Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 17, 2011

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $36.4800 (0.11%) ($36.3600 - $36.8800) on Thu. Nov. 17, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.54% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $36.4800(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    EWG(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    VWO(66%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.77% (StdDev 1.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $32.54(-10.8%)
Resistance Level   $37.64
5 Day Moving Average   $36.89(-1.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.08(-1.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.64(-3.08%)
To recent high   -8.6%
To recent low   0.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.42% (three month std-dev: 1.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.85%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.91%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.57%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.61%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.26%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.49%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_17_2011	39.22	37.64	37.08	36.89	36.89	36.65	36.48(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-50	-13	-55	5.36	41%	-0.1	-40.1	1.54%	0	-1.3	20	NAN
2	Nov_16_2011	39.26	37.72	37.19	36.97	37.02	36.88	36.44(-1.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-27	-20	-12	-72	3.76	41%	-0.13	-42	1.54%	0	-1.5	22	NAN
3	Nov_15_2011	39.31	37.81	37.19	37.06	37.09	37.12	37.12(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	10	-5	-75	3.37	44%	-0.08	-43.2	1.53%	0	-0.8	43	NAN
4	Nov_14_2011	39.34	37.89	37.28	37.16	37.06	37.17	37.12(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-22	10	-2	-80	1.65	44%	-0.08	-38.4	1.54%	0	-0.9	43	NAN
5	Nov_11_2011	39.37	37.95	37.33	37.28	37.14	37.05	37.28(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-30	-0	-84	1.91	50%	-0.08	-35.7	1.54%	0	-0.8	40	NAN

6	Nov_10_2011	39.4	38.01	37.57	37.32	37.24	36.96	36.88(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-60	-15	-73	4.33	44%	-0.1	-30.8	1.6%	0	-1.4	41	NAN
7	Nov_9_2011	39.44	38.09	37.84	37.44	37.36	37.24	36.9(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-30	-13	-48	3.41	50%	-0.1	-23.9	1.7%	0	-1.6	45	NAN
8	Nov_8_2011	39.48	38.17	37.99	37.51	37.48	37.53	37.6(-0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	10	5	-34	3.15	47%	-0.05	-17.5	1.8%	0	-0.8	48	NAN
9	Nov_7_2011	39.5	38.21	38.05	37.42	37.41	37.49	37.76(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	10	4	-41	4.22	47%	-0.05	-18.8	1.9%	0	-0.7	44	NAN
10	Nov_4_2011	39.52	38.24	38.15	37.38	37.3	37.43	37.44(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	20	-13	-47	2.86	42%	-0.08	-12	1.9%	0	-1.1	45	NAN

11	Nov_3_2011	39.55	38.26	38.25	37.88	37.41	37.33	37.52(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-50	-16	-26	4.4	42%	-0.05	5.6	2.04%	0	-1.1	45	NAN
12	Nov_2_2011	39.57	38.27	38.3	38.33	37.99	37.18	37.24(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-20	-180	-22	-12	3.56	42%	-0.1	16.9	2.03%	0	-1.5	44	NAN
13	Nov_1_2011	39.61	38.3	38.4	38.53	38.62	37.49	37.12(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-35	-200	-42	-14	4.94	41%	-0.08	22.1	2.03%	0	-1.8	43	NAN
14	Oct_31_2011	39.64	38.34	38.57	38.75	38.93	38.8	37.6(-5.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-22	-10	-31	4	8.76	41%	-0.05	28.8	2.03%	0	-1.1	48	NAN
15	Oct_28_2011	39.66	38.33	38.66	38.98	39.06	39.76	39.92(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	33	130	31	39	5.97	46%	-0.03	37.7	1.91%	0	2.5	63	NAN

16	Oct_27_2011	39.67	38.22	38.5	38.67	38.79	39.06	39.76(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	34	60	34	34	6.28	45%	0	32.6	1.91%	0	2.9	69	NAN
17	Oct_26_2011	39.67	38.16	38.35	38.31	38.45	38.36	38.26(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10	-1	9	6.67	40%	-0.05	35.5	1.85%	0	0.2	57	NAN
18	Oct_25_2011	39.69	38.16	38.35	38.27	38.33	38.52	38.2(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	40	-3	13	2.49	40%	-0.05	36.4	1.85%	0	0.1	59	NAN
19	Oct_24_2011	39.71	38.15	38.36	38.37	38.3	38.54	38.76(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	40	14	29	2.48	40%	-0.03	40.7	1.84%	0	1.4	62	NAN
20	Oct_21_2011	39.72	38.09	38.33	38.28	38.3	38.15	38.36(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-20	2	30	3.03	40%	-0.08	26.7	1.84%	0	0.6	64	NAN

21	Oct_20_2011	39.75	38.04	38.25	38.3	38.23	38.07	37.96(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-30	-11	24	2.19	41%	-0.05	11.6	1.84%	0	-0.2	52	NAN
22	Oct_19_2011	39.77	38.01	38.24	38.39	38.34	38.32	38.08(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10	-5	22	2.49	43%	-0.08	5	1.84%	0	0.2	42	NAN
23	Oct_18_2011	39.8	38	38.19	38.46	38.34	38.4	38.68(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-0	4	25	3.33	42%	-0.03	6.5	1.84%	0	1.4	54	NAN
24	Oct_17_2011	39.81	37.98	38.09	38.35	38.38	38.4	38.32(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-0	-0	15	4.69	42%	-0.05	4.2	1.84%	0	0.8	51	NAN
25	Oct_14_2011	39.83	37.97	37.99	38.38	38.34	38.36	38.48(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	0	4	17	4	42%		15.5	1.84%	0	1	58	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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