Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 29, 2011

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $38.8600 (1.3%) ($38.5600 - $38.8800) on Mon. Aug. 29, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $38.8600(1.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EEM(70%)    EWG(70%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(66%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(0%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $31.53(-18.86%)
Resistance Level   $39.06
5 Day Moving Average   $38.28(1.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.37(1.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.06(-0.51%)
To recent high   -10.7%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 3.64% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.55%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 4.96%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 7.39%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110929

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_29_2011	40.8	39.06	38.37	38.28	38.19	38.44	38.86(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	40	21	-37	2.79	49%	-0.02	-74.2	1.75%	0	-0.1	43	0
2	Aug_26_2011	40.81	39.22	38.43	38.06	38.05	38.01	38.36(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10	6	-41	4.55	49%	-0.02	-72.5	1.74%	0	-0.5	53	0
3	Aug_25_2011	40.82	39.43	38.51	37.94	38.03	37.94	37.56(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10	-8	-60	4.17	47%	-0.05	-72	1.72%	0	-1.1	41	0
4	Aug_24_2011	40.84	39.68	38.72	38.04	38.06	38.1	38.08(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	10	-10	-57	3.59	47%	-0.02	-71.1	1.72%	0	-0.9	45	0
5	Aug_23_2011	40.85	39.91	38.74	38.31	38.12	38.12	38.52(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-10	-9	-75	4.09	47%	-0.07	-65	1.72%	0	-0.7	37	0

6	Aug_22_2011	40.88	40.15	38.88	38.49	38.46	38.03	37.8(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-80	-20	-89	3.23	45%	-0.07	-58.8	1.71%	0	-1.2	35	0
7	Aug_19_2011	40.91	40.42	38.93	38.87	38.78	38.13	37.72(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-57	-120	-38	-113	5.42	45%	-0.1	-51.3	1.72%	0	-1.4	34	0
8	Aug_18_2011	40.95	40.71	39.16	39.17	39.18	38.89	38.08(-3.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-50	-30	-119	9.6	45%	-0.07	-46.6	1.72%	0	-1.4	33	0
9	Aug_17_2011	40.98	40.98	39.32	39.48	39.46	39.44	39.44(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-24	-10	8	-118	2.69	49%	-0.05	-41.9	1.67%	0	-0.8	37	0
10	Aug_16_2011	41	41.16	39.56	39.22	39.37	39.48	39.4(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	30	-1	-140	6.16	49%	-0.05	-45.7	1.67%	0	-1	37	0

11	Aug_15_2011	41.02	41.33	39.8	39.34	39.19	39.49	39.72(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	40	18	-139	4.07	49%	-0.05	-43.6	1.67%	0	-0.9	35	0
12	Aug_12_2011	41.04	41.46	40.05	39	39.14	39.27	39.22(-0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-35	30	9	-166	7.53	46%	-0.07	-49.2	1.68%	0	-1.3	34	0
13	Aug_11_2011	41.07	41.63	40.4	39	38.98	38.9	39.6(3.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-48	-30	-6	-173	9.02	45%	-0.07	-48.8	1.68%	0	-1.2	34	0
14	Aug_10_2011	41.1	41.78	40.69	39.15	39.16	39.01	38.16(-4.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-74	-30	-33	-198	12.4	40%	-0.1	-51.6	1.62%	0	-2.2	26	0
15	Aug_9_2011	41.14	42.02	41.16	39.95	39.51	39.07	40(5.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-71	-110	-35	-177	9.71	45%	-0.07	-44.4	1.52%	0	-1.4	34	0

16	Aug_8_2011	41.17	42.13	41.5	40.37	40.17	39.31	38.04(-4.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-101	-160	-74	-183	11.78	36%	-0.07	-39.9	1.37%	0	-3.1	23	0
17	Aug_5_2011	41.2	42.35	42.05	41.24	41.07	39.96	39.96(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-97	-200	-83	-138	12.54	42%	-0.02	-32	1.24%	0	-2.4	37	0
18	Aug_4_2011	41.21	42.48	42.42	41.82	41.79	41.02	39.6(-6.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-89	-130	-86	-96	14.93	42%	0.02	-16.2	1.24%	0	-3.6	30	0
19	Aug_3_2011	41.2	42.65	42.83	42.43	42.45	42.18	42.16(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-40	-30	-29	7.85	53%	0.05	18.8	0.99%	0	-1	50	0
20	Aug_2_2011	41.18	42.67	42.93	42.54	42.63	42.57	42.08(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-0	-25	-14	8.3	53%	0.05	40.2	0.99%	0	-1.2	45	0

21	Aug_1_2011	41.16	42.68	43	42.81	42.78	42.72	42.42(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10	-13	22	20	53%	-0.02	74.8	0.98%	0	-0.5	57	0
22	Jul_29_2011	41.17	42.66	42.98	43	42.95	42.7	42.84(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-40	-18	41	5.22	56%	-0.02	97.5	0.98%	0	0.4	62	0
23	Jul_28_2011	41.18	42.61	42.97	43.13	43.11	42.83	42.63(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-12	-50	-33	51	4.21	60%	-0.05	112.6	0.98%	0	0	54	0
24	Jul_27_2011	41.2	42.55	42.97	43.3	43.3	43.2	42.72(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-20	-15	64	4.89	60%	-0.07	119.1	1.03%	0	0.3	51	0
25	Jul_26_2011	41.23	42.47	42.95	43.37	43.39	43.39	43.44(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	0	10	87	4.82	65%		104.8	1.01%	0	1.4	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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