Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 6, 2012

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $36.2600 (-1.15%) ($36.2400 - $36.5200) on Fri. Jan. 6, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $36.2600(-1.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    EWG(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(65%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $36.4
5 Day Moving Average   $36.73(-1.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.36(-0.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.4(-0.38%)
To recent high   -9.2%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.48% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_6_2012	37.47	36.4	36.36	36.73		36.54	36.26(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-40	-11	36	3.6	51%	-0.05	-25	1.53%	0	-0.3	50	0
2	Jan_5_2012	37.49	36.46	36.32	36.71	36.81	36.91	36.68(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	30	7	38	3.05	51%	-0.08	-26.4	1.52%	0	0.4	52	0
3	Jan_4_2012	37.52	36.48	36.27	36.46	36.62	37.09	37.12(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	100	28	26	4.2	51%	-0.05	-30.5	1.51%	0	1	51	0
4	Jan_3_2012	37.54	36.48	36.12	36.22	36.25	36.72	37.16(1.98%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	23	90	31	-1	4	51%	-0.13	-32.9	1.52%	0	1.1	49	0
5	Dec_30_2011	37.59	36.5	36.01	36.04	35.97	36.14	36.44(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	30	15	-32	3.59	45%	-0.08	-25.3	1.52%	0	-0.1	36	0

6	Dec_29_2011	37.62	36.53	35.99	35.96	35.93	35.79	36.16(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-30	3	-46	2.84	45%	-0.05	-15.8	1.54%	0	-0.6	45	0
7	Dec_28_2011	37.64	36.61	36.01	35.89	35.91	35.8	35.44(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-20	-14	-71	3.29	42%	-0.13	-8.2	1.54%	0	-1.6	31	0
8	Dec_27_2011	37.69	36.67	36.14	36.03	35.94	36.06	35.88(-1.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-13	20	3	-61	2.26	42%	-0.11	1.1	1.53%	0	-1.2	40	0
9	Dec_23_2011	37.73	36.7	36.24	35.99	35.95	36.02	36.3(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	10	9	-68	1.74	42%	-0.11	-2.2	1.53%	0	-0.6	39	0
10	Dec_22_2011	37.77	36.66	36.36	35.97	35.87	35.81	36.02(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-20	-6	-74	6.82	42%	-0.16	-10.1	1.53%	0	-0.9	40	0

11	Dec_21_2011	37.83	36.64	36.43	36.03	35.96	35.88	35.8(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-20	-9	-77	4.57	42%	-0.16	-13.9	1.54%	0	-1.1	39	0
12	Dec_20_2011	37.89	36.67	36.62	36.15	36.12	35.94	36.16(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-40	-10	-72	4.24	42%	-0.16	-15.8	1.54%	0	-0.7	37	0
13	Dec_19_2011	37.95	36.66	36.72	36.27	36.27	36.04	35.68(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-40	-23	-65	2.74	42%	-0.21	-18.1	1.53%	0	-1.3	46	0
14	Dec_16_2011	38.03	36.71	36.92	36.53	36.55	36.29	36.2(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-50	-21	-39	5.1	42%	-0.16	-13.3	1.53%	0	-0.7	51	0
15	Dec_15_2011	38.09	36.73	37.03	36.81	36.75	36.51	36.3(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-50	-18	-3	4.76	42%	-0.18	-4.8	1.54%	0	-0.6	60	0

16	Dec_14_2011	38.16	36.74	37.13	36.9	36.99	36.81	36.4(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-8	-30	-17	20	5.55	42%	-0.18	-4.3	1.54%	0	-0.5	60	0
17	Dec_13_2011	38.23	36.78	37.27	37.16	37.12	36.99	36.78(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-30	-11	54	4	42%	-0.16	3.2	1.54%	0	0	55	0
18	Dec_12_2011	38.29	36.79	37.25	37.23	37.24	37.17	36.96(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10	-8	66	3.39	42%	-0.18	2.1	1.55%	0	0.2	58	0
19	Dec_9_2011	38.36	36.81	37.2	37.36	37.31	37.25	37.6(2.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	18	-20	-1	76	3.83	41%	-0.16	6.3	1.54%	0	1.1	56	0
20	Dec_8_2011	38.42	36.81	36.99	37.3	37.37	37.32	36.76(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-0	-6	62	5.56	37%	-0.16	0	1.54%	0	-0	53	0

21	Dec_7_2011	38.48	36.77	36.87	37.39	37.46	37.36	37.68(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	15	-10	-1	61	3.54	44%	-0.13	1.1	1.52%	0	1.4	59	0
22	Dec_6_2011	38.53	36.76	36.72	37.4	37.41	37.42	37.16(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	0	-2	53	2.39	41%	-0.13	4.4	1.53%	0	0.6	49	0
23	Dec_5_2011	38.58	36.78	36.6	37.27	37.5	37.56	37.6(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	30	19	42	3.48	41%	-0.13	0.5	1.55%	0	1.2	52	0
24	Dec_2_2011	38.63	36.76	36.49	37.02	37.22	37.41	37.32(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	50	19	22	4.2	41%	-0.13	-26.1	1.56%	0	0.8	49	0
25	Dec_1_2011	38.68	36.77	36.39	36.63	36.91	37.43	37.2(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	120	35	1	2.67	41%		-55.3	1.57%	0	0.6	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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