Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 1, 2012

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $36.6000 (1.05%) ($36.2200 - $36.6400) on Thu. Nov. 1, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $36.6000(1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    EWG(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(65%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.48(0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.6(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.41(0.52%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.1% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_1_2012	36.59	36.41		36.48	36.46	36.37	36.6(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-20	4	40	2.27	55%	0.03	-17.3	0.9%	0	0.5	63	0
2	Oct_31_2012	36.58	36.4		36.42	36.47	36.35	36.22(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-7	-20	-22	38	2.93	54%	0.08	-31.8	0.89%	0	-0.4	56	0
3	Oct_26_2012	36.55	36.41	36.6	36.59	36.46	36.56	36.48(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	10	-8	55	3.16	58%	0.03	-30.8	0.9%	0	0.2	50	0
4	Oct_25_2012	36.54	36.42	36.55	36.61	36.46	36.59	36.68(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-0	8	50	3.88	58%	0.03	-33.1	0.91%	0	0.6	49	0
5	Oct_24_2012	36.53	36.45	36.46	36.68	36.62	36.36	36.4(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-10	-50	-24	31	2.96	58%	0.03	-27.6	0.91%	0	-0.1	47	0

6	Oct_23_2012	36.52	36.48	36.39	36.75	36.75	36.65	36.32(-2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-8	-20	-20	30	6.19	56%	0.03	-28	0.92%	0	-0.3	52	0
7	Oct_22_2012	36.51	36.52	36.35	36.81	36.89	36.87	37.08(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	0	17	44	9.41	60%	0.05	-25	0.9%	0	1.1	57	0
8	Oct_19_2012	36.49	36.53	36.28	36.61	36.77	36.85	36.56(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	30	11	20	3.16	53%	0.03	-35.9	0.93%	0	0.1	49	0
9	Oct_18_2012	36.48	36.53	36.29	36.46	36.59	36.91	37.02(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	70	37	16	2.7	56%	0.05	-46	0.92%	0	0.8	52	0
10	Oct_17_2012	36.46	36.57	36.24	36.22	36.29	36.68	36.78(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	29	80	44	-18	2.65	56%	0.03	-55.9	0.92%	0	0.4	39	0

11	Oct_16_2012	36.45	36.61	36.18	35.98	36.04	36.28	36.6(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	14	50	37	-56	2.82	56%	0.03	-58.6	0.92%	0	-0	44	0
12	Oct_15_2012	36.44	36.65	36.15	35.84	35.79	35.9	36.08(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-25	20	1	-104	3.18	53%	0	-56	0.9%	0	-0.9	34	0
13	Oct_12_2012	36.44	36.72	36.2	35.92	35.78	35.8	35.84(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-10	-10	-113	2.56	51%	0.03	-43.3	0.91%	0	-1.3	30	0
14	Oct_11_2012	36.43	36.82	36.28	36.09	35.96	35.69	35.8(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-60	-22	-114	3.36	51%	0	-27.6	0.92%	0	-1.6	29	0
15	Oct_10_2012	36.43	36.91	36.44	36.26	36.19	35.77	35.6(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-58	-90	-42	-105	2.15	49%	0	-9.4	0.92%	0	-2.2	29	0

16	Oct_9_2012	36.43	36.98	36.58	36.39	36.46	36.23	35.88(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-47	-40	-29	-99	3.38	49%	0	9.2	0.93%	0	-2.1	28	0
17	Oct_8_2012	36.43	36.98	36.72	36.49	36.46	36.62	36.48(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	20	-5	-86	2.3	52%	0.03	22	0.91%	0	-1.1	34	0
18	Oct_5_2012	36.42	37.01	36.81	36.49	36.53	36.7	36.68(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	30	14	-80	3.45	50%	0	23.7	0.91%	0	-0.7	37	0
19	Oct_4_2012	36.42	37	36.88	36.51	36.51	36.45	36.66(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-28	-10	-5	-95	2.17	50%	0.03	21.9	0.92%	0	-0.6	33	0
20	Oct_3_2012	36.41	36.96	36.94	36.66	36.53	36.37	36.24(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-40	-29	-96	4.3	50%	0	17.9	0.91%	0	-1.1	35	0

21	Oct_2_2012	36.41	36.93	37.08	36.8	36.81	36.57	36.4(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-40	-21	-66	4.51	50%	0	13.9	0.93%	0	-0.8	47	0
22	Oct_1_2012	36.41	36.91	37.2	36.99	36.94	36.68	36.56(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-50	-36	-38	2.24	50%	0	12.6	0.93%	0	-0.5	55	0
23	Sep_28_2012	36.41	36.9	37.29	37.15	37.14	37.06	36.68(-1.93%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-14	-20	-19	2	4.6	55%	-0.03	13	0.96%	0	-0.3	58	0
24	Sep_27_2012	36.42	36.88	37.41	37.3	37.28	37.19	37.4(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-20	-1	48	1.98	58%	0	11.8	0.95%	0	0.7	68	0
25	Sep_26_2012	36.42	36.85	37.42	37.26	37.31	37.23	36.96(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10	-18	65	2.14	58%		8.8	0.94%	0	0.2	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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