Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 27, 2012

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $36.1800 (1.74%) ($35.8000 - $36.3200) on Fri. Jul. 27, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $36.1800(1.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    EWG(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(65%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $31.47(-13.02%)
Resistance Level   $36.48
5 Day Moving Average   $35.43(2.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.87(0.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.48(-0.82%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.3% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.92%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.52%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 5.59%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120827

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_27_2012	37.55	36.48	35.87	35.43	35.43	35.79	36.18(1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	70	31	-85	3.05	46%	-0.11	-29.1	1.11%	0	-0.4	38	0
2	Jul_26_2012	37.59	36.52	35.91	35.36	35.24	35.29	35.56(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-33	-0	-4	-119	3.76	44%	-0.11	-27	1.08%	0	-1.1	29	0
3	Jul_25_2012	37.63	36.57	35.98	35.59	35.33	35.07	35.04(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-57	-70	-32	-131	2.92	42%	-0.13	-23.5	1.07%	0	-1.9	20	0
4	Jul_24_2012	37.68	36.63	36.16	35.87	35.74	35.2	35.02(-0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-62	-120	-40	-129	7.33	42%	-0.11	-18.3	1.07%	0	-2.2	18	0
5	Jul_23_2012	37.72	36.68	36.35	36.13	36.05	35.58	35.36(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-70	-100	-52	-124	2.47	41%	-0.13	-14.1	1.07%	0	-1.9	28	0

6	Jul_20_2012	37.77	36.73	36.53	36.36	36.3	36.29	35.84(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-44	-10	-24	-102	3.56	42%	-0.11	-5.4	1.07%	0	-1.5	30	0
7	Jul_19_2012	37.81	36.75	36.68	36.52	36.45	36.53	36.7(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	10	18	-70	2.41	45%	-0.08	3.7	1.03%	0	-0.1	49	0
8	Jul_18_2012	37.84	36.76	36.76	36.43	36.37	36.31	36.44(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	-20	-7	-73	2.56	45%	-0.13	10.4	1.03%	0	-0.5	53	0
9	Jul_17_2012	37.89	36.76	36.9	36.51	36.34	36.38	36.32(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10	-11	-42	2.66	45%	-0.11	20.9	1.02%	0	-0.8	56	0
10	Jul_16_2012	37.93	36.76	37.03	36.6	36.47	36.43	36.48(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-20	-4	-6	1.98	45%	-0.08	33.7	1.03%	0	-0.5	61	0

11	Jul_13_2012	37.96	36.77	37.14	36.74	36.58	36.3	36.64(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-13	-70	-23	18	3.35	43%	-0.11	45.8	1.03%	0	-0.2	55	0
12	Jul_12_2012	38	36.73	37.18	36.88	36.76	36.52	36.28(-1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-18	-60	-37	39	2.85	43%	-0.11	50.6	1.03%	0	-0.7	55	0
13	Jul_11_2012	38.04	36.7	37.2	37.13	37.02	36.86	36.84(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-40	-24	62	2.15	47%	-0.08	54.3	1.01%	0	0.2	50	0
14	Jul_10_2012	38.07	36.64	37.14	37.36	37.19	36.99	36.76(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-50	-24	77	3.61	46%	-0.03	62.9	1.03%	0	0.2	53	0
15	Jul_9_2012	38.08	36.57	37.05	37.51	37.42	37.18	37.16(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-50	-19	84	3.18	47%	-0.08	66.2	1.03%	0	0.8	58	0

16	Jul_6_2012	38.11	36.49	36.97	37.61	37.53	37.4	37.36(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-30	-10	99	2.73	47%	-0.08	73.5	1.03%	0	1.1	60	0
17	Jul_5_2012	38.14	36.41	36.84	37.51	37.59	37.67	37.52(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	20	18	106	2.31	47%	-0.05	72.8	1.04%	0	1.4	66	0
18	Jul_3_2012	38.16	36.33	36.76	37.28	37.4	37.66	38(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	57	60	38	114	2.44	44%	-0.03	73.8	1.06%	0	2.2	72	0
19	Jul_2_2012	38.17	36.19	36.6	36.9	37.01	37.51	37.52(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	60	100	47	99	3.05	43%	-0.03	64.4	1.05%	0	2	67	0
20	Jun_29_2012	38.18	36.06	36.48	36.53	36.64	37.14	37.64(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	65	100	57	88	2.99	43%	-0.05	47.6	1.05%	0	2.3	71	0

21	Jun_28_2012	38.2	35.91	36.33	36.25	36.2	36.52	36.88(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	41	60	32	69	2.88	40%	-0.05	37.1	1.01%	0	1.7	64	0
22	Jun_27_2012	38.22	35.84	36.21	36.07	36.06	36.15	36.36(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	20	7	45	5.42	37%	-0.05	29.8	0.99%	0	1	56	0
23	Jun_26_2012	38.24	35.78	36.13	36.18	36.07	35.89	36.08(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-40	-16	38	5.65	37%	-0.08	31	0.99%	0	0.6	51	0
24	Jun_25_2012	38.27	35.76	36.1	36.27	36.27	35.98	35.68(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-60	-27	49	2.38	35%	-0.08	33.8	0.98%	0	-0.2	54	0
25	Jun_22_2012	38.3	35.74	36.07	36.4	36.46	36.25	36.24(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-40	-18	71	1.67	37%		37.7	0.97%	0	0.9	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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