Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 15, 2012

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $36.1600 (-1.26%) ($36.1600 - $36.5500) on Tue. May. 15, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   14
Latest Price   $36.1600(-1.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    EWG(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(65%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $32.74(-9.46%)
Resistance Level   $38.1
5 Day Moving Average   $36.91(-2.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.38(-3.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.1(-5.09%)
To recent high   -11.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.31% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 1.93%(43%) Average negative next day return: -1.37%(57%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 3.39%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.02%(50%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 3.79%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.39%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120615

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_15_2012	38.71	38.1	37.38	36.91	36.9	36.51	36.16(-1.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-90	-70	-49	-211	5.02	26%	-0.08	-64.1	0.83%	0	-2.2	14	NAN
2	May_14_2012	38.74	38.26	37.63	37.2	37.13	36.88	36.62(-1.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-81	-50	-47	-183	3.68	27%	0.03	-60.2	0.85%	0	-2.1	21	NAN
3	May_11_2012	38.73	38.39	37.86	37.46	37.32	37.29	37.04(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-20	-21	-144	4.13	29%	0.03	-60	0.84%	0	-2	30	NAN
4	May_10_2012	38.72	38.48	38.06	37.6	37.53	37.37	37.44(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-40	-10	-125	5.53	29%	0.05	-62.9	0.84%	0	-1.7	29	NAN
5	May_9_2012	38.7	38.58	38.23	37.72	37.61	37.36	37.28(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-60	-60	-39	-121	5.46	29%	0.03	-62.8	0.85%	0	-2.3	28	NAN

6	May_8_2012	38.69	38.68	38.4	37.93	37.81	37.69	37.6(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-48	-30	-30	-101	7.48	30%	0.05	-71.7	0.84%	0	-2.2	28	NAN
7	May_7_2012	38.67	38.73	38.52	38.12	38.02	37.86	37.92(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	-40	-23	-88	4.09	31%	0.03	-95.4	0.84%	0	-1.9	30	NAN
8	May_4_2012	38.66	38.79	38.59	38.33	38.17	37.94	37.76(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-51	-50	-40	-82	1.93	31%	0.05	-106.9	0.84%	0	-2.6	33	NAN
9	May_3_2012	38.64	38.87	38.72	38.59	38.45	38.18	38.04(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-40	-60	-35	-54	2.43	31%	0.05	-128	0.85%	0	-2.6	38	NAN
10	May_2_2012	38.62	38.94	38.81	38.81	38.69	38.4	38.34(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-36	-60	-35	-39	3.99	31%	0.03	-152.2	0.84%	0	-2.2	35	NAN

11	May_1_2012	38.61	39.03	38.89	38.94	38.89	38.73	38.56(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-21	-30	-21	-21	5.65	31%	0.05	-109.8	0.84%	0	-1.3	42	NAN
12	Apr_30_2012	38.59	39.13	38.89	38.98	38.99	38.98	38.96(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	3	-0	3	2	2.81	33%	0.03	-72.7	0.83%	0	-0.3	57	NAN
13	Apr_27_2012	38.58	39.21	38.95	38.89	38.95	39.05	39.04(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	20	9	-7	2.69	33%	0.08	-60.1	0.83%	0	-0.3	50	NAN
14	Apr_26_2012	38.55	39.29	38.95	38.87	38.82	39	39.16(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	30	13	-14	3.85	33%	0.03	-50.9	0.83%	0	-0.2	47	NAN
15	Apr_25_2012	38.54	39.35	38.94	38.81	38.78	38.86	38.96(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	10	10	-21	3.96	33%	0.05	-45.9	0.83%	0	-0.5	45	NAN

16	Apr_24_2012	38.52	39.43	38.96	38.84	38.8	38.65	38.76(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-30	-11	-45	4.44	33%	0.03	-40.4	0.85%	0	-0.9	32	NAN
17	Apr_23_2012	38.51	39.5	38.95	38.93	38.87	38.71	38.52(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	-30	-26	-77	2.99	33%	0.05	-39.1	0.85%	0	-1.3	25	NAN
18	Apr_20_2012	38.49	39.58	39.01	39.02	39.04	38.95	38.96(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-10	-5	-89	1.8	35%	0.05	-41.2	0.84%	0	-0.9	28	NAN
19	Apr_19_2012	38.47	39.63	39.04	39	39.07	39.03	38.86(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-0	-12	-115	2.58	35%	0.03	-44.1	0.85%	0	-1.1	29	NAN
20	Apr_18_2012	38.46	39.69	39.08	39	39.08	39.14	39.12(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-30	10	2	-124	2.59	35%	0.05	-41.4	0.85%	0	-0.8	30	NAN

21	Apr_17_2012	38.44	39.74	39.18	39.09	39.1	39.1	39.2(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	0	13	-125	2.76	35%	0.08	-43.9	0.86%	0	-0.8	32	NAN
22	Apr_16_2012	38.41	39.8	39.32	38.97	39.07	39.02	38.96(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-37	-0	-3	-137	3.59	35%	0.1	-44.5	0.86%	0	-1.2	35	NAN
23	Apr_13_2012	38.37	39.88	39.49	38.99	39.01	39.09	38.88(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	20	-7	-127	2.27	35%	0.03	-46.1	0.87%	0	-1.5	39	NAN
24	Apr_12_2012	38.36	39.94	39.66	38.99	39.02	39.12	39.3(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	10	10	-106	3.38	37%	0.1	-45.8	0.86%	0	-1	43	NAN
25	Apr_11_2012	38.32	39.98	39.78	39.08	39.06	38.93	39.12(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-20	-14	-106	4.91	37%		-44.7	0.86%	0	-1.4	41	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.