44.3	0.89%	0	0.8	66	0
12	Dec_7_2012	36.56	36.7	37.23	37.28	37.3	37.39	37.5(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	22	20	11	54	2.97	60%	0.03	39.7	0.89%	0	1.1	77	0
13	Dec_6_2012	36.55	36.62	37.2	37.24	37.25	37.27	37.38(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	20	0	2	72	2.92	62%	0.03	33.7	0.91%	0	1	82	0
14	Dec_5_2012	36.54	36.54	37.13	37.26	37.24	37.22	37.2(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	25	-10	0	101	3.84	60%	0	33	0.92%	0	0.9	85	0
15	Dec_4_2012	36.54	36.5	37.08	37.22	37.27	37.24	37.18(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-0	5	120	3.57	57%	0.03	32.5	0.93%	0	0.9	73	0

16	Dec_3_2012	36.53	36.45	37.04	37.22	37.16	37.26	37.16(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	33	20	-1	134	2.66	57%	0.03	29.2	0.95%	0	1	74	0
17	Nov_30_2012	36.52	36.41	36.96	37.17	37.1	37.31	37.3(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	30	16	152	6.27	54%	0.03	29.9	0.95%	0	1.3	68	0
18	Nov_29_2012	36.51	36.37	36.8	37.14	37.06	37.06	37.44(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	-10	17	145	21.61	54%	0	32.4	0.98%	0	1.6	70	0
19	Nov_28_2012	36.51	36.3	36.57	37	37.01	36.9	37(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	25	-20	-4	113	4.55	53%	0.03	22.4	0.97%	0	1.2	63	0
20	Nov_27_2012	36.5	36.27	36.42	36.93	36.99	37.06	36.94(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	20	2	98	4.6	53%	-0.03	19	0.97%	0	1.1	55	0

21	Nov_26_2012	36.51	36.25	36.27	36.9	36.88	37.12	37.16(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	41	40	24	92	3.2	53%	0	15	0.97%	0	1.6	58	0
22	Nov_23_2012	36.51	36.2	36.13	36.71	36.8	36.91	37.16(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	47	30	38	73	2.5	53%	0	4	0.97%	0	1.8	58	0
23	Nov_21_2012	36.51	36.16	35.98	36.4	36.58	36.65	36.72(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	30	26	27	4.14	51%	-0.03	-16.2	0.95%	0	1.1	49	0
24	Nov_20_2012	36.52	36.17	35.9	36.06	36.3	36.7	36.68(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	25	100	35	-6	4.74	51%	-0.03	-27.7	0.95%	0	1.1	54	0
25	Nov_19_2012	36.53	36.16	35.85	35.82	35.95	36.52	36.76(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	39	120	59	-22	11.96	51%		-33.3	0.95%	0	1.2	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.