Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Nov. 25, 2011

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $35.3600 (0%) ($35.3200 - $35.7600) on Fri. Nov. 25, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $35.3600(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)    EWG(70%)    IWM(67%)    VWO(66%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $31.26(-11.6%)
Resistance Level   $36.94
5 Day Moving Average   $35.9(-1.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.35(-2.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.94(-4.28%)
To recent high   -11.4%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.6% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.72%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.39%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.63%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.46%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.2%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.62%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_25_2011	38.9	36.94	36.35	35.9	35.81	35.53	35.36(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-42	-60	-26	-89	2.89	37%	-0.26	-71.5	1.5%	0	-1.6	28	NAN
2	Nov_23_2011	39	37.16	36.51	36.12	36.11	35.89	35.36(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-40	-20	-80	6.06	40%	-0.18	-52.3	1.51%	0	-1.7	27	NAN
3	Nov_22_2011	39.07	37.31	36.68	36.34	36.38	36.09	36.2(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-50	-17	-71	2.69	43%	-0.08	-50.6	1.5%	0	-1.1	38	NAN
4	Nov_21_2011	39.1	37.41	36.81	36.52	36.5	36.34	35.92(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-30	-25	-60	4.52	43%	-0.15	-47.5	1.5%	0	-1.5	37	NAN
5	Nov_18_2011	39.16	37.56	37	36.76	36.78	36.67	36.64(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-20	-6	-38	2.85	41%	-0.15	-41.9	1.48%	0	-1	37	NAN

6	Nov_17_2011	39.22	37.64	37.08	36.89	36.89	36.65	36.48(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-50	-13	-55	5.36	41%	-0.1	-40.1	1.54%	0	-1.3	20	NAN
7	Nov_16_2011	39.26	37.72	37.19	36.97	37.02	36.88	36.44(-1.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-27	-20	-12	-72	3.76	41%	-0.13	-42	1.54%	0	-1.5	22	NAN
8	Nov_15_2011	39.31	37.81	37.19	37.06	37.09	37.12	37.12(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	10	-5	-75	3.37	44%	-0.08	-43.2	1.53%	0	-0.8	43	NAN
9	Nov_14_2011	39.34	37.89	37.28	37.16	37.06	37.17	37.12(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-22	10	-2	-80	1.65	44%	-0.08	-38.4	1.54%	0	-0.9	43	NAN
10	Nov_11_2011	39.37	37.95	37.33	37.28	37.14	37.05	37.28(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-30	-0	-84	1.91	50%	-0.08	-35.7	1.54%	0	-0.8	40	NAN

11	Nov_10_2011	39.4	38.01	37.57	37.32	37.24	36.96	36.88(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-60	-15	-73	4.33	44%	-0.1	-30.8	1.6%	0	-1.4	41	NAN
12	Nov_9_2011	39.44	38.09	37.84	37.44	37.36	37.24	36.9(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-30	-13	-48	3.41	50%	-0.1	-23.9	1.7%	0	-1.6	45	NAN
13	Nov_8_2011	39.48	38.17	37.99	37.51	37.48	37.53	37.6(-0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	10	5	-34	3.15	47%	-0.05	-17.5	1.8%	0	-0.8	48	NAN
14	Nov_7_2011	39.5	38.21	38.05	37.42	37.41	37.49	37.76(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	10	4	-41	4.22	47%	-0.05	-18.8	1.9%	0	-0.7	44	NAN
15	Nov_4_2011	39.52	38.24	38.15	37.38	37.3	37.43	37.44(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	20	-13	-47	2.86	42%	-0.08	-12	1.9%	0	-1.1	45	NAN

16	Nov_3_2011	39.55	38.26	38.25	37.88	37.41	37.33	37.52(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-50	-16	-26	4.4	42%	-0.05	5.6	2.04%	0	-1.1	45	NAN
17	Nov_2_2011	39.57	38.27	38.3	38.33	37.99	37.18	37.24(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-20	-180	-22	-12	3.56	42%	-0.1	16.9	2.03%	0	-1.5	44	NAN
18	Nov_1_2011	39.61	38.3	38.4	38.53	38.62	37.49	37.12(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-35	-200	-42	-14	4.94	41%	-0.08	22.1	2.03%	0	-1.8	43	NAN
19	Oct_31_2011	39.64	38.34	38.57	38.75	38.93	38.8	37.6(-5.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-22	-10	-31	4	8.76	41%	-0.05	28.8	2.03%	0	-1.1	48	NAN
20	Oct_28_2011	39.66	38.33	38.66	38.98	39.06	39.76	39.92(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	33	130	31	39	5.97	46%	-0.03	37.7	1.91%	0	2.5	63	NAN

21	Oct_27_2011	39.67	38.22	38.5	38.67	38.79	39.06	39.76(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	34	60	34	34	6.28	45%	0	32.6	1.91%	0	2.9	69	NAN
22	Oct_26_2011	39.67	38.16	38.35	38.31	38.45	38.36	38.26(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10	-1	9	6.67	40%	-0.05	35.5	1.85%	0	0.2	57	NAN
23	Oct_25_2011	39.69	38.16	38.35	38.27	38.33	38.52	38.2(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	40	-3	13	2.49	40%	-0.05	36.4	1.85%	0	0.1	59	NAN
24	Oct_24_2011	39.71	38.15	38.36	38.37	38.3	38.54	38.76(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	40	14	29	2.48	40%	-0.03	40.7	1.84%	0	1.4	62	NAN
25	Oct_21_2011	39.72	38.09	38.33	38.28	38.23	38.15	38.36(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-20	2	30	3.03	40%		26.7	1.84%	0	0.6	64	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.