Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 17, 2012

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $36.0800 (0.89%) ($36.0000 - $36.2400) on Thu. May. 17, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   14
Latest Price   $36.0800(0.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    EWG(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(65%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $31.42(-12.92%)
Resistance Level   $37.79
5 Day Moving Average   $36.33(-0.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.92(-2.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.79(-4.53%)
To recent high   -11.5%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.78% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.88%(60%) Average negative next day return: -3.02%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 5.29%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.49%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 4.8%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.97%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120617

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_17_2012	38.71	37.79	36.92	36.33	36.25	35.99	36.08(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-81	-60	-32	-226	3.6	22%	0	-65.1	0.84%	0	-1.6	14	0
2	May_16_2012	38.71	37.93	37.12	36.6	36.49	36.09	35.76(-1.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-104	-90	-60	-234	4.62	20%	0	-64.4	0.83%	0	-2.2	8	0
3	May_15_2012	38.71	38.1	37.38	36.91	36.9	36.51	36.16(-1.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-90	-70	-49	-211	5.02	26%	-0.08	-64.1	0.83%	0	-2.2	14	0
4	May_14_2012	38.74	38.26	37.63	37.2	37.13	36.88	36.62(-1.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-81	-50	-47	-183	3.68	27%	0.03	-60.2	0.85%	0	-2.1	21	0
5	May_11_2012	38.73	38.39	37.86	37.46	37.32	37.29	37.04(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-20	-21	-144	4.13	29%	0.03	-60	0.84%	0	-2	30	0

6	May_10_2012	38.72	38.48	38.06	37.6	37.53	37.37	37.44(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-40	-10	-125	5.53	29%	0.05	-62.9	0.84%	0	-1.7	29	0
7	May_9_2012	38.7	38.58	38.23	37.72	37.61	37.36	37.28(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-60	-60	-39	-121	5.46	29%	0.03	-62.8	0.85%	0	-2.3	28	0
8	May_8_2012	38.69	38.68	38.4	37.93	37.81	37.69	37.6(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-48	-30	-30	-101	7.48	30%	0.05	-71.7	0.84%	0	-2.2	28	0
9	May_7_2012	38.67	38.73	38.52	38.12	38.02	37.86	37.92(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	-40	-23	-88	4.09	31%	0.03	-95.4	0.84%	0	-1.9	30	0
10	May_4_2012	38.66	38.79	38.59	38.33	38.17	37.94	37.76(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-51	-50	-40	-82	1.93	31%	0.05	-106.9	0.84%	0	-2.6	33	0

11	May_3_2012	38.64	38.87	38.72	38.59	38.45	38.18	38.04(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-40	-60	-35	-54	2.43	31%	0.05	-128	0.85%	0	-2.6	38	0
12	May_2_2012	38.62	38.94	38.81	38.81	38.69	38.4	38.34(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-36	-60	-35	-39	3.99	31%	0.03	-152.2	0.84%	0	-2.2	35	0
13	May_1_2012	38.61	39.03	38.89	38.94	38.89	38.73	38.56(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-21	-30	-21	-21	5.65	31%	0.05	-109.8	0.84%	0	-1.3	42	0
14	Apr_30_2012	38.59	39.13	38.89	38.98	38.99	38.98	38.96(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	3	-0	3	2	2.81	33%	0.03	-72.7	0.83%	0	-0.3	57	0
15	Apr_27_2012	38.58	39.21	38.95	38.89	38.95	39.05	39.04(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	20	9	-7	2.69	33%	0.08	-60.1	0.83%	0	-0.3	50	0

16	Apr_26_2012	38.55	39.29	38.95	38.87	38.82	39	39.16(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	30	13	-14	3.85	33%	0.03	-50.9	0.83%	0	-0.2	47	0
17	Apr_25_2012	38.54	39.35	38.94	38.81	38.78	38.86	38.96(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	10	10	-21	3.96	33%	0.05	-45.9	0.83%	0	-0.5	45	0
18	Apr_24_2012	38.52	39.43	38.96	38.84	38.8	38.65	38.76(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-30	-11	-45	4.44	33%	0.03	-40.4	0.85%	0	-0.9	32	0
19	Apr_23_2012	38.51	39.5	38.95	38.93	38.87	38.71	38.52(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	-30	-26	-77	2.99	33%	0.05	-39.1	0.85%	0	-1.3	25	0
20	Apr_20_2012	38.49	39.58	39.01	39.02	39.04	38.95	38.96(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-10	-5	-89	1.8	35%	0.05	-41.2	0.84%	0	-0.9	28	0

21	Apr_19_2012	38.47	39.63	39.04	39	39.07	39.03	38.86(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-0	-12	-115	2.58	35%	0.03	-44.1	0.85%	0	-1.1	29	0
22	Apr_18_2012	38.46	39.69	39.08	39	39.08	39.14	39.12(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-30	10	2	-124	2.59	35%	0.05	-41.4	0.85%	0	-0.8	30	0
23	Apr_17_2012	38.44	39.74	39.18	39.09	39.1	39.1	39.2(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	0	13	-125	2.76	35%	0.08	-43.9	0.86%	0	-0.8	32	0
24	Apr_16_2012	38.41	39.8	39.32	38.97	39.07	39.02	38.96(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-37	-0	-3	-137	3.59	35%	0.1	-44.5	0.86%	0	-1.2	35	0
25	Apr_13_2012	38.37	39.88	39.49	38.99	39.01	39.09	38.88(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	20	-7	-127	2.27	35%		-46.1	0.87%	0	-1.5	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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