Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 27, 2011

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $35.8800 (-1.16%) ($35.8400 - $36.0400) on Tue. Dec. 27, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $35.8800(-1.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    EWG(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(65%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $36.67
5 Day Moving Average   $36.03(-0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.14(-0.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.67(-2.15%)
To recent high   -10.1%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.77% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120127

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_27_2011	37.69	36.67	36.14	36.03	35.94	36.06	35.88(-1.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-13	20	3	-61	2.26	42%	-0.11	1.1	1.53%	0	-1.2	40	0
2	Dec_23_2011	37.73	36.7	36.24	35.99	35.95	36.02	36.3(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	10	9	-68	1.74	42%	-0.11	-2.2	1.53%	0	-0.6	39	0
3	Dec_22_2011	37.77	36.66	36.36	35.97	35.87	35.81	36.02(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-20	-6	-74	6.82	42%	-0.16	-10.1	1.53%	0	-0.9	40	0
4	Dec_21_2011	37.83	36.64	36.43	36.03	35.96	35.88	35.8(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-20	-9	-77	4.57	42%	-0.16	-13.9	1.54%	0	-1.1	39	0
5	Dec_20_2011	37.89	36.67	36.62	36.15	36.12	35.94	36.16(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-40	-10	-72	4.24	42%	-0.16	-15.8	1.54%	0	-0.7	37	0

6	Dec_19_2011	37.95	36.66	36.72	36.27	36.27	36.04	35.68(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-40	-23	-65	2.74	42%	-0.21	-18.1	1.53%	0	-1.3	46	0
7	Dec_16_2011	38.03	36.71	36.92	36.53	36.55	36.29	36.2(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-50	-21	-39	5.1	42%	-0.16	-13.3	1.53%	0	-0.7	51	0
8	Dec_15_2011	38.09	36.73	37.03	36.81	36.75	36.51	36.3(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-50	-18	-3	4.76	42%	-0.18	-4.8	1.54%	0	-0.6	60	0
9	Dec_14_2011	38.16	36.74	37.13	36.9	36.99	36.81	36.4(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-8	-30	-17	20	5.55	42%	-0.18	-4.3	1.54%	0	-0.5	60	0
10	Dec_13_2011	38.23	36.78	37.27	37.16	37.12	36.99	36.78(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-30	-11	54	4	42%	-0.16	3.2	1.54%	0	0	55	0

11	Dec_12_2011	38.29	36.79	37.25	37.23	37.24	37.17	36.96(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10	-8	66	3.39	42%	-0.18	2.1	1.55%	0	0.2	58	0
12	Dec_9_2011	38.36	36.81	37.2	37.36	37.31	37.25	37.6(2.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	18	-20	-1	76	3.83	41%	-0.16	6.3	1.54%	0	1.1	56	0
13	Dec_8_2011	38.42	36.81	36.99	37.3	37.37	37.32	36.76(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-0	-6	62	5.56	37%	-0.16	0	1.54%	0	-0	53	0
14	Dec_7_2011	38.48	36.77	36.87	37.39	37.46	37.36	37.68(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	15	-10	-1	61	3.54	44%	-0.13	1.1	1.52%	0	1.4	59	0
15	Dec_6_2011	38.53	36.76	36.72	37.4	37.41	37.42	37.16(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	0	-2	53	2.39	41%	-0.13	4.4	1.53%	0	0.6	49	0

16	Dec_5_2011	38.58	36.78	36.6	37.27	37.5	37.56	37.6(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	30	19	42	3.48	41%	-0.13	0.5	1.55%	0	1.2	52	0
17	Dec_2_2011	38.63	36.76	36.49	37.02	37.22	37.41	37.32(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	50	19	22	4.2	41%	-0.13	-26.1	1.56%	0	0.8	49	0
18	Dec_1_2011	38.68	36.77	36.39	36.63	36.91	37.43	37.2(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	120	35	1	2.67	41%	-0.15	-55.3	1.57%	0	0.6	52	0
19	Nov_30_2011	38.74	36.76	36.31	36.26	36.45	37.03	37.72(3.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	24	130	40	-23	8.43	44%	-0.1	-76.8	1.57%	0	1.4	55	0
20	Nov_29_2011	38.78	36.73	36.22	35.96	35.96	36.39	36.52(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	80	23	-55	3.4	38%	-0.15	-100.5	1.51%	0	-0.3	38	0

21	Nov_28_2011	38.84	36.78	36.27	35.84	35.88	35.88	36.34(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	0	11	-74	4.31	38%	-0.15	-110.1	1.52%	0	-0.6	35	0
22	Nov_25_2011	38.9	36.94	36.35	35.9	35.81	35.53	35.36(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-42	-60	-26	-89	2.89	37%	-0.26	-71.5	1.5%	0	-1.6	28	0
23	Nov_23_2011	39	37.16	36.51	36.12	36.11	35.89	35.36(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-40	-20	-80	6.06	40%	-0.18	-52.3	1.51%	0	-1.7	27	0
24	Nov_22_2011	39.07	37.31	36.68	36.34	36.38	36.09	36.2(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-50	-17	-71	2.69	43%	-0.08	-50.6	1.5%	0	-1.1	38	0
25	Nov_21_2011	39.1	37.41	36.81	36.52	36.5	36.34	35.92(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-30	-25	-60	4.52	43%		-47.5	1.5%	0	-1.5	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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