Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 1, 2011

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $37.2000 (-1.38%) ($37.2000 - $37.4800) on Thu. Dec. 1, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.57% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $37.2000(-1.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    EWG(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    VWO(66%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.63(1.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.39(2.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.77(1.17%)
To recent high   -6.8%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.9% (three month std-dev: 1.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.02%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.1%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.15%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.57%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.03%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.82%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_1_2011	38.68	36.77	36.39	36.63	36.91	37.43	37.2(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	120	35	1	2.67	41%	-0.15	-55.3	1.57%	0	0.6	52	NAN
2	Nov_30_2011	38.74	36.76	36.31	36.26	36.45	37.03	37.72(3.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	24	130	40	-23	8.43	44%	-0.1	-76.8	1.57%	0	1.4	55	NAN
3	Nov_29_2011	38.78	36.73	36.22	35.96	35.96	36.39	36.52(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	80	23	-55	3.4	38%	-0.15	-100.5	1.51%	0	-0.3	38	NAN
4	Nov_28_2011	38.84	36.78	36.27	35.84	35.88	35.88	36.34(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	0	11	-74	4.31	38%	-0.15	-110.1	1.52%	0	-0.6	35	NAN
5	Nov_25_2011	38.9	36.94	36.35	35.9	35.81	35.53	35.36(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-42	-60	-26	-89	2.89	37%	-0.26	-71.5	1.5%	0	-1.6	28	NAN

6	Nov_23_2011	39	37.16	36.51	36.12	36.11	35.89	35.36(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-40	-20	-80	6.06	40%	-0.18	-52.3	1.51%	0	-1.7	27	NAN
7	Nov_22_2011	39.07	37.31	36.68	36.34	36.38	36.09	36.2(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-50	-17	-71	2.69	43%	-0.08	-50.6	1.5%	0	-1.1	38	NAN
8	Nov_21_2011	39.1	37.41	36.81	36.52	36.5	36.34	35.92(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-30	-25	-60	4.52	43%	-0.15	-47.5	1.5%	0	-1.5	37	NAN
9	Nov_18_2011	39.16	37.56	37	36.76	36.78	36.67	36.64(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-20	-6	-38	2.85	41%	-0.15	-41.9	1.48%	0	-1	37	NAN
10	Nov_17_2011	39.22	37.64	37.08	36.89	36.89	36.65	36.48(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-50	-13	-55	5.36	41%	-0.1	-40.1	1.54%	0	-1.3	20	NAN

11	Nov_16_2011	39.26	37.72	37.19	36.97	37.02	36.88	36.44(-1.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-27	-20	-12	-72	3.76	41%	-0.13	-42	1.54%	0	-1.5	22	NAN
12	Nov_15_2011	39.31	37.81	37.19	37.06	37.09	37.12	37.12(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	10	-5	-75	3.37	44%	-0.08	-43.2	1.53%	0	-0.8	43	NAN
13	Nov_14_2011	39.34	37.89	37.28	37.16	37.06	37.17	37.12(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-22	10	-2	-80	1.65	44%	-0.08	-38.4	1.54%	0	-0.9	43	NAN
14	Nov_11_2011	39.37	37.95	37.33	37.28	37.14	37.05	37.28(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-30	-0	-84	1.91	50%	-0.08	-35.7	1.54%	0	-0.8	40	NAN
15	Nov_10_2011	39.4	38.01	37.57	37.32	37.24	36.96	36.88(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-60	-15	-73	4.33	44%	-0.1	-30.8	1.6%	0	-1.4	41	NAN

16	Nov_9_2011	39.44	38.09	37.84	37.44	37.36	37.24	36.9(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-30	-13	-48	3.41	50%	-0.1	-23.9	1.7%	0	-1.6	45	NAN
17	Nov_8_2011	39.48	38.17	37.99	37.51	37.48	37.53	37.6(-0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	10	5	-34	3.15	47%	-0.05	-17.5	1.8%	0	-0.8	48	NAN
18	Nov_7_2011	39.5	38.21	38.05	37.42	37.41	37.49	37.76(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	10	4	-41	4.22	47%	-0.05	-18.8	1.9%	0	-0.7	44	NAN
19	Nov_4_2011	39.52	38.24	38.15	37.38	37.3	37.43	37.44(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	20	-13	-47	2.86	42%	-0.08	-12	1.9%	0	-1.1	45	NAN
20	Nov_3_2011	39.55	38.26	38.25	37.88	37.41	37.33	37.52(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-50	-16	-26	4.4	42%	-0.05	5.6	2.04%	0	-1.1	45	NAN

21	Nov_2_2011	39.57	38.27	38.3	38.33	37.99	37.18	37.24(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-20	-180	-22	-12	3.56	42%	-0.1	16.9	2.03%	0	-1.5	44	NAN
22	Nov_1_2011	39.61	38.3	38.4	38.53	38.62	37.49	37.12(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-35	-200	-42	-14	4.94	41%	-0.08	22.1	2.03%	0	-1.8	43	NAN
23	Oct_31_2011	39.64	38.34	38.57	38.75	38.93	38.8	37.6(-5.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-22	-10	-31	4	8.76	41%	-0.05	28.8	2.03%	0	-1.1	48	NAN
24	Oct_28_2011	39.66	38.33	38.66	38.98	39.06	39.76	39.92(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	33	130	31	39	5.97	46%	-0.03	37.7	1.91%	0	2.5	63	NAN
25	Oct_27_2011	39.67	38.22	38.5	38.67	38.79	39.06	39.76(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	34	60	34	34	6.28	45%		32.6	1.91%	0	2.9	69	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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