Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 13, 2012

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $36.6400 (0.99%) ($36.0800 - $36.6400) on Fri. Jul. 13, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $36.6400(0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    EWG(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(65%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

Resistance Level   $36.77
5 Day Moving Average   $36.74(-0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.14(-1.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.77(-0.35%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.66% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.64%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.88%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 5.99%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2012	37.96	36.77	37.14	36.74	36.58	36.3	36.64(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-13	-70	-23	18	3.35	43%	-0.11	45.8	1.03%	0	-0.2	55	0
2	Jul_12_2012	38	36.73	37.18	36.88	36.76	36.52	36.28(-1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-18	-60	-37	39	2.85	43%	-0.11	50.6	1.03%	0	-0.7	55	0
3	Jul_11_2012	38.04	36.7	37.2	37.13	37.02	36.86	36.84(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-40	-24	62	2.15	47%	-0.08	54.3	1.01%	0	0.2	50	0
4	Jul_10_2012	38.07	36.64	37.14	37.36	37.19	36.99	36.76(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-50	-24	77	3.61	46%	-0.03	62.9	1.03%	0	0.2	53	0
5	Jul_9_2012	38.08	36.57	37.05	37.51	37.42	37.18	37.16(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-50	-19	84	3.18	47%	-0.08	66.2	1.03%	0	0.8	58	0

6	Jul_6_2012	38.11	36.49	36.97	37.61	37.53	37.4	37.36(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-30	-10	99	2.73	47%	-0.08	73.5	1.03%	0	1.1	60	0
7	Jul_5_2012	38.14	36.41	36.84	37.51	37.59	37.67	37.52(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	20	18	106	2.31	47%	-0.05	72.8	1.04%	0	1.4	66	0
8	Jul_3_2012	38.16	36.33	36.76	37.28	37.4	37.66	38(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	57	60	38	114	2.44	44%	-0.03	73.8	1.06%	0	2.2	72	0
9	Jul_2_2012	38.17	36.19	36.6	36.9	37.01	37.51	37.52(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	60	100	47	99	3.05	43%	-0.03	64.4	1.05%	0	2	67	0
10	Jun_29_2012	38.18	36.06	36.48	36.53	36.64	37.14	37.64(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	65	100	57	88	2.99	43%	-0.05	47.6	1.05%	0	2.3	71	0

11	Jun_28_2012	38.2	35.91	36.33	36.25	36.2	36.52	36.88(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	41	60	32	69	2.88	40%	-0.05	37.1	1.01%	0	1.7	64	0
12	Jun_27_2012	38.22	35.84	36.21	36.07	36.06	36.15	36.36(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	20	7	45	5.42	37%	-0.05	29.8	0.99%	0	1	56	0
13	Jun_26_2012	38.24	35.78	36.13	36.18	36.07	35.89	36.08(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-40	-16	38	5.65	37%	-0.08	31	0.99%	0	0.6	51	0
14	Jun_25_2012	38.27	35.76	36.1	36.27	36.27	35.98	35.68(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-60	-27	49	2.38	35%	-0.08	33.8	0.98%	0	-0.2	54	0
15	Jun_22_2012	38.3	35.74	36.07	36.4	36.46	36.25	36.24(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-40	-18	71	1.67	37%	-0.05	37.7	0.97%	0	0.9	64	0

16	Jun_21_2012	38.32	35.7	35.99	36.41	36.5	36.56	36(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	22	20	-2	94	3	37%	-0.08	33.8	0.96%	0	0.6	66	0
17	Jun_20_2012	38.35	35.68	35.97	36.36	36.47	36.67	36.88(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	57	50	38	115	2.85	38%	-0.03	30.2	0.92%	0	2.3	61	0
18	Jun_19_2012	38.36	35.62	35.87	36.08	36.19	36.45	36.54(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	46	60	29	98	2.6	37%	-0.05	15.1	0.92%	0	2	62	0
19	Jun_18_2012	38.38	35.58	35.75	35.9	35.94	36.26	36.36(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	49	70	38	81	2.53	37%	-0.05	-2.7	0.92%	0	2	55	0
20	Jun_15_2012	38.4	35.54	35.61	35.68	35.74	35.93	36.26(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	37	40	32	53	7.17	37%	-0.03	-38.6	0.92%	0	2	58	0

21	Jun_14_2012	38.41	35.54	35.45	35.68	35.57	35.62	35.76(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	10	7	13	2.37	33%	-0.08	-69.7	0.91%	0	0.7	53	0
22	Jun_13_2012	38.44	35.52	35.42	35.52	35.47	35.56	35.46(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	10	-7	7	1.55	33%	-0.05	-88.9	0.91%	0	-0.2	49	0
23	Jun_12_2012	38.46	35.55	35.4	35.62	35.56	35.52	35.68(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10	9	13	1.59	32%	-0.05	-95.2	0.92%	0	0.4	47	0
24	Jun_11_2012	38.48	35.59	35.4	35.57	35.6	35.38	35.26(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-40	-8	-3	2.02	29%	-0.08	-96.8	0.91%	0	-0.8	43	0
25	Jun_8_2012	38.51	35.68	35.39	35.52	35.56	35.6	35.44(-0.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	10	2	-10	2.03	33%		-89.9	0.91%	0	-0.5	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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